LAFC vs St. Louis City SC: Prediction for the Match on April 28, 2025

Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
Finished
St Louis City SC
St Louis City SC
Football, USA, MLS
28.04.2025, 02:00
Banc of California Stadium, Los Angeles, USA



Raphael George
27 Apr 2025
06:35
Statistics of the month:
64
32
0
66.67%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,628
Bet Type Under 3 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City SC: Prediction for the Match on April 28, 2025

Prediction for the MLS match which will take place on April 28. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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As teams move from a position of strength into turbulence, each fixture serves as a moment for either resurrection or amplified collapse. Los Angeles FC now finds itself in that space: ready for a chapter in transition after coach Steve Cherundolo shocked everyone with the announcement of his departure at season's end (MLS Soccer). With four wins, one draw, and four losses this season, LAFC is hanging onto a precarious 7th position in the Western Conference. Their recent form shows inconsistency-WLLWD-but still manages to pull off a surprise at home, WWLWW.

In their latest match, LAFC recorded a gritty 2-1 win over San Jose Earthquakes, managing to clock up 49% of possession, 4 shots on target, and 4 corners, with exemplary discipline shown as there were no yellow cards issued to them (ESPN). However, the defensive frailties remain with LAFC conceding in four straight matches, something which would generate concern for them-and while they do possess firepower in attack; one also interesting statistic is that in 6 of their last 8 matches, LAFC has seen an average of 4.5 cards, indicating a certain edginess within the squad. 

Meanwhile, LAFC is rapidly adjusting on player personnel dynamics. Newcomers Ryan Raposo and Frankie Amaya are looking to fill gaps left by the departures of Jesús Murillo and Ilie Sánchez (The Athletic).  LAFC's ambition remains solid, albeit with an increasingly bumpy road ahead, one that their supporters are not accustomed to.

🔖 Expected Lineup (4-3-3): Lloris – Palencia, Long, Hollingshead, Segura – Chanot, Delgado, Igor Jesus – Bouanga, Giroud, Ordaz

⛔️ Out: Maxime Chanot, Lorenzo Dellavalle

👤Head coach: Steven Cherundolo 

Los Angeles FC Latest Games

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
04.05.25
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
2 - 0
Houston Dynamo FC Houston Dynamo FC
28.04.25
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
2 - 2
St. Louis City St. Louis City
20.04.25
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
3 - 3
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
13.04.25
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
2 - 1
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
10.04.25
Inter Miami CF Inter Miami CF
3 - 1
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC

St. Louis City Latest Games

St. Louis City St. Louis City
11.05.25
St. Louis City St. Louis City
1 - 2
San Diego FC San Diego FC
04.05.25
Seattle Sounders FC Seattle Sounders FC
4 - 1
St. Louis City St. Louis City
28.04.25
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
2 - 2
St. Louis City St. Louis City
20.04.25
St. Louis City St. Louis City
0 - 0
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
14.04.25
St. Louis City St. Louis City
1 - 2
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew

It's stubborn spirit or creeping decline? The very dreadful series in the last several matches, now lying in 12th position in the league, suggests that this team is in decline. But, there is a spirit of defensive grit shining through here. Still, away from home, they've been treacherous with one win in the last five road matches (LDWLL). Defense was the name of the game, huffing and puffing through yet another performance against VAR-modified discontent with a minuscule 45% of the possession, five corners won, and strong tactical demarcations. To date, remarkably, they have been able to register five clean sheets this season, thanks to Ben Lundt, who has been filling in for injured Roman Bürki. 

Recruiting is aggressive off the pitch: Portuguese winger Xande Silva is coming over from Atlanta United, while Simon Becher joins permanently from his successful loan (Transfermrkt). These reinforcements are expected to rectify an attack that has recently sputtered, with under 2.5 goals cashing in 5 of their last 6 matches.

🔖 Expected Lineup (3-4-3): Lundt – Baumgartl, Hiebert, Yaro – Kessler, Morales, Wallem, Hartel – Klauss, Teuchert, Célio Pompeu

⛔️ Out: Joakim Nilsson, Chris Durkin, Roman Bürki, Rasmus Alm, John Reid

👤Head coach: Olof Mellberg

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The rivalry between these sides is still young but slightly compelling. On the pitch, LAFC has been terrible, winning three of five clashes, with St. Louis City garnering a victory and one match ending in a draw (Flashscore).

Their last meeting saw a narrow 1-0 win to LAFC. And under 2.5 goals have been cancelled in four of the last five meetings, underlining the chess tactical battles going on between the two teams.

History of Head-to-Heads

Major League Soccer 2025 Major League Soccer 2025
28.04.25
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
2 - 2
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Major League Soccer 2024 Major League Soccer 2024
03.10.24
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
1 - 0
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Major League Soccer 2024 Major League Soccer 2024
16.05.24
St. Louis City St. Louis City
0 - 2
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer 2023 Major League Soccer 2023
21.09.23
St. Louis City St. Louis City
0 - 0
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer 2023 Major League Soccer 2023
13.07.23
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
3 - 0
St. Louis City St. Louis City
  • Both teams have struggled offensively: St. Louis in 5 of last 6 games, and LAFC adopting a more cautious style recently.
  • Over 10.5 corners has occurred in 5 of St. Louis' last 7 matches and LAFC games are trending upwards too, with 11 total corners against San Jose

It is a face-off between the strong home side against a misfiring guest, and yet, it comes with a lot of nuances. LAFC continues to thrive at home, garnering five wins from their last six games at BMO Stadium. With the attacking flair generated especially through Bouanga and Giroud at the disposal for LA, this should be enough to break through Saint Louis City's compact defense. However, it might actually not be a free-scoring encounter since St. Louis City has been a tough nut to crack despite their recent poor form. In fact, they have been boasting five clean sheets this season and an underperformance on xG against their adversaries well below league averages (Understat).

Even though the LAFC defense has sometimes failed due to errors, while Saint Louis has not yet learned to score more consistently, the most likely scenario is a low-scoring victory for LAFC. According to the betting trends, this strongly favors Under 2.5 goals with LAFC winning instead of in something like a blowout. Corners are another market to keep an eye on since both sides also tend to use width and cross.

Below are the betting tips for the upcoming match: 

🔥 Our prediction for the match is Under 3 Goals with a coefficient of 1.628 Odds on 1xbet 

🔥 Our betting tip for the match is LAFC to win & Under 3.5 Goals with a coefficient of 2.17 Odds on Betway

🔥 Our main betting tip for the match is Over 9 Corners with a coefficient of 1.66 Odds on Bet365

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,628
Bet Type Under 3 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,17
Bet Type LAFC to win & Under 3.5
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type Over 9 Corners
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