Sporting vs Borussia D Prediction: Dortmund fail in Lisbon

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League. Round of 32
Stadium: Estadio Jose Alvalade (Lisbon)
Referee: Espen Eskaas
11.02.2025 23:00
Olesya Samkina
11 Feb 2025
01:43
Statistics of the month:
11
5
0
68.75%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type Total Over 2.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Sporting vs Borussia D Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds│ 11 FEBRUARY, 2025

Prediction for the UEFA Champions League match which will take place on February 11. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Sporting has been successful in the Portuguese championship in recent years. For almost two decades, the Lions failed to win the national championship, but then they became champions in the 2020/21 season, and won another trophy in the last edition of the tournament. Now the Green-Whites are trying to defend the title, and they are doing it very successfully: at the end of matchday 21, they are leading the standings, ahead of the nearest of the pursuers by four points.

Such a successful performance in the domestic arena allowed Sporting to find themselves right at the general stage of the Champions League, where they made an extremely productive debut. In the four starting rounds, they only once drew with PSV - 1:1, while they defeated Lille - 2:0, Sturm - 2:0, and also defeated Man City - 4:1. After that came a slump. The Portuguese lost to Arsenal - 1:5, Bruges - 1:2, Leipzig - 1:2, but in the last game was a draw with Bologna - 1:1, allowing them to keep the 23rd place in the overall table.

To the upcoming confrontation the White-Green are approaching, being in good shape. In the last three rounds of the Portuguese championship they beat Nacional - 2:0, Farense - 3:1, and were also close to success in the away battle with Porto: Sporting led 1:0, but conceded in the 94th minute and settled for a draw - 1:1.

Borussia D is the finalist of the last Champions League. A year earlier, the Bumblebees sensationally reached the deciding game of the tournament, where they still lost to Real Madrid - 0:2. This season, too, the Black-and-Yellows are performing well on the international stage. In eight matches at the general stage they beat Brugge - 3:0, Celtic - 7:1, Sturm - 1:0, Dinamo Zagreb - 3:0, as well as Shakhtar - 3:1, while losing to Real Madrid - 2:5, Barcelona - 2:3, Bologna - 1:2. This was enough for tenth place in the overall table.

But in the Bundesliga, Dortmund are doing extremely poorly. From the very beginning of the championship they showed mediocre results, and in January in a week they lost three times in a row, after which Nuri Shaheen was sent off. After that, they shared points with Werder - 2:2, barely beat Heidenheim - 2:1, and last weekend already under Niko Kovac failed to cope with Stuttgart - 1:2. Now Borussia occupies only 11th place in the league standings.

It seemed that in winter Dortmund will be active on the transfer market to straighten out the squad and improve the tournament position, but in fact it turned out differently. They rented Carney Chukwuemeka and Daniel Svensson, returned Salih Ozdjan from loan, while selling Donyell Malen. These moves hardly made the Bumblebees noticeably stronger.

Sporting and Borussia D have had four head-to-head meetings throughout history. Three times Dortmund won - 2:1, 1:0 and 1:0, and once the Lisboners were stronger - 3:1.

  • Borussia lost in three of the last four away matches.
  • In the last five matches in a row with Borussia overcame the bookmaker's total over.
  • In the last five matches in a row with Borussia there was an exchange of goals.
  • Borussia have conceded at least two goals in six of their last eight matches.

Sporting in the current season continues to show very even solid results. The reigning Portuguese champion is leading in the national championship, while the Lisboners have a balanced squad, and Rui Borges, although he took charge of the team recently, but did not break everything that worked for Ruben Amorim. Borussia's situation is much worse. Dortmund have recently been clinging to points only in games against mid-table and Bundesliga outsiders, and Niko Kovac has clearly not yet had time to convey ideas to his charges, working with the Bumblebees for less than two weeks. As a result, we can bet on a win for Sporting in the first match of the confrontation.

Borussia recently not only very rarely wins, but also very weak in defense. In eight previous matches in all tournaments, Dortmund conceded 17 goals (2.13 per game on average) - a disgusting statistic in itself, while in six out of eight cases they conceded at least twice, and they haven't played at zero since November, i.e. in 13 consecutive battles. In addition, in eight of the last nine matches with the Bumblebees they overcame the bookmaker's total over, so the best option for the prediction is a total over 2.5 goals, and separately it is worth betting on the individual total of Sporting over 1.5 goals.

Total Over 2.5 for 1.70

W1 for 2.29

Total 1 Over 1.5 for 1.91

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type Total Over 2.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,29
Bet Type W1
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,91
Bet Type Total 1 Over 1.5
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