Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Audrey Rublev Prediction: Rublev’s dominance tested by Fokina’s form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Finished
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev
Tennis, ATP 500, Barcelona, Spain 
17-Apr-2025, 12:00
Barcelona, Spain 
Red Clay Surface
Raphael George
16 Apr 2025
09:00
Statistics of the month:
47
29
0
61.84%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,91
Bet Type Rublev to win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Audrey Rublev: Prediction for the Match on April 17, 2025

Prediction for the tennis match which will take place on April 17. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Thirty-year-old Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina of Spain is in fine form, having recently managed WWWLW. In his last match, Fokina defeated Stan Wawrinka in straight sets (1-6, 4-6) through healing and tactics. He served 2 aces, committed 4 double faults, had a 58% first serve, and an impressive 80% break points saved. He converted 5 break points and had a first serve return rate of 34%, and that indicates how aggressive his return game is. Fokina is a tough customer due to his flamboyant style and current momentum.

Andrey Rublev, the Russian powerhouse and currently ranked ATP 8, has experienced mixed results with an WLWLW record. He recently demolished Jesper De Jong in straight sets (1-6, 3-6), having played dominantly from the baseline. He served 3 aces, committed 1 double fault, had a first-serve percentage of 52% and saved 50% of the break points opposed. The return aspect of Rublev's game is still a big threat, with a first-serve return win rate of 53% and 5 converted break points. His overall good run on the hard courts and experience in clutch situations give him the edge here.

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In previous encounters, Rublev has dominated, leading the head-to-head 5-0. The last meeting was at the ATP 500 Beijing 2024, where Rublev won in straight sets, 6-4, 7-5. This shows that Fokina has not yet taken a set off Rublev, indicating that the psychological advantage for Rublev is likely.

  • Rublev's 5-0 matchup record against Fokina, all with straight-set victories, demonstrates his superiority. Given his form, it seems very likely that he will win again in this clash. Rublev to win is vs valued @ 1.95 odds on 1xbet
  • Previous encounters have been decided in straight sets, suggesting a potential for a shorter match duration. We consider under total games valued @ under 22.5 games @ 1.81 odds on Betway
  • Fokina has certainly shown positive signs of his current form, having recently beaten Wawrinka. The improved return on first serves and conversion of break points could pose problems for Rublev. A win for Fokina is valued @ 1.85 odds on Bet365

While Rublev enters as the favorite, Fokina's recent form and aggressive playstyle could challenge the status quo. Bettors should consider the following tips:

Our match Prediction: Rublev to win @ 1.91 odds

Our betting tip: Under 22.5 total games @ 1.81 odds

Odds
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Odds 1,91
Bet Type Rublev to win
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Odds 1,81
Bet Type Under 22.5 total games
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Total Sets 2
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