Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Jessica Pegula: Prediction for the Match on June 30, 2025

Italy
Italy
Finished
USA
USA
Tennis, Grand Slam, Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Round 128
30.06.2025, 13:00
London Great Britain 
Grass Court 
Raphael George
28 Jun 2025
14:05
Statistics of the month:
52
38
1
57.14%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Pegula to win 2–0
Bonus 250 USD
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Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Jessica Pegula: Prediction for the Match on June 30, 2025

On June 30, the 2025 edition of Wimbledon Round 128 will see a fascinating showdown on Court 2: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto. This blog covers Wimbledon predictions, grass court form, general player performance, and the betting angle. Emphasizing Pegula’s top-5 seed status and Cocciaretto’s rising grass momentum, we have a look at why this matchup might confuse both bettors and tennis fan follow-ups. Key insights about Wimbledon odds, serve stats, and head-to-head records will help you set your expectations for the tournament.

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Ranked No. 122, Cocciaretto will walk into Wimbledon with a 12–16 record thus far in 2025, so from a form perspective, all surfaces seem to be in her range. She's especially adept on grass; her year-to-date win-loss record on grass courts stands at 5–2, which includes a captivating run to the semifinals at ’s‑Hertogenbosch, during which she dropped only one set and scored some impressive wins, including that against Suzan Lamens in straight sets . Her latest match was a 6-2, 7-6 win over Lamens on June 13. Cocciaretto has served well this year, with a 65.3% service games won and a total of 30 aces in 21 matches. She has put out some Instagram pictures while training on grass ahead of Wimbledon, so her confidence on the fast courts should be sky-high. Recent interviews are scarce, but her woodland path comeback on grass courts definitely puts her in the group of players capable of pulling an upset. This qualifier for Wimbledon therefore steps onto the stage carrying momentum—and with a price tag on her back—for a Round 1 statement.

Third seed Jessica Pegula reaches London with solid grass prep. After an early-out in Berlin this June, she rather spectacularly went to the semifinals in Bad Homburg—defeating a persistent Emma Navarro in a three-set gnarly tug-of-war, 6-4, 1-6, 6-3. Pegula had knee recovery earlier-this-year-type complications and attributed her good Australian Open run to extra rest from this recovery. Career-wise, her grass win-loss record (8-5 at Wimbledon, plus wins on the Hubble circuit) tells of her consistency. Pegula's social media highlights also tell her story: there was a video with serve-speed footage straight from Bad Homburg, paying tribute to speed on fast courts. With a seed to bank on, a strong mentality, and a mindset to avoid the early upset curse of Court 2, Pegula will be bringing her potent baseline game and all-court prowess for a show on Centre Court.

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Jessica Pegula and Elisabetta Cocciaretto have had one match so far, with the American prevailing 6-4; 6-0 on July 7th, 2023, in the third round of Wimbledon. That straight sets win on grass confirms her early dominance and sets the tone for this rematch at Centre Court angles.

  • Pegula to win in straight sets — As a top-five seed with solid recent grass results, Pegula often converts early rounds without dropping sets.
  • Over 21.5 games — Cocciaretto’s semifinal run in ’s‑Hertogenbosch suggests she can push even top seeds deep into sets.
  • Total aces over 10.5 — Cocciaretto has 30 aces in 21 matches; Pegula brings big‑serve firepower—expect a serve-heavy clash.
  • Cocciaretto to win a set — Her 5-2 grass record and recent straight-set wins highlight her ability to challenge seeds.
  • Games in first set over 9.5: Expect close service holds from both, particularly as Cocciaretto settles early, likely producing a tight opener.

I see real value in the totals market. Pegula’s class should prevail, but Cocciaretto’s grass surge makes the games count—and the serves even more so. I’m backing Pegula in straight sets, with three sharp betting tips:

Pegula to win 2–0 @ 1.6 odds on Betway– As a top-5 seed with strong grass-court tactics and momentum from Homburg, I anticipate a clean start.

Over 18 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet – Cocciaretto’s form and serve resilience suggest she'll take Pegula into extended sets.

Over 5 aces @ 1.83 odds on Bet365 – With both players delivering high-velocity serves and strong grass stats, I expect an ace-packed match.

Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Pegula to win 2–0
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 18 games
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Over 5 aces
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