Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction: A tough test for both players

Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev will play against each other in the final group game of the Tour Finals. Medvedev had the better start as his opening 2 games of the tournament left him at the top of the group. Alcaraz on the other hand, started the tournament with a defeat against Alexander Zverev and then he won the second group game against Andrey Rublev. He sits in 3rd place on the table and he needs a win against Daniil Medvedev and a defeat for Alexander Zverev to qualify for the next round.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz is leaning on thin ropes here and a win is crucial for him to stand a chance of progressing into the knockout stage. Carlos had a rough start to the tournament after he lost to Alexander Zverev by 7-6, 3-6, 4-6. He claimed a total of 89 points compared to Zverev’s 100 points and he won 14 games as opposed to Zverev’s 18 games.

After the defeat, Carlos Alcaraz played against Andre Rublev, beating him 7-5, 6-2. Alcaraz stepped up his game, recording 5 Aces and 0 double faults. He won 32 out of 34 first-serve points and 8/13 second-serve points. He ended the game with a total of 65 points and he won 13 games.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev has been the standout performer in the Red Group this season. He sits at the top of the group and he is very comfortable coming into this game. Medvedev started the tournament with a win over Andrey Rublev, winning 6-4, 6-2 in both sets. He had 10 aces compared to Rublev’s 2 aces and then he went on to claim 75 points compared to Rublev’s 57 points and he won 12 games compared to Rublev’s 6.

In the second game, he also won Alexander Zverev 7-6, 6-4. His display was not as he had hoped as he earned only 4 Aces compared to Zverev’s 9 and he had 2 double faults. By the end of the game, he won by 72 points compared to Zverev’s 64 and he won 13 games compared to Zverev’s 10 games.

Head to Head

Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev have played 4 matches against each other. Alcaraz won 2 games, while Daniil Medvedev won the remaining 2 games. This will be their very first meeting in Hardcourt indoors. Their last meeting was at the US Open in New York and Medvedev won 3-2. Carlos Alcaraz had beaten Daniil Medvedev twice this year, at the ATP Indian Wells and Wimbledon Britain.

Analysis and Predictions

Alcaraz seemed to have recovered from the defeat against Alexander Zverev. He had quite an unstable few weeks leading to the tournament. Before the win over Andrey Rublev, he had lost 3 matches in a row. Medvedev on the other hand has been fantastic so far in the tournament. He will however need to be at his best when he faces Carlos Alcaraz, who is desperate for a win.

• More than 2.5 Sets at 2.33 Odds
• Over 21.5 Games at 1.60 Odds
• 1st Game Over 9.5 at 1.72 Odds