Andrey Rublev vs Ilya Ivashka Prediction: Bet on Rublev to win in two sets

Andrey Rublev's first opponent in the Spanish Gijon will be Belarusian Ilya Ivashka. The two men have played each other twice on tour, both times in St. Petersburg, and both meetings were won by Andrey, losing only one set. Unsurprisingly, Rublev is quoted as the clear favorite in the pairing.

Andrey Rublev's current form

Andrey Rublev competed in Astana last week, reaching the semi-finals, where he lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas. Not a bad result, which allowed Andrey to retain his sixth place in the championship race, and in fact, the second of the four remaining vacant spots. However, Djokovic came close, recalling that Novak won the tournament in Kazakhstan. The match against Tsitsipas in Astana was a 3-set match; Rublev won the first set but dropped the initiative and lost. Before losing to the Greek, Andrey knocked out Dere, Zhang, and Mannarino.

Ilya Ivashka's current form

Ivashka missed last week and played three matches in a tournament in Sofia the week before, where he got stronger against Ymer and Dimitrov but lost against Rune. In the Spanish tournament, Ivashka played one match and narrowly defeated Feliciano Lopez, now ranked 415. The three-set lasted two hours and 21 minutes, 6:3, 6:7, and 6:4, in favor of the Belarusian. For the game, Ilya served three times on one double fault and won 68% of points on the first serve and 68% on the second serve. On the receiving end, he had the following statistics: 19%/56%.

Head-to-head encounters between Rublev and Ivashka

Rublev and Ivashka have played each other twice, twice at the St. Petersburg tournament in 2019 and 2021. Both meetings were won by Rublev, 2-1 and 2-0, respectively.

Expert Betting Tips

Rublev won three out of four matches in Astana, and all wins were in two sets. Recall that Andrey is fighting for a place in the London Final tournament, which means Rublev is fully motivated. Ivashka is a familiar and fairly comfortable opponent for Rublev, given the statistics of their head-to-head encounters. We believe Rublev will try to repeat Astana's success, which will be the equivalent of a Gijon final. Andrey will try to minimize his time on the court to make it to the final. Here are the odds for this match:

• Correct score 2:0 for 1.83;
• H1 (-4.5) for 2.26.

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