Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek Prediction: Ostapenko Aims for Sixth Straight Win Over Swiatek

Latvia
Latvia
Finished
Poland
Poland
Tennis, WTA 500, Stuttgart, Germany, Quarterfinals 
19 April 2025, 14:40
Centre Court, Stuttgart, Germany
Red Clay indoor


Raphael George
18 Apr 2025
08:09
Statistics of the month:
47
29
0
61.84%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,65
Bet Type Under 21.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek: Prediction for the Match on April 19, 2025

Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 19. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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The Latvian juggernaut Jelena Ostapenko comes into this match with LWLWW in her last few games played. Her most recent match proved that she can tough it out for a 2-1 win against budding star Emma Navarro, with scores reading 5-7, 6-3, 2-6. In the match, she served 7 aces, committed 6 double faults, had a first serve landing in 61% of the time, converted 6 break points, defended 77% of break points, recorded a 34% first serve return, and won a 5-match streak for herself.

This February, Ostapenko reached the Qatar TotalEnergies Open Final after beating World No. 1 Iga Swiatek in the semifinals. Unfortunately for her, Amanda Anisimova denied her the title. The Miami Open saw Ostapenko in action in the round of 32 where she crashed out of the tournament courtesy of an upset loss to the 19-year-old Filipino wildcard Alexandra Eala. Outside the courts, she made it known that she was crazy about speed and adrenaline, enjoying fast cars and rollercoasters, taking extreme driving schools, and anaesthetizing the killer instinct she displayed on the court with her ferocity. 

The Polish teenage prodigy Iga Swiatek has a recent record of WWWLW. The last match she had was a dominating victory of 2-0 against Jana Fett, scoring 2-6, 2-6. In this match, she registered 3 aces, 1 double fault, 64% first serve rate, 50% break points saved, 41% first serve return, and converted 5 break points.

She reached the quarterfinals of the 10th career Grand Slam, earning her the title as the youngest woman to do so in the last nine years. She made it to the semifinals but could not scale the final hurdle after losing the three-set matched to Madison Keys, for she had a match point to win it. After she kicked off her campaign with a win without dropping a set against Maria Sakkari, she suffered a semifinal loss to Jelena Ostapenko at Indian Wells. Last week, during a practice session as part of the Miami Open, Swiatek was subjected to verbal harassment by one spectator. The person had earlier sent abusive messages to her on the internet. To this, the tournament organizers further tightened their security around her. Swiatek faced criticism at Indian Wells after being called immature for hitting a ball in frustration which scraped into the crowd. She would go on to apologize for the incident, but expressed surprise at the extent of public reaction. Swiatek has expressed concern that the WTA calendar is a tough one, and frequent changes in surface and location would make it hard for players to show their consistency. However, tennis legend Steffi Graf believed in the strength and future success of Swiatek for the rest of the season.

An impressive 5-0 head-to-head record has cemented Jelena Ostapenko's name as the first player on the list against Iga Swiatek. Their last encounter happened at the WTA 1000 Doha 2025 semifinals, where Ostapenko sealed another easy victory by a 6-3, 6-1 scoreline

  • Ostapenko has a flawless 5-0 record against Swiatek, indicating a psychological and tactical edge.
  • Ostapenko has always been winning the first set in all the previous matches between the two players, thus expecting a great start.
  • Swiatek has shown vulnerabilities against aggressive baseliners, which is Ostapenko's playing style.
  • Ostapenko's display in break point handling produced conversion percentages in her recent encounters. This could turn the tide against the serve of Swiatek.

Fascinatingly, this matchup will see Swiatek's steadiness challenging Ostapenko's aggressiveness. Though Swiatek commands a higher ranking and has an admirable record against the majority of players out there, Ostapenko's unbeaten run against her comes into play. Psychologically and matchup-wise, these factors are in favor of Ostapenko, rendering her a tough opponent. 

Match prediction 1: Under 21.5 games @ 1.65 odds

Match prediction 2: Jelena Ostapenko to win first set @ 2.847 odds 

Match prediction 3: Jelena Ostapenko to win @ 3.8 odds

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Odds 1,65
Bet Type Under 21.5 games
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Odds 2,847
Bet Type Jelena Ostapenko to win first set
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Odds 3,8
Bet Type Jelena Ostapenko to win
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