Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul: Prediction for the Match on April 30, 2025

Jack Draper
Jack Draper
Finished
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul
Tennis, ATP 1000, Madrid, Spain 
30 April 2025, 17:00
Manolo Santana, Madrid, Spain
Red Clay Surface 

Raphael George
30 Apr 2025
01:27
Statistics of the month:
17
7
0
70.83%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 2,10
Bet Type Over 2.5 Sets
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Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul: Prediction for the Match on April 30 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on April 30. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Jack Draper is at present going through a good patch, and Madrid could further define him. Right now, sitting at ATP No. 6, he would have a realistic chance if he wins two more matches to break into the elite Top 5. He has been inconsistent-LWLWW-but has somehow found ways to win, even when the deck seemed stacked against him. Most recently, he was the beneficiary of a most peculiar retirement by Matteo Berrettini just after the end of the first-set tiebreak. He, however, mowed down the courts with a keen serving hand and controlled the baseline well, clocking 3 aces and 73% first-serve percentage. 

Draper, a left-handed bazooka whose hard-court game is beginning to nicely adapt to clay, could normally be expected to break out his best in Madrid. His first Masters 1000 title in March in Indian Wells, a psychological breakthrough upon rout of Holger Rune in the final, pointed to a maturation of Draper's mind. But, beyond all, Draper is mentally stronger on an increasing scale. He recently lavished praise on Jannik Sinner, defending him amid doping speculation; this speaks volumes about his highly developed moral compass. Materialism means nothing to me: ''I'm not into fast cars or flashy stuff.'' This newfound outlook on life, paired with his burgeoning self-assurance on the tennis courts, might lead him through the danger zones of Madrid. Momentum and motivation will have Draper be a player to watch this week.

Tommy Paul has slowly become one of the most dependable performers on the ATP circuit. He is currently ranked 12 in the world and has his sights set on achieving his long-term ambition of cracking into the Top 10, which would likely be achievable with a deep run in Madrid. Paul's recently displayed form has him going WWLWW, suggesting he is peaking at just the right moment. His most recent match ended in a gritty 3-6, 6-3,6-2 win over Karen Khachanov after some serious recovery work—he hit 6 aces, saved 75% of break points, and converted 3 break points of his own. 

He also has improved consistency on clay, combining aggressive play with defensive abilities. He's not the flashiest player around, but he knows how to put the pressure on when it matters most and that makes him dangerous in the tight spots. Off the court is what has endeared him to fans, with his humor and easy-going character. Recently he joked that tennis is a "sore subject" in his relationship with influencer Paige Lorenze-validating that even the top pros face pressure at home. With a return to represent Team World at the upcoming Laver Cup, he gains even greater visibility. With his improved movement and mental fortitude on the clay of Madrid, Paul may have just what it takes to topple some of the higher-ranked opponents and this includes Draper.

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Jack Draper and Tommy Paul have been rivals for five matches, with Draper leading the head-to-head record 3-2. The latest encounter was in 2024, at the ATP 500 in London, where Paul outlasted Draper in three very close sets, winning 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 in a quality grass court match.

  • Four of their past meetings have resulted in three sets.
  • Draper wins 60 percent of the initial exchanges in a match early this season.
  • In contrast to Draper's 38%, Paul has achieved a 45% breakpoint advantage over his clay court opponents this season.
  • Draper wins 85% of his service games, slightly better than the 82% recorded by Paul. This shows a minor difference in service games.
  • Draper has a 65% winning percentage next to Paul's 70% this season on clay surfaces. Paul thus has a slight advantage on the surface.

This match is going to witness two players who are currently at their best and quite in-form with each other. Draper's aggressive baseline play and big serves make him appear dangerous; a serve and a volley are some of his excellent techniques to bring the best out in matches, whereas Paul's consistent and tactical quality glaringly provide an edge of competency to counter Draper. This match is bound to head whichever way according to their personalities and current records whereby the match could possibly even go the entire distance.

Below are the betting tips for the match:

🔥 Our prediction for the match is Over 2.5 Sets with a coefficient of 2.10 odds on Bet365 

🔥 Our betting tip for the match is Draper to Win First Set with a coefficient of 1.60 odds on Betway

🔥 Our main betting tip for the match is Tommy Paul to Win the Match with a coefficient of 2.331 odds on 1xbet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,10
Bet Type Over 2.5 Sets
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Draper to Win First Set
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Odds 2,331
Bet Type Tommy Paul to Win the Match
Bonus 100 EUR
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