FC Porto vs Famalicao Prediction: The Dragons Can Win But Not Without Conceding

FC Porto
FC Porto
Finished
Famalicao
Famalicao
Portuguese Primeira Liga 
Round 30
FC Porto vs. Famalicao 
Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal.
18.04.25 at 20:00
Thobelani Moyo
17 Apr 2025
21:02
Statistics of the month:
7
15
0
31.82%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,05
Bet Type Both Teams To Score - Yes
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FC Porto vs Famalicao: Prediction for the Match on April 18, 2025

FC Porto will welcome Famalicao to the Estadio do Dragão in the 30th round of the Primeira Liga. Who's going to come out on top? Let us check out the match preview, team news and betting odds to place your bets!

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Form: WLWWL

FC Porto managed to return to winning ways in the Primeira Liga when they beat Casa Pia 1-0 on the road thanks to Rodrigo Mora's effort in the opening five minutes of the first half. This result marked their third win in five league games.

The Dragons return to Estádio do Dragão - a venue that has been good to them this season. They have accumulated 33 points from 14 games and currently boast the third best home record in the Primeira Liga. 

Martín Anselmi's men, however, did not give a good account of themselves at this venue when they lost 4-1 against Benfica. Before this setback, they were on a 13-match unbeaten run, recording ten wins and three draws.

Deniz Gul started for FC Porto in the last match against Casa Pia and impressed. However, Samu Aghehowa is expected to retain his place up front in attack this Friday in a 3-4-3 formation.

FC Porto continues to be without Marko Grujic (Heel injury) and Vasco Sousa (Broken Fibula). However, that shouldn't stress head coach Martín Anselmi much, considering both players have not played an important part for FC Porto this season.

🔖Probable Starting XI (3-4-3): Costa; Marcano, Eustaquio, Pedro; Moura, Varela, Vieira, Mario; Mora, Aghehowa, Borges

⛔️ Out: Marko Grujic (Heel injury)

👤 Head coach: Martin Anselmi

History of Head-to-Heads

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
18.04.25
FC Porto FC Porto
2 - 1
Famalicao Famalicao
Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
07.12.24
Famalicao Famalicao
1 - 1
FC Porto FC Porto
Liga Portugal 2023/2024 Liga Portugal 2023/2024
13.04.24
FC Porto FC Porto
2 - 2
Famalicao Famalicao
Liga Portugal 2023/2024 Liga Portugal 2023/2024
02.12.23
Famalicao Famalicao
0 - 3
FC Porto FC Porto
Liga Portugal 2022/2023 Liga Portugal 2022/2023
20.05.23
Famalicao Famalicao
2 - 4
FC Porto FC Porto

Form: WWWLW

Famalicao have mounted a late push for a top five finish with five games remaining in the Primeira Liga. They are in seventh place with 43 points and are five points behind fifth-placed Vitoria de Guimaraes. 

Famalicao have seen a resurgence in their performance lately. For a team that was on a nine match winless run, it is safe to say they have experienced a significant upturn in form losing just two of their last ten games (W7, D1).

Famalicenses made a slow start in their match against Estoril Praia, with the first half ending in a goalless draw. However, a team talk during halftime saw them come back rejuvenated, scoring three goals to secure a comfortable 3-0 home win. This result marked their third consecutive league win.

Famalicao continues to be without goalkeeper Iavn Zlobin (Kidney problem), who has already missed 15 matches.

Head coach Hugo Oliveira will have to be cautious and instill discipline to the following three players who are going to be starters in Friday's game. Enea Mihaj has already accumulated eight cards, and the duo, Justin de Haas, and Oscar Aranda have accumulated four yellow cards each.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Carevic; Francisco, Mihaj, Haas, Calegari; Looi, Topic; Aranda, Sa, Sorriso; Elisor

⛔️ Out: Ivan Zlobin (Kidney problem)

👤 Head coach: Hugo Oliveira 

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In the last 14 meetings, FC Porto has won 9 times, Famalicao has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws, with the goal difference being 33-17 in favour of FC Porto.

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  • FC Porto has seen both teams score in four of their last five home league games. You can back: Both Teams To Score - Yes for 2.05 at Bet365.
  • Samu Aghehowa has scored six of his last 16 Primeira Liga goals at home. You can back the striker to be on target in this match for 2.13 at Betway.
  • Famalicao has been involved in goal-laden affairs recently. They have seen each of their last four matches in the league exceed 2.5 goals. You can back over 2.5 goals for 1.88 at 1xbet.
  • FC Porto have scored at least two goals in ten of their last 14 home league games. You can back them to rattle the net twice for 1.65 at 1xbet.

FC Porto was unstoppable at home before their defeat against Benfica. They were on a 13-match unbeaten run, and I don't see them dropping points in this one. It becomes even better considering they have won nine of their last 11 meetings against Famalicao. 

However, I don't see them keeping a clean sheet in this one. Given that their last two meetings against Famalicao saw both teams score, I'm expecting a similar trend to continue here. The visitors have been in good form recently in the Primeira, and I think they are good value to get on the scoreboard. 

Our match prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes for 2.05 with Bet365.

Our betting tip on the match: Total 1 - Over 1.5 for 1.65 with 1xbet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Anytime Goalscorer - Samu Aghehowa for 2.13 with Betway.

Odds
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Odds 2,05
Bet Type Both Teams To Score - Yes
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Odds 1,65
Bet Type Total 1 - Over 1.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,13
Bet Type Anytime Goalscorer - Samu Aghehowa
Bonus 250 USD
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