New York City FC vs Minnesota United Prediction: Can Minnesota's momentum break NYCFC’s home edge?

New York City FC
New York City FC
Finished
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
Football, USA, MLS
06-Apr-2025, 22:00
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, USA
Raphael George
05 Apr 2025
17:37
Statistics of the month:
82
44
0
65.08%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Both Teams to Score
Bonus 100 EUR
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New York City FC vs Minnesota United Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 6 April 2025

Prepare for an exciting East vs. West MLS battle as New York City FC host Minnesota United at Yankee Stadium this Saturday night. The Pigeons are still licking their wounds from a 4-3 rollercoaster loss at the hands of Atlanta, while Minnesota comes in very confident and with clean sheets. With both teams showing attacking prowess and defensive weaknesses, this one is set to go either way. Pascal Jansen's NYCFC are in desperate need of points to move up the standings, but Eric Ramsay's Loons come swaggering in with form, structure, and swagger. It's form against firepower, streak against salvation. Hold your breath under Bronx lights!

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New York City FC have been the MLS face of inconsistency—scoring a punch one day and leaking the next. Their recent 4-3 defeat to Atlanta was a rollercoaster affair; Hannes Wolf delivered with a double, Adrián Martinez maintained his scoring streak, but the defense collapsed. They had only 1 corner given and kept possession for 56% but weren't as clinical where it mattered.

Coach Pascal Jansen's side is mid-table (10th), with 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats on their record. Their xG of 1.56 shows that they are creating chances, but defensive errors are denying them. On the positive side, they've been disciplined, with less than 4.5 cards in 8 of their previous 10 games.

The star man? Adrián Martinez. With 4 goals, his clinical finishing makes NYC's biggest weapon.

But those injuries to Malachi Jones, Jacob Arroyave, and Andrés Perea stretch a midfield that's already been unpredictable.

Recent Form: L-W-W-D-L

Standout Streak: Under 4.5 cards in 8 of their last 10

Strength: Attacking combinations

Weakness: Defensive lapses and lack of corners

Minnesota United are on fire. Five games unbeaten, fourth in the league, and having just dispatched Real Salt Lake 2-0, they're the team in form here. They're not flashy—just 34% possession last game—but ruthlessly effective. Tani Oluwaseyi netted a brace, and Dayne St. Claire between the sticks collected his 5th clean sheet of the season.

Coach Eric Ramsay has his team well-organized and hard to break into. With xG of 1.36, they don't create but score efficiently and stay compact.

Minnesota are card-disciplined too (under 4.5 in 9 of 10), and efficient—scored first in last 5, and have under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7.

Short of Hassani Dotson and Kipp Keller somewhat taints depth, but their compact shape is still a nightmare for visitors.

Recent Form: W-W-D-D-W

Standout Streaks: Score first 5/5, Unbeaten in 5

Strength: Game management and clean sheets

Weakness: Low possession/control

These two have quietly built a sneaky rivalry.

Record: Minnesota 4 wins, NYCFC 3, Draws 1

Last meeting: NYCFC won 1-0 (Feb 15, 2025)

Trends:

Under 2.5 goals in 5 of last 6

Minnesota scored first in 6 of last 8

Under 4.5 cards in 5 of 6

History of Head-to-Heads

Major League Soccer 2025 Major League Soccer 2025
06.04.25
New York City FC New York City FC
1 - 2
Minnesota United Minnesota United
Major League Soccer 2023 Major League Soccer 2023
21.08.23
New York City FC New York City FC
0 - 2
Minnesota United Minnesota United
Major League Soccer 2022 Major League Soccer 2022
29.05.22
Minnesota United Minnesota United
0 - 1
New York City FC New York City FC
Major League Soccer 2019 Major League Soccer 2019
14.04.19
Minnesota United Minnesota United
3 - 3
New York City FC New York City FC
Major League Soccer 2018 Major League Soccer 2018
30.09.18
Minnesota United Minnesota United
2 - 1
New York City FC New York City FC

New York City FC Latest Games

New York City FC New York City FC
04.05.25
New York City FC New York City FC
1 - 0
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
26.04.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 1
New York City FC New York City FC
20.04.25
New England Revolution New England Revolution
2 - 0
New York City FC New York City FC
13.04.25
New York City FC New York City FC
1 - 0
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
06.04.25
New York City FC New York City FC
1 - 2
Minnesota United Minnesota United

Minnesota United Latest Games

Minnesota United Minnesota United
04.05.25
Austin FC Austin FC
0 - 3
Minnesota United Minnesota United
27.04.25
Minnesota United Minnesota United
1 - 3
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
20.04.25
Minnesota United Minnesota United
0 - 0
FC Dallas FC Dallas
12.04.25
Toronto FC Toronto FC
0 - 0
Minnesota United Minnesota United
06.04.25
New York City FC New York City FC
1 - 2
Minnesota United Minnesota United

Both Teams to Score (1.6) - NYCFC attack clicks at home, but they can’t keep clean sheets.

Minnesota to Score First (2.17) - 5/5 games they’ve done it. Solid starters.

Tani Oluwaseyi to Score/Assist (2.25) - In form, brimming with confidence after last game brace.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Both Teams to Score
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,17
Bet Type Minnesota to Score First
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type Tani Oluwaseyi to Score/Assist
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