Buckle up, MLS fans—derby day is here, and it's a Midwest showdown dripping with drama! Win-hungry Sporting Kansas City host St. Louis City SC on April 6, 2025, at Children's Mercy Park. The hosts are plummeting in free fall, 18 games without a win, and bleeding goals, while St. Louis strut into town in swaggering fashion, unbeaten in their last three against their biggest rivals. Last time these two sides met, St. Louis pirouetted off with a 3-1 win, leaving Sporting supporters sipping pints in stunned silence. With new manager Kerry Zavagnin yelling orders for Sporting and Olof Mellberg's St. Louis seeking to stage a playoff comeback, this is not merely a game—it's a revenge fixture. Who'll claim bragging rights? Treat yourself to a pint, mate, as this one's going to be a cracker!
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Sporting Kansas City are in danger, lads—five losses in their last six, a 2-1 defeat at FC Dallas their most recent. Dániel Sálloi scored a consolation, but with 63% possession and seven corners, they simply failed to put the ball in the net enough. Five on-target efforts, not one save for the goalkeeper—it's one of profligacy. Their xG for this game is a decent 1.86, but on form LLDLL, morale has to be as thin as the head on a Sunday pub pint. First game for new boss Kerry Zavagnin, who inherits a 15th-placed side with a dismal 0W-1D-5L record to show for it. Lacking Jaoquín Fernández and Andrew Brody through injury does not really assist, either.
Silver lining? Dejan Joveljic, their Serbian sniper, who has a tendency to show up at the right moment. But the stats are dismal: 18th winless, overall nine of their past games, and more than 2.5 goals in five of six. Both sides score (GG) in five of six, as well—they're about as leaky as a rusty faucet. Sporting's chances to concede first (7/9) and lose at halftime (5/6) scream trouble. However, with Zavagnin's fresh voice and a home crowd baying, could this be the night they get it right? Don't hold your breath, but stranger things have happened over a few pints!
St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC visit Kansas City with a mixed bag—two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six. Their latest loss was a lackluster 1-0 loss to Austin FC, where they controlled 65% possession, amassed eight corners, but only managed two shots on goal. One save, 11 fouls, and a yellow card later, they headed home with nothing to show for it. Their xG for this one is a paltry 0.91—hardly screaming "goal fest." Form is DWWLL, and they're in 6th with a 2W-2D-2L record, but the injury list is a nightmare: Roman Bürki, Cedric Teuchert, Rasmus Alm, Tomas Totland, Jake Girdwood-Reich, and Jayden Reid are all out. Ouch. Olof Mellberg's in the dugout, steadying the ship, and he's got Marcel Hartel pulling the strings—his single strike this season guarantees more to follow.
St. Louis love a scrap, with over 4.5 cards in four of five and over 10.5 corners in four of five, but goals? Under 2.5 in five of six suggests they're tighter than a miser's purse strings of late. Strengths are their tenacity and set-piece danger, yet that injury crisis could have them stumbling like a lad after last orders. Hartel's the one to watch—he's the one with the guile to unpick Sporting's uncertain defence. Can they continue their derby dominance? Stats favour them, but never dull when these two get entangled!
Head to Head
This is a tighter-than-a-drum rivalry—Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis City SC are locked up at three wins apiece, with two draws in eight meetings. The latest edition? St. Louis hammered Sporting 3-1 on September 29, 2024, to run unbeaten in three against their rivals. Sporting's given up in all eight games, while St. Louis have given up in seven of seven. Over 2.5 goals has paid in seven of eight, and both teams to score (GG) is a certainty at 7/7. With over 4.5 cards in five of five and over 10.5 corners in six of eight, fireworks are expected again!
History of Head-to-Heads
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Major League Soccer 2024
Sporting Kansas City
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Major League Soccer Playoff 2023
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Expert Betting Tips
Sporting KC Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.72: New manager bounce at home could steal something—they have the xG advantage (1.86 to 0.91).
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.749: Seven of the eight H2H games have gone over, and Sporting's last five of six scream goals galore. Juicy odds!
Over 9 Corners @ 1.66: Six of eight H2H meetings and both teams' recent records (4/5 each) suggest set-pieces will mount up. Juicy punt!
Other predictions
