Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens: Prediction for the Match on April 19, 2024

Belarus
Belarus
Finished
Belgium
Belgium
Tennis, WTA 500, Stuttgart, Germany, Quarterfinals
19.04.2025, 13:00
Stuttgart, Germany
Red Clay Surface

Raphael George
17 Apr 2025
16:51
Statistics of the month:
47
29
0
61.84%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Sabalenka to Win 2-0
Bonus 250 USD
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens: Prediction for the Match on April 19, 2025

Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 19. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

Come into this match-up, Aryna Sabalenka has been riding the wave of dominance of 2025. For the record, she is at a clean WWWWW along with her last on-court victory over Jessica Pegula at the Miami Open for the title. The most recent scheduled contest for Sabalenka saw her progress by walkover as Anastasia Potapova withdrew.

In her 7-5, 6-2 win over Pegula, Sabalenka showed she can do it all: 3 aces, only 1 double fault, 66% of 1st serves in, 63% of break points saved, aggressive return: turned 7 break point chances into points. She is riding a 7-mat ch-wining streak and has not dropped a set in her last 11.

Her 2025 season kicked off in grand style when she won the inaugural title in the Brisbane International, making it the 18th title of her career. More so, she put up a fight in Melbourne, reaching the Australian Open championship but narrowly lost after 3 sets to Madison Keys. Nevertheless, victory at the Miami Open, having not dropped a single set while competing, really signified her return to peak form.

Elise Mertens has put together for herself a quiet impressive run which arrives with an LWLWW form line. Her latest victory also came in very straight sets over Diana Shnaider, 6-2 7-6, bearing 8 aces and 3 double faults while landing exactly 60% of her first serves and winning 4 break points. She then enjoys completing her last consecutive 4 sets won, which indicates a gradual rhythm ascending. Earlier this season, Mertens acquired the ninth WTA singles title at the Singapore Tennis Open, making a final result in brutal mode over Ann Li. She reached the Hobart quarterfinals, lost to Veronika Kudermetova, and had the Australian Open end for her in Round 3 by the hands of Jessica Pegula

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Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens have met for a total of ten times in the WTA Tour, which sees Sabalenka's advantage dominated at 8-2. The last match was at the 2024 US Open, when Sabalenka, winning in straight sets, took it 6-2, 6-4. Sabalenka has been strong in recent years, taking five matches in a row against Mertens with relative ease. The last time Mertens beat Sabalenka was in 2021, after which she has found little resistance to the World No. 1's ferocious power and improved court covering. Sabalenka's aggressive baseline play and dynamic use of return point pressure disrupted Mertens' rhythm and defensive play-the two elements which proved decisive throughout their contests.

  • Based on the head-to-head record and Sabalenka's perfect set streak in the last 11 sets, it is presumably most likely to go straight sets. Back Sabalenka to win in straight sets @ 1.6 odds.
  • In 6 of their 8 Sabalenka wins, total games stayed under 21. Her aggressive starts and efficient serving support this play. Back the match to stay Under 20.5 @ 1.625 odds.
  • Mertens has shown inconsistency on serve, averaging 3.8 double faults per match in her last 5. Mertens to hit 8+ double faults is valued @ 1.80 odds.
  • Sabalenka often starts strong. Four of her wins over Mertens featured a 6–3 or 6–4 first set scoreline. 6-3 score is priced @ 4.33 odds and 6-4 is priced @ 7.00 odds on Bet365

There is all the reason in the world to believe Sabalenka quite the favorite coming into this personal contest. Her streak of excellent performance here, being superior in head-to-head matches, and her powerful form that she has shown throughout this season all make her impossible to bet against where Mertens is concerned. The Belgian will need to find her very best form herself and hope that Sabalenka misfires; an unlikely situation by all accounts from the trends. Our top 3 predictions for the match is below:

💡 Match prediction 1: Sabalenka to Win 2-0 @ 1.6 odds 

💡Match prediction 2: Total Games Under 20.5 @ 1.625 odds 

💡Match prediction 3: first set score 6-3 @ 4.33 odds

Odds
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Sabalenka to Win 2-0
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Odds 1,625
Bet Type Total Games Under 20.5
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Odds 4,33
Bet Type first set score 6-3
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