Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction: American Powerhouse Battles French Giant Serve Threat on Court 2

Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz
Finished
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Tennis, Grand Slam, Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, R128
30 June 2025, 17:00
Court 2, London, United Kingdom 
Grass Court 

Raphael George
29 Jun 2025
17:16
Statistics of the month:
52
38
1
57.14%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,78
Bet Type Fritz to Win 3–1 Sets
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Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Prediction for the Match on June 30, 2025

The first-round clash between Taylor Fritz and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at Wimbledon 2025 will be a test of speed, serve power, and grass-court form. Fritz now holds the No. 5 spot in the world and would come into this match on a huge wave of momentum, having just claimed his fourth Eastbourne title. On the flip side, Mpetshi Perricard, at No. 36 in the world, has massive serving weapons and a deep last-12-months run to threaten an upset. We'll walk you through all the rankings, grass stats, betting trends, and H2H tidbits to help you get a sense of what to expect on Court 2—all the SEO-rich content that tennis fans and bettors are lapping up.

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Taylor Fritz is ranked No. 5 in the world, entering Wimbledon with a 25-11 record in 2025 and an impressive 8-1 on grass. He defended his Eastbourne title on 28 June, the fourth lawn title to his name, while earlier in the month, practicing his ace serve and out-hitting Zverev in Stuttgart with 8-5. He's very hot on grass and has still to concede a serve break in the wins at Stuttgart and Eastbourne. Serving-wise, he averages nearly nine aces per match and has a conversion rate of 65.5% on his first serve. Referring to a recent interview at Eastbourne, he had fierce Grand Slam ambitions: "My happiness revolves around results... I'd think about it forever if I don't win a slam". Active on social media, the player's post celebrating four grass titles shows confidence and focus. At Wimbledon, Fritz hopes to break through for the first time- back-to-back quarter-finals in 2023-24 see him as a favorite to really go deep this year.

The Frenchman ranks 36 after having achieved career-high ranking No. 29 in February 2025. With a loud booming serve to complement his game, he has won two ATP Tour titles in 2024 and staked claim to a Challenger crown in Bordeaux in the month of May. His grass-court record this season stands at 1-2, with a second-round knockout in Stuttgart and a quarter-final finish in Queen's. He went to Round 4 on his Wimbledon debut in 2024, untouchable when pressure was applied on his serve. No statements came through social media, but his coach expressed confidence after his clay Challenger win. The Frenchman has a considerable one-handed backhand and retains his unpredictability when that big serve is working well. Being unseeded and perhaps overlooked, the threat level could turn up should Fritz lose his early rhythm.

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This would be the first-ever meeting between Fritz and Mpetshi Perricard as the two have never before met at a tour-level event. Fritz has very much been on grass, whereas Perricard relies on power coupled with inconsistency—the very clash between the formed and the potential.

  • Fritz averages 9 aces/match, while Perricard’s serve is his main weapon—expect a high ace count clash.
  • With both averaging high first-serve points won and strong hold percentages, a first-set tiebreak is a likely opener (Fritz: 78%, Perricard: 85%).
  • Mpetshi Perricard averages 16+ aces per Grand Slam match, while Fritz is above 11 per match, making Over 34.5 Aces a prime market.
  • Taylor Fritz has won 7 of his last 9 Grand Slam first-round matches in straight sets, with over 60% of those ending in under 36.5 total games.
  • Fritz’s Grand Slam matches against aggressive servers often go past this mark, even in straight sets due to tiebreaks. Over 38.5 total games is a possibility.

Fritz has the edge in Grand Slam experience, grass-court mastery, and form. Still, Mpetshi Perricard’s thunderous serve could snatch momentum in early sets. I’m leaning 3–1 Fritz in a match with long service games and minimal breaks—value lies in aces and game totals for this grass-court slugfest.

Fritz to Win 3–1 Sets @ 3.78 odds on Bet365 — Perricard’s serve will likely earn him a set, but Fritz’s return consistency and shot tolerance should outlast him across five.

Over 39.5 Total Games @ 1.60 odds on Betway — Even in a 4-set match, this line should be surpassed with at least one tiebreak and closely fought sets.

Total Sets Over 3.5 @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet — Expect at least four sets. Perricard is too dangerous to get swept in three, and Fritz isn’t likely to steamroll him.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,78
Bet Type Fritz to Win 3–1 Sets
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Over 39.5 Total Games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Total Sets Over 3.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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