Hamad Medjedovic vs Casper Ruud: Prediction for the Match on April, 16 2025

Hamad Medjedovic
Hamad Medjedovic
Finished
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud
Tennis, ATP 500, Barcelona, Spain
16-Apr-2025, 18:10
Pista Rafa Nadal, Barcelona, Spain 
Red Clay 

Raphael George
16 Apr 2025
01:05
Statistics of the month:
57
36
0
61.29%
Statistics
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Odds 2,0
Bet Type Over 22.5 Total Games
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Hamad Medjedovic vs Casper Ruud: Prediction for the Match on April 16, 2025

Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 16. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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In Barcelona, the red clay may be a nice setting, but Hamad Medjedovic is really up on its surface with the bold brush strokes of a breakout run. The Serbian youngster is on a turbocharged crazy-hot streak, on which he has won three matches straight and five sets in a row. The latest of those victories is a smoothed-out 7-5, 7-6 decision over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, which showcased a maturity that belies his age. Medjedovic hit 5 aces, showed a 70% first-serve success ratio, and did not face a single break the entire match. He is now saving 100% of breakpoints, and his explosive baseline game is finally clicking. Against Ruud, he'll be looking to unsettle with some fearless power.

Casper Ruud owns clay, not just plays it. No. 10 in the world and three-time Roland Garros semifinalist, Ruud has made a career grinding out victories on this surface. He walked into Barcelona on the back of an easy 6-4, 6-3 defeat of Daniel Elahi Galan, where groundstrokes and tactical awareness earned Ruud the win despite an average serving performance (52% first serve, 4 double faults). He managed 2 break conversions and dictated the pace with heavy topspin. But Ruud can be impossibly hard to stop on an early rhythm in conditions like these.

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Show more predictions
  • Medjedovic's recent matches have been tight and take the whole distance of sets even if he wins straight. If both players tend to hold serve well, then expect the sets to be long and perhaps even a tiebreaker. Over 21.5 total games is priced at 2.0 odds
  • Medjedovic has a streak of good form in recent matches, whereas Ruud normally takes a set to get into the swing of things. An initial set of 7-5 or 7-6 is possible. Over 9.5 games in first set has a value of 1.87 odds.
  • Even if Medjedovic loses, it would be hard to beat him by a wide margin. His field placement serves-aces, and break points saved are skillful - excellent value for this spread. Backing Medjedovic to cover +3.5 handicap is priced 1.83 odds.

It is natural to consider Casper Ruud as the rightful favorite here, but any punter worth his salt should not forget about the upward trend of Medjedovic's form and mental capacity. The Serb is serving with guarantee and showing resilience in tight moments, which is vital on clay. Ruud has the edge in movement, stamina, and experience, but if his first serve percentage remains at 55% or less, it may just give Medjedovic the opening he needs to come straight back into the match early on. Expect it to be a good contest, mostly for the first half of the match.

Our match prediction: Over 22.5 Total Games @ 2.0 odds

Our betting tip: Medjedovic +3.5 Games Handicap @ 1.85 odds

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