Alexandre Muller vs Novak Djokovic: Prediction for the Match on July 01, 2025
I am thrilled to break down the first-round encounter at SW19 between Alexandre Muller and Novak Djokovic. In this grass-court duel, I will be mulling over seed rankings, recent form, and historical performance. If you are looking for Wimbledon betting tips, Djokovic predictions, or value for a Muller upset, then here is the complete analysis.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇫🇷 Alexandre Muller
Taking the spotlight is Alexandre Muller, ranked currently 40th in the World, as he gears up for the first round of Wimbledon. Unfortunately, Muller has faced an inauspicious kickoff for his recent grass season, with two first-round exits both in straight sets against Alexander Bublik at Halle and Roman Safiullin at Mallorca. His win percentage is below 50% for the season, with only 2 wins out of his last 6 matches. His first-ever ATP title came this year, in Hong Kong, displaying characteristic grit and late-set fighting spirit. His grass record remains lukewarm, however, at 0-2 for Wimbledon. Muller comes across confidently in his interviews with L'Équipe, even jibing that he might be given some advantage owing to Novak's age. He went on to stir some buzz off-court by securing an OnlyFans sponsorship, dubbing himself the "sexiest player," although the tournament's code of conduct will effectively mute that voice once he steps out onto court. Muller is looking for his first victory past the second round at Wimbledon, but today he faces the ultimate test.
🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic, at 38 and sixth seed at Wimbledon, seeks to prevail for an eighth time at SW19 and an historic 25th Grand Slam . His 2025, so far, is solid due to semifinals appearances at the Australian and French Opens . Djokovic skipped grass tune-ups and came early for preparation . H2H is in his favor: Muller has never even taken a set from him in the only meeting they have ever had, the 2023 US Open, with a scoreline of 6‑0, 6‑2, 6‑3 in favor of Djokovic . According to recent stats, he has won five of his last six matches, many in straight sets . During press conferences, he has mentioned being most confident of winning his 25th in Wimbledon , and the addition of Andy Murray to his coaching team might add to the excitement . Some will point to a little dip in movement, but on the grass, there is still no one better . Already a seven-time Wimbledon champion and a force to be reckoned with in SW19, Djokovic is ideally placed to make light work of this first test—and set out on the path to history.
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Alexandre Muller vs Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head Statistics
Djokovic leads Muller 1‑0, beating him 6‑0, 6‑2, 6‑3 during their only meeting at the 2023 US Open.
Alexandre Muller vs Novak Djokovic Betting Tips and Odds
- Djokovic has won 4 of his last 7 Wimbledon matches in straight sets, showing early tournament dominance.
- Muller is 0‑2 on grass this season and hasn’t won a set in two consecutive pre‑Wimbledon even.
- In their H2H, Djokovic took all games without dropping a set—6‑0, 6‑2, 6‑3.
- In 2025, Djokovic went straight sets in 5 of his last 6 matches, signaling consistent form.
Alexandre Muller vs Novak Djokovic Match Prediction
I do consider the Djokovic grass pedigree and quest for Grand Slam No. 25 to translate into cold early-round performances. Muller’s grass deficits and career gap in H2H simply do not instill confidence in here. The first-set handicap and total games under appear to be safe value bets witnessing Djokovic's armour to go out with a bang and wrap up early. Below are my betting tips:
Djokovic −2.5 first set Handicap @ 1.82 odds on 1xbet — Djokovic won two of three sets by 4+ games in their last match.
Muller under 10.5 total games @ 1.72 odds on Betway — Based on their last matchup (Djokovic won 18–5 in games) and Muller’s recent grass struggles, he’s unlikely to win more than 1–2 games per set.
Total games under 29.5 @ 1.95 odds on Bet365 — strong straight‑set likelihood supports a shorter match.
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