Real Madrid vs Atletico Prediction: Expecting Goal Exchange

Real Madrid will be playing Atlético at home in the 23rd round of La Liga on 8 February at 11pm. Bookies think Real has the best chance of winning, since they're the hosts of the field. Telecomasia is offering a  prediction for the match and you can also check out some important stats.

Real Madrid

Madrid played 11 matches in 2025: three in the cup, two in the Spanish Super Cup, two in the Champions League and four in La Liga. They beat Valencia, Las Palmas and Valladolid, but lost to Espanyol in the last round of the Primera. After the 23rd round of the Spanish championship, Real is in 1st place in the La Liga standings with 49 points. They're just one point ahead of second Atlético. Real Madrid's home record is second in the division, with +9=0-1, 28:10 goal difference.

Atlético

In 2025, Atlético played nine matches, knocking out Marbella, Elche, and Getafe, beating Bayer and Salzburg in the Champions League, and Osasuna and Mallorca in La Liga. They also had an unexpected defeat to Leganés and a home draw with Villarreal. Before the start of the 23rd round of Primera, the visitors are in 2nd place in the Spanish championship standings with 48 points. They're just one point behind the leaders, Real Madrid. The guest statistics for the capital team are 4th in the division, with 4 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses and 2 goals scored against, and 14 goals scored.

H2H Meetings

Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid have played each other once this season, and the match at Atlético's arena ended in a 1:1 draw. All in all, Real Madrid and Atlético have played each other 238 times, with Real Madrid winning 116, drawing 116, and Atlético winning 62 – 60. The goal difference is 395 to 305 to Real Madrid. Real Madrid has won 122 matches on their home turf, with 59% of those being wins for the home team, 25% ending in draws, and 16% going to Atlético.

Stats Betting

• Real Madrid has won 59% of all home matches against Athletic.
• In the last 8 encounters between the teams, both teams have scored.
• Atletico has not lost in the last five encounters.
• Four games between the teams ended in a draw.

Bookmakers' Offers

Madrid's victory in this match is given by bookmakers 1xbet at odds of 1.94. Atletico to win is offered at odds of 4.05. The odds suggest that there will be around 3 goals scored in the match. The total over (2.5) goals can be bet on with odds 1.74 and on the total under (2.5) - for 2.27.

Expert Betting Tips

Both teams are coming off Spanish Cup games in midweek, although Real Madrid's trip to Leganes will not be an easy one. We also note that Atletico has not lost to Real Madrid for a long time, with the teams from the capital regularly exchanging goals. We believe the goal-exchanging trend will continue and offer this option as our first bet. As for the result, we expect another quality game from the Indians, rather than a defeat. In general, we will not be surprised if the match ends in a 1:1 draw. 

Our picks:

BTTS for 1.61

Draw for 3.96

CS 1:1 for 7.00