Moreirense vs Nacional Prediction: A win for the hosts look likely

Moreirense
Moreirense
Finished
Nacional da Madeira
Nacional da Madeira
Portugal Primeira Liga. Round 31
Stadium: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: Bruno Vieira
27.04.2025 17:30
Adeyemi Ayomide Emmanuel
26 Apr 2025
14:00
All time statistics:
1098
805
14
57.28%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,65
Bet Type Under 2.5
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Moreirense vs Nacional: Prediction for the Match on April 27, 2025

Moreirense will settle scores with Nacional at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques on Sunday, 27 April 2025. Moreirense are unbeaten in 13 of their last 14 games against Nacional. Can they continue this run? Below, you will find the team news, possible starting lineup, head-to-head statistics, interesting facts, betting tips, and odds.

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Moreirense suffered a 3-1 loss to Sporting in their last game, marking their second consecutive loss. They had earlier lost 2-0 to Rio Ave. Prior to these losses, they had won five straight games. The Green and whites have only lost three games in their last 21 games at home. The Men from Moreira de Cónegos are 10th on the table with 35 points in 30 games, scoring 35 goals and conceding 44. With only four games remaining in the season, they will still face off against FC Porto, Estoril, and AVS, but the good news is that they are free from relegation.

Moreirense: Lineup

Cristiano Bacci has two players out of this clash due to injuries. However, I expect Yan Maranhao to lead the attack of this team in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Maracás and Marcelo partnering in the centre back. Dinis Pinto and Godfried Frimpong will provide both defensive and attacking strength from the fullback areas.

🔖Moreirense possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Goalkeeper – Kewin

Defenders – Dinis Pinto, Maracás, Marcelo, Godfried Frimpong

Midfielders – Sidnei Tavares, Lawrence Ofori, Benny, Alanzinho, Cedric Teguia

Attackers — Yan Maranhao

⛔️ Out: Hernani Infande (ligament injury), Guilherme Liberato (knee injury).

👤 Head coach: Cristiano Bacci

Moreirense Latest Games

Moreirense Moreirense
17.05.25
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
0 - 3
Moreirense Moreirense
11.05.25
Moreirense Moreirense
2 - 2
Estoril Estoril
02.05.25
FC Porto FC Porto
3 - 1
Moreirense Moreirense
27.04.25
Moreirense Moreirense
1 - 1
Nacional Nacional
18.04.25
Sporting CP Sporting CP
3 - 1
Moreirense Moreirense

Nacional Latest Games

Nacional Nacional
17.05.25
FC Porto FC Porto
3 - 0
Nacional Nacional
10.05.25
Nacional Nacional
3 - 3
Rio Ave Rio Ave
03.05.25
Nacional Nacional
1 - 2
Vitoria de Guimaraes Vitoria de Guimaraes
27.04.25
Moreirense Moreirense
1 - 1
Nacional Nacional
19.04.25
Nacional Nacional
0 - 3
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente

Nacional suffered a 3-0 loss to Gil Vicente in their last game, extending their losing run to three in their last four games. On the road, they have managed two wins and a total of nine points in their last 15 games this season, which is the joint-worst away record. They sit 13th on the table with 32 points in 30 games, having scored 27 goals and conceded 41. With four games remaining in the season, they need one more win to be sure of safety ahead of next season. Nationalists will still face Guimaraes, Rio Ave, and FC Porto in their remaining games of the season. 

Nacional: Lineup

Tiago Margarido will continue with his favourite 4-2-3-1 formation in this clash, with Lucas França continuing his place as the first-choice goalkeeper, but Goalkeeper Rui Encarnacao, the second-choice goalie, won’t make this trip to the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques after he was given a red card on the bench in their last game.

🔖 Nacional possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Goalkeeper – Lucas França

Defenders – Gustavo Garcia, Ulisses, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Djibril Soumaré

Midfielders – Daniel Penha, Fuki Yamada, Luís Esteves, Paulinho Bóia

Attacker — Joel Tagueu

⛔️ Out: Rui Encarnacao (red card), Miguel Baeza (muscle injury).

👤 Head coach: Tiago Margarido

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History of Head-to-Heads

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
27.04.25
Moreirense Moreirense
1 - 1
Nacional Nacional
Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
14.12.24
Nacional Nacional
1 - 0
Moreirense Moreirense
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023
18.03.23
Nacional Nacional
0 - 2
Moreirense Moreirense
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023
09.10.22
Moreirense Moreirense
3 - 1
Nacional Nacional
Primeira Liga 2020/2021 Primeira Liga 2020/2021
06.05.21
Moreirense Moreirense
2 - 2
Nacional Nacional
  • Moreirense have won five of their last seven games;
  • Nacional have the joint-worst away record this season with two wins in their last 15 games. Bet365 offers 2.20 odds for the hosts to win this game;
  • Moreirense are unbeaten in 13 of their last 14 games against Nacional;
  • Six of the last eight Moreirense games saw fewer than three goals. This option is available at 1.65 odds on Bet365;
  • Three of the last four Nacional games saw fewer than three goals.

Nacional are one of the worst-performing teams in the league at the momen,t particularly while playing on the road. They have managed just nine points in their 15 games on the road this season, and I can practically back any home team to defeat them. Moreover, the hosts have a strong record of playing against Nacional, having lost just once in their last 14 games. However, due to the low productive sense of the attack of both sides, I expect the hosts to keep a clean sheet and keep the scoreline pretty minimal.

Below are our predictions for this game. 

Our match prediction: Under 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.65 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Moreirense to win for a coefficient of 2.21 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Both Teams to Score – No for a coefficient of 1.83 in the Betway bookmaker.

Odds
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