It sets up a mouth-watering quarterfinal between two of the most exciting players on the tour: forceful third-ranked German Alexander Zverev versus the Italian shot-maker Lorenzo Musetti, currently sitting at ATP No. 17. However, their contrasting styles mean both have arrived at this stage of the tournament with different runs. With his huge serve and powerful baseline game, Zverev will seek to overpower his opponent, but it could be Musetti's subtlety and imagination that gives him the openings necessary to throw the German off his rhythm.
Both players being in fine form means that the match will be nothing short of closely contested, more so considering the two opponents have a head-to-head record of 1-1 against each other. When they last met, Musetti secured a straight-set win in the quarterfinals of the Paris 2024 Olympics, thus adding another storyline to this rematch as Zverev attempts to get revenge on the fast indoor courts of Vienna.
Claim Welcome BonusAlexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev comes into this quarterfinal in good form, having won seven of his last ten matches, including a comfortable win in the previous round against Marcos Giron, where he dominated both his service games and return games. Zverev's powerful first serve, converted at 82%, supported his immaculate conversion of second serve points at 100%, underlined his confidence and efficiency on serve. His recent statistics are also very aggressive when returning, especially against second serves, where he has won 65% of the points.
Zverev's big weapon is his serve. He will look to boss his service games with a good mix of powerful first serves and efficient second serves. He often bosses the rallies from the baseline with his heavy groundstrokes, especially his forehand, trying to make his opponent move left and right. Zverev wants to be aggressive early in the rallies, taking time away from Musetti with his height and reach. Defensively, Zverev's mobility extends the rallies, but he will face his main task: maintaining consistency under the tactical variety of Musetti.
Lorenzo Musetti
Meanwhile, Lorenzo Musetti also sailed into the quarterfinals via a walkover against Gael Monfils, after defeating his fellow Italian Lorenzo Sonego in straight sets. Variety from Musetti's game is typical, being able to change the speeds and angles that could unsettle Zverev's rhythm. Without the same firepower as his German opponent, Musetti has been very strong on return games, notably against second serves, where he has won 68% of those. His ability to construct points with depth will indeed be the most vital component in this match if he is to try and outmaneuver Zverev.
Musetti's gameplan primarily rests on his creativity, as he will look to vary between drop shots, slices, and heavy topspin in attempts to break down Zverev's baseline control. He is very good at constructing points with angles, often forcing his opponents wide before finishing off the points with some dazzling net play. Against someone like Zverev, Musetti will have to capitalize on any rare moments of lapses in the German's concentration and look towards his weak second serve returns. Musetti's success depends on his skill to neutralize the serve of Zverev and to impose his rhythm, making him draw Zverev into uncomfortable, varied exchanges.
Expert Betting Tips
This quarterfinal is quite an interesting contrast in styles. Zverev's form recently places him in a good position, with a dominant serve and effective baseline play that have seen him overhaul recent opponents with relative ease. His 10 aces, plus the conversion of second serve points with 100% in the previous round, surely spell out his confidence on serve, which is of prime importance while playing against a player like Musetti who works upon breaking his opponent's rhythm.
It's where Musetti comes into an entirely different proposition altogether. His point construction, often varied and with considerable finesse, may well disrupt Zverev's rhythm, similar to in their last meeting. The requirement for tactical acumen from Musetti against such power disadvantage does seem important, but the indoor conditions may take away some effectiveness from his slower, creative shots.
- Alexander Zverev (-3) Games Handicap @ 1.61 Odds
- Lorenzo Musetti Wins a Set @ 1.86 Odds
- Alexander Zverev Wins 2-1 @ 3.50 Odds
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