Jacob Fearnley vs Alex de Minaur Prediction: Rising Brit faces Aussie ace in Barcelona

Great Britain
Great Britain
Finished
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur
Tennis, ATP 500, Barcelona, Spain 
17-Apr-2025, 12:00
Barcelona, Spain 
Red Clay Surface
Raphael George
16 Apr 2025
09:51
Statistics of the month:
69
35
0
66.35%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Over 18.5 total games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Jacob Fearnley vs Alex de Minaur: Prediction for the Match on April 17, 2025

Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 17 Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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The name Jacob Fearnley may not be as popular as others, but it is slowly starting to create some real noise on the tour. The 22-year-old Aussie plays with swagger and intention, evidenced against his rival Roberto Carballes Baena. Winning 2-0 with a commanding return game and strong nerves under pressure, Fearnley showed flashes of the kind of grit that makes clay court players dangerous. His 4 aces, 75% break points saved, and 6 breaks converted are telling signs of a player hitting his stride. If he brings that same energy against de Minaur, it could be interesting.

You just don't get the name The Demon without chasing down every ball like it was your life. Alex de Minaur brings unmatched hustle and tactical smarts into every match, and his consistency on the ATP Tour speaks for itself. Coming off a win against Etcheverry in straight sets—albeit not the cleanest performance—the Australian still seemed to feverishly control key points from that moment on with clinical precision. With a first serve percentage at 77% to build on, he can look at that as a strong foundation to build on; his return game, at a measly 22%, was unusually uncharacteristic. Expect the Aussie No. 1 to raise his levels, knowing a round in the next stage—and important ranking points—are up for grabs.

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  • De Minaur brings a wealth of experience, ranking, and ATP-level wins. Fearnley currently has the momentum but has yet to prove he can beat Top 20 regularly. Thus, de Minaur is expected to win comfortably. De Minaur to win by -5.5 Handicap is priced @ 1.78 odds on Betway
  • Despite de Minaur’s edge, Fearnley’s break point conversion (6 breaks last match) could earn him a set. A 2-1 de Minaur win is a value pick for risk-tolerant bettors. This option is valued @ 4.05 odds on Bet365
  • Both players demonstrated an ability to take sets deep into the contest, with a recent Fearnley match including a 7-5 set and de Minaur naturally inclined to very long rallies on clay. Over 18.5 total games therefore looks a very solid price, currently @ 1.68 odds on 1xbet

This might look like a routine win for de Minaur on paper, but Fearnley’s clay form and fearless mentality could turn it into a gritty fight. Still, the world No. 7’s consistency should see him through—eventually

Match Prediction for this match: Over 18.5 total games @ 1.68 odds

Betting tip for this match: De Minaur to win by -5.5 Handicap @ 1.78 odds

Odds
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Over 18.5 total games
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type De Minaur to win by -5.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 4,05
Bet Type 2-1 de Minaur win
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