Moyuka Uchijima vs Elina Svitolina Prediction: Can Uchijima's clay-court surge disrupt Svitolina's flawless Madrid run?

Japan
Japan
Finished
Ukraine
Ukraine
Tennis, WTA 1000, Madrid, Spain, Quarterfinals
30 April 2025, 17:10
Arantxa Sanchez Vicario Madrid Spain 
Red Clay 

Raphael George
30 Apr 2025
00:45
Statistics of the month:
17
7
0
70.83%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,36
Bet Type Elina Svitolina to win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Moyuka Uchijima vs Elina Svitolina: Prediction for the Match on April 30, 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on April 30. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Moyuka Uchijima has been one of the unexpected packages of the 2025 clay season. The 23-year-old Japanese lady is on a four-match-winning streak, including a tough straight-set victory against Ekaterina Alexandrova (6-4, 7-6) in the Round of 16. While her service stats were underwhelming—0 aces, 4 double faults, and a mere 55% of first serve—she dazzled with her return, converting 5 break points and winning 42% of her first-serve return points.

Uchijima has truly shown resilience this season. At the WTA250 Open de Rouen, she reached the quarterfinal, where she fell to Olga Danilović in a marathon three-set match. Just as commendable was her performance in the Billie Jean King Cup Qualifiers, where she saved two match points to defeat Anca Todoni, taking Japan into a deciding time against Canada. 

Uchijima is on a four-match winning streak and has shown remarkable tenacity in winning five consecutive sets. She is showing great form and appears ready to take on higher-ranked opponents, but this will be a great test when facing a savvy competitor like Svitolina.

Elina Svitolina is making a comeback-and perhaps she is even back and better than before. The Ukrainian has been immaculate in her clay form this entire season, maintaining a blistering 10 matches all won without even once dropping a set. Her latest victim, whom she punished in Round 16, was Maria Sakkari, 6-3, 6-4; she showed her precision in her service by winning 73 percent of her first serves and converting 5 out of 8 break points. A true inspiration, Svitolina's return is almost poetic. After a foot surgery in 2024, she stormed on to the tour and straightway won the WTA 250 title at the Open de Rouen without losing a set. Victory in the final against Olga Danilović earned her the 18th career title and first since 2023.

Svitolina's emotional dedication of her Madrid win to partner Gaël Monfils was further evidence of the strong personal support that is propelling her return. For Svitolina, winning on the court has become a habit; winning 20 consecutive sets has led to even further destruction.

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Moyuka Uchijima and Elina Svitolina were once in contact when they participated in the playoffs at the 2024 Olympics in Paris. Svitolina dictated the rules in that match, which ended in a populously one-sided score of 6-2, 6-1. The lopsided nature of this contest made it very clear at that point just how far apart these two players were in terms of both experience and composure as athletes. For Uchijima, it was a disaster. She was easily overpowered in her return games by Svitolina's depth and pace. There has since been progress for Uchijima, which was most eminent at the Slams played on clay, but Svitolina will still be carrying-around-in-her-head baggage from that uneven affair. Their next meeting in Madrid will determine whether Uchijima has closed that gap or whether Svitolina still enjoys having all control over the exchanges.

  • Svitolina's clay streak of 10 consecutive matches without dropping a set is hugely indicative of a possible straight-set victory.
  • Svitolina holds a first-service percentage of 73%, while Uchijima stands at 55%. That would imply, in theory, some kind of big advantage to Svitolina in this match-up.
  • Both players converted 5 break points in their last matches, although Svitolina saved 71% of break points against her, as opposed to Uchijima saving 63%-giving Svitolina that slight edge when put under pressure.
  • On the backdrop of Svitolina's recent straight-set victories, with Uchijima being left to play some really competitive matches, putting down a wager on fewer than 21.5 total games could be smart.

As the quarter-finals draw near, the contest between Moyuka Uchijima and Elina Svitolina looks promising. Uchijima's upturn heralds victory over a top-10 player, underscoring confidence and adaptability on clay. However, Svitolina's torch-bursting form with ten matches won without dropping a set shows experience and great mastery of the surface.

Although Uchijima's tenacity as well as her great recent form cannot be ignored, Svitolina's experience of establishing day-to-day rhythms with the grass-based schedules gives her the nod in this match-up. Expect to see Svitolina in action against two of her strengths as she fights for a semifinal berth.

Below are the betting tips for the upcoming match:

🔥 Our prediction for the match is Elina Svitolina to win with a coefficient of 1.36 Odds on 1xbet 

🔥 Our betting tip for the match is Svitolina to win in straight sets 1.68 odds on Betway 

🔥 Our main betting tip for the match is Under 20.5 total games with a coefficient of 1.72 odds on Bet365

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,36
Bet Type Elina Svitolina to win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Svitolina to win in straight sets
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Under 20.5 total games
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