Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction: Can Zverev’s Streak Outshine Cerundolo’s Clay-Court Brilliance?

Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Finished
Francisco Cerúndolo
Francisco Cerúndolo
Tennis, ATP 1000, Madrid, Spain, Round of 16
29.04.2025, 12:00
Madrid, Spain 
Red Clay 

Raphael George
28 Apr 2025
16:25
Statistics of the month:
17
7
0
70.83%
Statistics
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Over 21.5 Total Games
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Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 29. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Zverev arrives at this clash on the back of a powerful wave of momentum. He has now won seven matches in a row which are among some of the best tennis being played by him yet. In his last match, he won a hard-fought match in three sets against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-6, 7-6, 7-6). This match was characterized by 11 aces and 6 double faults. He served 70% first serves in and saved 57% of break points against him. On Zverev's return, he converted only 2 break points and won a meager 23% of the first serve return points given to him. Earlier in April this year, Zverev won his third BMW Open title in Munich, defeating Ben Shelton 6-2, 6-4, and for him, this title was crucial because it was the premier ATP 500 title after the tournament was upgraded. Zverev now boasts 24 ATP titles and has publicly stated he wishes to eclipse Jannik Sinner as the world number one. But, he has held that staying fit and keeping injuries at bay are going to be utmost in his pursuit of that goal. The blend of power, endurance, and improved tactics make him one of the hottest players on tour at the moment.

Francisco Cerundolo has also been in very good form with five wins and one loss in his last six matches. He disposed of Francisco Comesaña in straight sets 6-4, 6-4 in his last outing. Cerundolo served 4 aces with 3 double faults, had an impressive first serve percentage of 77%, saved all break points faced (100%), and converted 2. His return game was also solid, winning 33% of first serves returned.

He had a tremendous showing in the 2025 Munich BMW Open, upsetting reigning champion Jan-Lennard Struff in the opening round. Such a win laid to rest all notions of having had a fluke; soon after, he appeared headed for a semifinal berth, losing an uphill battle against Ben Shelton in three really tough sets. Cerundolo showed his clay-court temperament through the tournament and thus further cemented his status as a giant-killer. His ever-increasing aggressive baseline game paired with a pretty fast-improving serve makes him an uncomfortable opponent on all surfaces, however, especially on clay.

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Francisco Cerundolo has a 2-0 lead in the head-to-head against Alexander Zverev. Their last battle took place on an ATP 250 event in Buenos Aires, where he triumphed over Zverev in three sets at 6-3, 3-6, 6-2. On both occasions, his clay-court experience came in very handy, targeting Zverev's second serve and giving him long, exhausting baseline rallies. A special mention is made about Cerundolo still serving very timely breaks against Zverev in both the encounters. Zverev certainly has made big improvements in the last few months, and it will be interesting heading into this matchup to see how that would play against Cerundolo's past success over Zverev on clay.

  • The streak of seven wins in a row by Zverev has seen him win multiple matches on clay, where he is converting 68% of his break points over the course of the tournaments slightly better than the ATP average of 63%. The serve is quite an impenetrable castle, with Zverev winning 74%. over his last five matches on first serve.
  • Cerundolo has been historically well matched with Zverev's style, taking some advantage of his occasional inconsistency on second serves. The record is notably impressive for Cerundolo, boasting an 82% success percentage in first-set wins against top 10 players in his career.
  • Both players have been taken numerous times into tiebreaks in the last 10 matches. Zverev had 4 of his last 7 matches go to the final set, while Cerundolo has had 3 of his last 5 matches go over 22.5 total games.
  • Zverev's double faults have become a growing concern as well, particularly at the most intense moments in matches. At 4.8 per match over the past ten matches, his average in this category is well above that of the ATP top five (2.7).
  • There is no doubt about Zverev's strong recent form, but he finds in Cerundolo a very simple edge in playing long rallies, where the instinct of this kid with the clay surface comes into play. In addition, this form of play, with a little added forehand, will work very well at the slower surfaces.

The upcoming match between Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo promises to be a massive spectacle with a lot of battle spirit. Both players arrived in this encounter on the back of good form-Zverev with a brute seven-match winning streak, while Cerundolo proved his clay court prowess with big upsets over top players. Whereas Zverev comes in riding the crest of recent titles with a world number 2 ranking, Cerundolo, on the other hand, has a mental edge having defeated Zverev in both their previous meetings. Different playing styles exhibit power vis-a-vis consistency; with the heavier clay surface favoring Cerundolo's heavy topspin forehand and defensive abilities just a bit more. But on the other hand should Zverev have firm footing on his improved service and aggressive baseline play, this may also translate into a huge advantage in his favor. Prepare for long rallies, close sets, and maybe a decider. The wise specimens of betting here would expect a hard-fought fight, not the expected easy result.

Below are our predictions for the upcoming match:

🔥 Our prediction for the match is Over 21.5 Total Games with a coefficient of 1.6 odds on 1xbet 

🔥 Our betting tip for the match is Cerundolo to Win a Set with a coefficient of 1.50 Odds on Betway

🔥 Our main betting tip for the match is Zverev to Win 2-1 with a coefficient of 3.60 Odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 1,60
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Odds 1,50
Bet Type Cerundolo to Win a Set
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Odds 3,60
Bet Type Zverev to Win 2-1
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