Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov: Prediction and odds on the Match on 29 April 2025
Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 29. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the player conditions! Several betting options are available.
Claim Welcome Bonus👤Alex de Minaur: Australia ATP 7th
Tennis player Alex de Minaur from Australia has been raking much praise on him, reputed as ATP No. 7. He has a pretty good run with the last six matches raking in 4 wins and 2 losses. In fact, it is the last match he won where he got Lorenzo Sonego beaten with a straight-sets score (6-2, 6-3). Not only that, but it also showcased his improved clay court prowess. De Minaur showed a good performance: 70% first serve success rate converting four out of five break points.
The most impressive measure in this relative ro clay surface has surely been in 44 minutes in the Monte Carlo Masters quarterfinals, where he bagged a derisive double-bagel, 6-0, 6-0, against Grigor Dimitrov, taking him through to the first time at a Masters 1000 semifinal as early as his budding career. Historically, he has fared better on hard or grass courts than on this surface, but he prepared himself to excel on clay by polishing a better serve and an all-round better game strategy.
Off-court, but de Minaur is bound to show allegiance to Spain. After winning, he predicted a success of 2-1 over the rival Barcelona in the Copa del Rey final in support for Real Madrid. His part time residency in the country adds a personal touch to his campaign in Madrid.
👤 Denis Shapovalov: Canada ATP 30
Canadian Denis Shapovalov, who has a ranking of ATP No. 30, continued to have a roller-coaster kind of season, 2 to 4 records on his last six matches. Quite recently however in his last match, he beat his opponent Japanese Kei Nishikori in straight sets (6-1, 6-4), showing how it always, at least former to match. The match such Shapovalov served four aces, 60 percent successful from first serve and saved break points against him all.
Earlier this year, he won the ATP 500 Dallas Open, and defeated four top 10 players Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul, and Casper Ruud en route to that title. This victory became the biggest trophy in his career, proving that he was capable of actually performing well.
True, he has had some success on hard turf, but normally he has not been that successful on clay, having only a 45% win rate surface. His aggressive baseline play and powerful serve do not signify much on slow clay courts, in which patience and point construction are much more significant.
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🤝 Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head Statistics
De Minaur and Shapovalov, the two champions, have faced each other five times, with De Minaur coming out on top four times and only once losing to Shapovalov. Their most recent encounter came during the 2022 ATP Stockholm Open, where De Minaur secured a straight-sets victory, 6-2, 7-6. Historically, De Minaur's consistency and defence have negated Shapovalov's explosive but sometimes erratic style. On clay, their dynamic further favours De Minaur, who has adapted his game better for the slower surface than De Minaur. Also, Shapovalov's only win by De Minaur came in 2019 on a hard court, clearly highlighting the difference in strengths of the Canadian when not playing off clay. The momentum clearly lies with De Minaur.
📉 Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Betting Trend
- De Minaur must be in prime form this season, having made a turn on clay with a 67% win rate. So shall be the potential requisites for him to be a claim toward that match.
- Shapovalov is notably under 50% for his win ratio on clay, and it demonstrates the fact that he does have problems adjusting his aggressive style on the surface; perhaps this will give de Minaur the opportunity.
- With 44% conversion of breaks, De Minaur has done much better than Shapovalov's 39% this year; hence there will be more chance of him making it count.
- De Minaur's serve seems to be more reliable under pressure than Shapovalov's. He commits only 0.22 double faults per game, while Shapovalov averages 0.48.
- De Minaur's domination (4-1) in their career has led into the present date, suggesting he carries some mental obstacles into their showdown.
🎯 Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Match Prediction
The second-round matchup at the Madrid Open promises very interesting contrasts between style and recent form. Alex de Minaur is definitely showing improvement on clay so far this year while using his trademark speed and a more aggressive and consistent serve. Recently it has been even more than dominant on which clear head-to-head advantage he has against Denis Shapovalov. Now he is the clear favorite. At the same time, Shapovalov is still quite erratic; his big bombs can kill opponents on faster surfaces, but he has documented struggles on clay. Except if Shapovalov can keep a low count of unforced errors and control the point early with his serve, he would very probably have a hard time breaking through De Minaur's defensive wall. From a betting point of view, taking De Minaur indeed presents as very strong value in the light of the conversion and return statistics he has on break points.
Below are the betting tips for this match:
🔥 Our prediction for the match Under 23 games with a coefficient of 1.60 Odds on 1xbet
🔥 Our betting tip for the match is Alex de Minaur to win with a coefficient of 1.30 Odds on Betway
🔥 Our main betting tip for the match is is De Minaur to win 2-0 with a coefficient of 1.79 Odds on Bet365
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