The WTA 500 quarters in Ningbo feature an exciting encounter pitting Brazil's Beatriz Haddad Maia against Spain's Paula Badosa, who both come into the game with good recent performances. Each of the two is made of stern stuff; hence, coming into this match with 8 wins against 2 losses in the last 10 matches for both of them could set up a mouth-watering prospect. This is not the first time they met, with both having won once against each other, and Haddad Maia took the most recent one at Doha WTA 1000 earlier this year.
Claim Welcome BonusBeatriz Haddad Maia (Brazil WTA #10)
The big Brazilian left-hander is having a breakout season. With her heavy baseline game complemented by a formidable serve, she has risen into the WTA top 10. Haddad Maia comes into this match off the back of a straight-sets victory over Katie Boulter, where she dug deep in a closely contested encounter to emerge victorious.
She will center her game around serving and aggressive groundstrokes. Serving 6 aces and winning 77% of her first-serve points in her last match will be critical against Badosa's strong return game. The key to Haddad will be maintaining a high first-serve percentage and dictating with her forehand to push Badosa out of her comfort zone. Her backhand is solid but will really need to be razor-sharp, most especially in trying to neutralize the cross-court forehands of Badosa. Secondly, her return game, which won only 28% of first-serve return points against Boulter, has to accelerate, because Badosa can sometimes serve weakly when under pressure.
Paul Badosa (Spain WTA #15)
Meanwhile, Paula Badosa is once again regaining her form since a string of injuries kept the former top-10 player out of the game. Badosa was pretty resilient in her last match, overturning her jittery start against the local crowd's favorite Xiyu Wang to move through into the next round in three sets with some evidence of her trademark mental resilience and gritty baseline defense.
She will want to utilize her strengths of returning and defense and then converting those into offense. While she had 12 double faults in the previous match, the returning statistics from Badosa were pretty good as she won 50% of first-serve returns and 56% of second-serve returns against Xiyu Wang. Badosa will definitely have to cut down on double faults, since Haddad Maia thrives off short second serves. Heavy topspin from Badosa's forehand will dictate play from the baseline, but extended rallies must be avoided as Haddad Maia might overpower her with power.
Expert Betting Tips
The level of form and ability of both players makes the match quite even, but slight differences in game will probably break this tie. The powerful serve with the aggressive baseline game of Haddad Maia is purposed to overpower opponents, while the more patient and defensively styled Badosa could try for longer rallies, testing endurance and consistency from Haddad. This, along with the fact that Badosa hit 12 double faults in her last match, is a huge red flag. Haddad Maia will be well aware of this and will look to build on those specific faults to keep Badosa backfooted.
While this might give Badosa a fighting chance-the ability to win key return points-Haddad Maia's superior serving statistics, particularly in break points saved and first-serve points won, may prove the difference at critical junctures. Moreover, the in-head component will be there, too, as a result of the Brazilian victory over Badosa in Doha two months ago.
- Beatriz Haddad (+4) Games Handicap @ 1.6 Odds
- Beatriz Haddad (+3.5) Games Handicap @ 1.79 Odds
- Beatriz Haddad Win 2-0 @ 4.50 Odds
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