Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti: Prediction for the Match on April 30 2025

Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur
Finished
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti
Tennis, ATP 1000, Madrid, Spain
30 April 2025, 22:30
Manolo Santana, Madrid, Spain 
Red Clay Surface 

Raphael George
30 Apr 2025
10:41
Statistics of the month:
17
7
0
70.83%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,615
Bet Type Total Games Over 21.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti: Prediction for the Match on April 30, 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on April 30. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Alex de Minaur, the Australian dynamo ranked ATP No. 7 currently, enters the Madrid Open with recent form reading LWWLWW. In his last match, the boy from down under secured a straight-sets victory against Denis Shapovalov, 6-3, 7-6, showcasing De Minaur's resilience and tactical approach. De Minaur attained 1 ace, no double faults, a first serve percentage of 55%, and saved 100% of his break points, while converting 2 break points and returning first serve 30%. 

The 2025 season for De Minaur had its landmarks. He reached his first Grand Slam quarter-final at the Australian Open after defeating credible players like Botic van de Zandschulp and Francisco Cerúndolo before falling to world No. 1 Jannik Sinner. The path led through to a final spot at the Rotterdam Open, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz. On clay, De Minaur managed to achieve his career-best semi-final performance at the Monte-Carlo Masters, which indirectly intrudes on his belief on that surface. Traditionally, less effective on clay due to his extremely flat groundstrokes, De Minaur has made significant improvements, attributing it to a greater understanding of his game and how to utilize his strengths on clay. 

Presently, De Minaur is on a run of four sets won, reflecting his consistent performance and strong appetite for results on clay courts.

Lorenzo Musetti, the Italian maestro ranked ATP No. 11, boasts a recent form of WWWLWW. He managed to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in his last match with 7-5, 7-6(3), showing how cleverly he played. Musetti had 4 aces, while not having double faults. He had an impressive first-serve percentage of 76 and a break points saved rate of 80. Besides converting 2 break points, he had a 22% first-serve return rate. His conversion rates stood at 2 and 22%. Nice 

This season, Musetti has been quite brilliant in 2025; he made it into his first Masters 1000 final at the Monte Carlo Masters. He knocked down several top players like Tsitsipas and De Minaur, only to be defeated by Carlos Alcaraz at the very end. By this point, he had climbed to a record No. 11 in the ATP rankings. An injury on his right thigh caused him to pull out of the Barcelona Open, but for the upcoming Madrid Open, Musetti is in fine form and has clearly reinvented himself.

Currently, Musetti finds himself winning 4 sets, indicative of his commanding hold on clay courts and willing to take on the mighty ones.

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On the ATP Tour Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti confronted one another three times. Musetti leads their head-to-head 2-1. Since then Musetti hoisted the Monte Carlo Masters title by edging De Minaur in a close three-set match by a score of 1-6, 6-4, 7-6(4), never backing away from the effort that the tournament required of him and thus attesting to his clay-court instincts. This win gives de Minaur his only victory in their first meeting, but Musetti appeared to have learned since and took De Minaur down in their next two outings. Their rivalry continues to develop with each encounter getting closer, especially on clay, on which Musetti's flowing game gives him the upper hand of approximately one breakpoint

  • In their last two clashes, it has usually stretched beyond two sets indicating a very closely fought match
  • Their latest meeting had close to 30 games with many more earlier ones.
  • Considering how stiff they fought, both have had equal victory of securing at least one set from their latest encounters.
  • Musetti has given strong performances with an all-win percentage of 65 in his career on clay.
  • De Minaur cares much about coming back to win matches after having lost the first set, like in the match against Musetti, he will probably encounter that again.

This face-off promises to be tantalizing as the Madrid Open progresses with Alex de Minaur clashing with Lorenzo Musetti. Both players are in stellar form, with De Minaur honing his clay game better and Musetti showing tremendous resilience and strategy. The head-to-head stats reveal an extremely neck-and-neck rivalry, and the recent forms of both suggest a high-voltage affair.

Below are my betting tips for the match:

🔥 My prediction for the match is Total Games Over 21.5 with a coefficient of 1.615 odds on 1xbet 

🔥 My betting tip for the match is Both Players to Win a Set with a coefficient of 2.00 odds on Bet365

🔥 My main betting tip for the match is Match to Go to Three Sets with a coefficient of 2.18 odds on Betway

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,615
Bet Type Total Games Over 21.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,00
Bet Type Both Players to Win a Set
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Odds 2,18
Bet Type Total 3 Sets
Bonus 250 USD
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