Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction: Powerhouse Sabalenka Faces Resurgent Zheng

Belarus
Belarus
Finished
China
China
Tennis, WTA 1000, Miami, Quarterfinals
26-Mar-2025, 02:00
Stadium, Miami, USA
Raphael George
25 Mar 2025
11:57
Statistics of the month:
35
25
0
58.33%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Sabalenka -3.5 Games Handicap
Bonus 100 EUR
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 26 March 2025

The Miami sun beats down, powering a tennis battle full of drama. World number one Belarus giant Aryna Sabalenka takes to the court, her racquet a finely tuned tool of rage and power. Across from her is China's hope, Qinwen Zheng, her eyes blazing with resolve. Sabalenka's five-match winning streak over Zheng—no quarter asked, no quarter given—looms over her like a dark cloud, but Zheng's improved form suggests an upsets scenario. Here in this WTA 1000 quarterfinal, it's not a game; it's a battle of wills, a tale of superiority under siege by starvation. Who gets to write the next chapter?

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Aryna Sabalenka, Belarus's relentless powerhouse, blasts her way into the quarterfinals of Miami as the WTA's No. 1. Her form—WLWWW—sounds like a warrior's tale, her last victory a 2-0 annihilation of Danielle Collins (6-4, 6-4). Seven aces rained down, no double faults betrayed her, and a 70% first-serve rate sealed her dominance. She did not need to save break points—her opponents barely caught a whiff of an opportunity—while claiming three of her own with a 40% first-serve return. Three wins, five sets, she's a force on a roll. Sabalenka's game is a tempest: bare power leavened by surgical precision, her forehand a tool burnished under pressure. Collins, the reigning champion, fell like a footnote in Sabalenka's narrative. Now, with Zheng in her sights, the Belarusian is looking to extend her dominance—and her flawless record over the Chinese star.

Qinwen Zheng, China’s ninth-ranked prodigy, strides into Miami’s quarterfinals with a fire that defies her underdog tag. Her form—WLWWW—mirrors Sabalenka’s, but her path is a gritty odyssey. Her last stand, a 2-0 triumph over Ashlyn Krueger (6-2, 7-6), showcased her steel: five aces, two double faults, a 53% first-serve clip, and a 50% break-point save rate. With a 33% first-serve return, she snatched three break points, her resolve unyielding. Three victories, six sets—she's on a roll of momentum. Zheng's game is a patchwork of toughness and finesse, her movement charged, her shots a combination of spin and bite. She took Krueger to a tiebreaker, but Zheng's nerve was unbreachable. Now, against Sabalenka's shadow, she's the underdog with nothing to lose—and everything to gain.

Sabalenka owns Zheng like a ghost owns a haunt—five wins, zero losses, a clean sheet. Their last meeting, at the 2024 WTA Tour Finals, was another chapter in Sabalenka's dominance: a 2-0 thrashing (6-3, 6-4) under the lights of Riyadh. Zheng has never managed to take a set from Sabalenka's hand, each meeting a clinic in the Belarusian's ruthless dominance. But history is an unpredictable muse—Zheng's evolution since that November night portends cracks in the fortress. Can she rewrite the script in Miami?

Sabalenka -3.5 Games Handicap (1xbet ~ 1.64 Odds)

Sabalenka's powerful return game (40% first-serve return) and break-point conversion (3/3 vs. Collins) will be able to dominate Zheng's defense, taking the spread.

Under 21.5 Games (Betway ~ 1.83 Odds)

Sabalenka's straight-set wins in past meetings (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 at WTA Finals) and her efficiency (no sets dropped in Miami) suggests a swift conclusion.

Sabalenka to Win (Bet365 ~ 1.40 Odds)

Sabalenka's 5-0 record against Zheng, along with her superior serving (70% first serve to 53% for Zheng) and current No. 1 form, makes her the heavy favorite.

Odds
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Bookmaker
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Sabalenka -3.5 Games Handicap
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Under 21.5 Games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,40
Bet Type Sabalenka to Win
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