Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: the hosts will have an advantage before the return game

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League. Round of 16
Stadium: Santiago Bernabeu (Madrid)
04.03.2025 23:00
Olesya Samkina
03 Mar 2025
19:18
Statistics of the month:
11
5
0
68.75%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type BTTS
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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds│ 4 MARCH, 2025

Prediction for the UEFA Champions League match which will take place on March 4. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Real Madrid has serious problems with the results in the domestic arena this season. Madrid failed to win the Spanish Super Cup, losing in the decisive battle to Barcelona - 2:5. They did not lose to Celta in the quarterfinals of the Cup of the country, but still won in extra time and continue the battle for the trophy. At the same time in the national championship things have gone bad: in the last five rounds they beat only Girona - 2:0, a couple more times played a draw, and twice lost, because of which they have slipped to third place in the standings of the Examples.

Real Madrid have not been the best in the overall stage of the Champions League. In eight rounds they allowed three defeats, failing to cope with Lille - 0:1, Milan - 1:3, as well as with Liverpool - 0:2. In the five remaining meetings they still managed to win, and therefore they took the final 11th place in the standings and went to the round of 32, where they were waiting for a meeting with Man City. They had a great encounter with the Citizens: in Manchester they won - 3:2, and at the Santiago Bernabeu - 3:1. All this allowed Real Madrid to reach the round of 16 of the tournament.

In the upcoming match, the capital team will have serious personnel losses. Still in the club's infirmary remain Dani Carvajal, Jesus Vallejo and Eder Militao. In addition, Dani Ceballos and Federico Valverde have recently been injured, while Jude Bellingham has had too many yellow cards and will now have to miss the game due to suspension.

Atletico is having a very strong season. For 26 rounds in the current Primera, they allowed only two defeats, and they lost not to the top clubs, but to Betis and Leganes - 0:1 each. In the last two battles in the national championship, they beat Valencia and Athletic - 3:0 and 1:0, respectively, which allows them to sit in second place in the standings, behind the leader only one point. In addition, in the Spanish Cup Madrid have already reached the semifinals, where the first game away drew with Barcelona - 4:4, and therefore have a good chance to reach the final.

They are also playing at a solid level on the international stage. They had a tough October, when they lost to Benfica and Lille by turns - 0:4 and 1-3, respectively, but in the six remaining matches they defeated Leipzig - 2:1, PSG - 2:1, Sparta - 6:0, Slovan - 3:1, Bayer - 2:1, as well as Salzburg - 4:1. With 18 points, the Spaniards finished in fifth place in the overall Champions League standings, and therefore automatically qualified for the round of 16.

Throughout history, Real Madrid and Atletico have played 239 head-to-head matches. On the account of they won 116 times, they were stronger in 60 matches, and another 63 games ended in a draw. This season, the rivals have met twice already, and both times there was a draw - 1:1.

  • Real won in four of the last five home matches.
  • In the last nine consecutive head-to-head meetings between Real Madrid and Atletico, goals have been exchanged.
  • Real Madrid scored at least two goals in five of the last six home matches.
  • Atletico scored at least two goals in five of the last eight matches.
  • In five of the last seven home matches Real Madrid reached the bookmaker's total over.

Real Madrid is approaching the first match of the round of 16, being in a bad mood. Last weekend, they unexpectedly lost to Betis in the Primera, because of which they are now three points behinhe leading Barcelona, while they still have a lot of injured and suspended players. The situation is difficult, however, and before the confrontation with Man City in the round of 32 was not easier, but in the Champions League Carlo Ancelotti's wards always change and play at a completely different level. And now, playing at the Santiago Bernabeu, they must earn an advantage before the return battle, so we suggest betting on the victory of Real Madrid.

Not so long ago, the confrontation between Real Madrid and Atletico was always poor on goals and events, but recently the Madrid clubs categorically refuse to leave the field without scoring. In nine consecutive head-to-head encounters, the teams have already exchanged goals, and the total number of goals scored during this stretch was 33 (3.67 per game on average).

BTTS for 1.78

W1 for 1.94

Total Over 2.5 for 1.99

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type BTTS
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Odds 1,94
Bet Type W1
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Odds 1,99
Bet Type Total Over 2.5
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