Real Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction, Bettings Tips & Odds for the UCL match - 16.04.2025

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal
Champions League – Quarter Finals

Stadium: Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Francois Letexier

Valeriia Shikhova
16 Apr 2025
14:56
All time statistics:
1332
1312
12
50.15%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,35
Bet Type TO 3.5
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Real Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds│ 16 APRIL, 2025

The return leg of the Champions League quarter-final of the 2024/25 season will take place on the pitch of the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid on 16 April 2025. Home side Real Madrid will host Arsenal from London.

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It has been a difficult season for Real Madrid. Madrid has already added two trophies to its collection by winning the UEFA Super Cup and the Intercontinental Cup, but the list of achievements could end there. Madrid failed in the battle for the Spanish Super Cup and is second in the Primera Liga table, four points behind leaders Barcelona. Although they reached the final of the Copa del Rey, Carlo Ancelotti's charges still await a rematch with the Catalans, whom they have beaten on both occasions this season.

Madrid are also on the brink of elimination from the Champions League. They struggled for results right from the start of the tournament, finishing 11th in the general standings and being forced to play in the last 16. The Spaniards gradually got into the swing of things, overcoming Manchester City 3-2 and 3-1, then beating Atletico 2-1 and 1-1 in the last 16 final before suffering a crushing 3-0 defeat at the hands of Arsenal in the first quarter-final.

Arsenal is on the verge of finishing second in the APL for the third season running. The Londoners finished behind Man City in the last two editions of the English championship. Although the Citizens are not in contention for the title, the Gunners have overtaken Liverpool. With six rounds, the Reds are 13 points adrift of the Merseysiders, and any chance of winning the title will soon be gone. At the same time, Mikel Arteta's side is six points clear of their nearest challengers and is unlikely to drop below second place.

However, the Londoners have been in fine form on the international stage. In the general phase of the Champions League, they finished third in the group to progress directly to the last 16. Their opponents were PSV, whom the English side crushed 7-1 in the first leg and drew 2-2 in the return. In the first quarter-final, Mikel Arteta's men were ready to take on the big boys by beating Real Madrid 3-0, with Declan Rice the match's hero, scoring twice from free-kicks.

Real Madrid Latest Games

Real Madrid Real Madrid
24.05.25
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2 - 0
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
18.05.25
Sevilla Sevilla
0 - 2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
14.05.25
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2 - 1
Mallorca Mallorca
11.05.25
Barcelona Barcelona
4 - 3
Real Madrid Real Madrid
04.05.25
Real Madrid Real Madrid
3 - 2
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo

Arsenal Latest Games

Arsenal Arsenal
25.05.25
Southampton Southampton
1 - 2
Arsenal Arsenal
18.05.25
Arsenal Arsenal
1 - 0
Newcastle United Newcastle United
11.05.25
Liverpool Liverpool
2 - 2
Arsenal Arsenal
07.05.25
PSG PSG
2 - 1
Arsenal Arsenal
03.05.25
Arsenal Arsenal
1 - 2
Bournemouth Bournemouth

Real Madrid and Arsenal have met five times in history. The Londoners have won three times, while two others have ended in draws. Madrid are yet to win in the head-to-head rivalry. Mikel Arteta's men ran out 3-0 winners in the first leg of the current Champions League quarter-final.

History of Head-to-Heads

Champions League Final Stage 2024/2025 Champions League Final Stage 2024/2025
16.04.25
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1 - 2
Arsenal Arsenal
Champions League Final Stage 2024/2025 Champions League Final Stage 2024/2025
08.04.25
Arsenal Arsenal
3 - 0
Real Madrid Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid has won five of their last seven home games. You can back Real Madrid to win at odds of 1.70 at 1xbet.
  • Real Madrid has scored at least two goals in six of their last seven home matches. You can back Real Madrid to score more than 1.5 goals at odds of 1.60 at 1xbet.
  • Real Madrid has scored at least once in their last five home matches. You can bet on 'Both teams will score - Yes' at odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
  • You can bet on TO 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55 at 1xbet.
  • Real have conceded in 10 of their last 11 home games. You can back Arsenal to win by more than 0.5 goals at odds of 1.45 at 1xbet.

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Analysts at Betway have Real Madrid as a favorite to win the game. A Madrid win is priced at odds of 1.70. Bets on Arsenal to win have odds of 4.70, while a draw has odds of 4.40.

Betting on Carlo Ancelotti's side to qualify for the next round of the Champions League is available at odds of 6.20. The Londoners are available at odds of 1.15 to win.

The bookmaker believes the return match between Real Madrid and Arsenal will be a goal-laden affair. A total of more than 2.5 goals is available at odds of 1.55, while a total of less than 2.5 goals is available at odds of 2.40.

Real Madrid is the reigning champions of the tournament and have lifted 15 trophies. Real can have all sorts of problems in domestic competitions, but once they step onto the international stage, all difficulties disappear, and results start to flow. It is all the more surprising that Carlo Ancelotti's men were beaten 3-0 by Arsenal in their first quarter-final. Still, that match was played in London, and the Spaniards were performing miracles at the Santiago Bernabeu. Now they are in a position to cause an upset, so take a risk and get Real Madrid back to progress.

Having lost by three goals in the first quarter-final, Real Madrid must take risks in the return leg and go on the attack from the first minute. Yes, Arsenal will have the opportunity to hit back, but there is no point in Madrid keeping the scores level. Such a scenario suggests sharp football and efficiency from both sides, while Spurs are struggling defensively, having conceded at least once in 10 of their last 11 home games.

Our picks:

TO 3.5 for 2.35 at bet365

W1 for 1.73 at betway

Kylian Mbappé Will Score 2.05 at 1xbet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,35
Bet Type TO 3.5
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Odds 1,73
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,05
Bet Type Kylian Mbappé Will Score
Bonus 100 EUR
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