Germany vs Italy Prediction: The Germans will once again be stronger

Germany
Germany
Finished
Italy
Italy

UEFA Nations League. League  A – Quarter Finals

Stadium: Westfalenstadion (Dortmund)

Referee:Szymon Marciniak

Valeriia Shikhova
23 Mar 2025
16:15
All time statistics:
1332
1312
12
50.15%
Statistics
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Germany vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds│ 23 MARCH, 2025

Prediction for the UEFA Nations League Germany vs Italy match will occur on March 23. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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The German national team is unbeaten in the last four major international tournaments, which is hardly satisfactory. Hopes were high for Germany at Euro 2024, where they progressed through the group stage, beating Denmark 2-0 in the last eight before falling to the Spaniards 2-1 in the quarter-finals.

While Julian Nagelsmann's charges await selection for the 2026 World Cup, they also want to win a trophy in the UEFA Nations League. They finished top of their group with 14 points from a possible 18. The Germans beat the Italians 2-1 in the first quarter-final to take a big step towards the semi-finals.

The Italian national team's performance has been even more disappointing of late. The Italians triumphed in Euro 2020, where they sensationally won the title, but they missed out on the last two World Cups in a row and failed to defend their title in Euro 2024, losing 2-0 to Switzerland.

In the UEFA Nations League group stages, Luciano Spalletti's charges were in fine form. They finished second in their group with 13 points from a possible 18. The Azzurri looked capable of giving the Germans a run for their money in the quarter-finals, but they were beaten 2-1 at home.

History of Head-to-Heads

UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff 2024/2025 UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff 2024/2025
23.03.25
Germany Germany
3 - 3
Italy Italy
UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff 2024/2025 UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff 2024/2025
20.03.25
Italy Italy
1 - 2
Germany Germany
UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2022/2023 UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2022/2023
14.06.22
Germany Germany
5 - 2
Italy Italy
UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2022/2023 UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2022/2023
04.06.22
Italy Italy
1 - 1
Germany Germany
Friendlies 2016 Friendlies 2016
15.11.16
Italy Italy
0 - 0
Germany Germany

Germany Latest Games

Germany Germany
23.03.25
Germany Germany
3 - 3
Italy Italy
20.03.25
Italy Italy
1 - 2
Germany Germany
14.10.24
Germany Germany
1 - 0
Netherlands Netherlands
11.10.24
Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina
1 - 2
Germany Germany
10.09.24
Netherlands Netherlands
2 - 2
Germany Germany

Italy Latest Games

Italy Italy
23.03.25
Germany Germany
3 - 3
Italy Italy
20.03.25
Italy Italy
1 - 2
Germany Germany
14.10.24
Italy Italy
4 - 1
Israel Israel
10.10.24
Italy Italy
2 - 2
Belgium Belgium
09.09.24
Israel Israel
1 - 2
Italy Italy

The national teams of Germany and Italy have met 38 times in history. The Germans have 10 wins to their name, while the Italians have 15 wins and 13 draws. The goal difference is also on the side of Italy - 54:49. Julian Nagelsmann's side won the first leg 2-1.

Italy's progress in the group stages of the UEFA Nations League has been impressive. Luciano Spalletti's men hope to challenge the Germans to win a place in the semi-finals. The Azzurri could not cope with their opponents at home, losing 2-1, and will face an even more challenging task in Dortmund. Julian Nagelsmann's side are on a winning streak at home and are well placed to extend that run. As a result, we can back Germany to win.

Both Germany and Italy have been playing prolific football of late. The Germans scored 20 goals in their last seven matches (2.86 goals per game), while the Azzurri scored 14 goals in the same period (2.00 goals per game). 

W1 - 1.85 Bet365

TO 2.5 - 1.80 Betway

BTTS - Yes - 1.75 1XBET

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