Farense vs Casa Pia Prediction: Will We Get Burnt By Supporting The Underdogs?

Sporting Farense
Sporting Farense
Finished
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Round 28
Farense vs. Casa Pia 
Estádio de São Luís, Faro, Portugal
07.04.25 at 20:45
Thobelani Moyo
06 Apr 2025
20:04
Statistics of the month:
20
20
1
48.78%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,90
Bet Type Full-time Result - Casa Pia
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Farense vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 07 APRIL, 2025

Farense will welcome Casa Pia at Estádio de São Luís in the 28th round of the Primeira Liga. The home side are without a win in 12 league games and find itself in the relegation zone. Can Farense put an end to their winless run in the league?

Let's head into the match preview to find the best odds on the Farense vs. Casa Pia game and my expert picks to place your bets.

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Form: LLDLD

Farense are having a season to forget in the Primeira Liga as they find themselves deep in the relegation zone. They have accumulated 17 points and are second from the bottom and three points behind safety.

Leões de Faro is still searching for their first league win since the turn of the year. The last time they won a match in the Primeira Liga was in December 21, beating Famalicao 2-1 on the road. Since then, they have gone 12 games without a win, recording seven losses and five draws.

Having failed to score in defeats against CD Nacional, FC Porto, AVS Futebol SAD and Braga, they managed to show some fighting spirit last time out against Benfica despite losing 3-2 on the road. That result marked their second consecutive league defeat. 

Formation: 5-3-2

Velho; Pastor, Jorge, Falcao, Ribeiro, Poloni; Carlos, Neto, Menino; Lopes, Tomane

Form: WLLLW

Casa Pia are eighth in the league standings with 39 points and are tied on points with ninth-placed Estoril Praia. They are six points behind sixth-placed Vitoria de Guimaraes. A win here could see them jump to seventh place.

Os Gansos come into this match after ending their three-match losing streak in the league—including two successive 3-1 defeats—by beating Rio Ave 2-1 at home. 

Traveling on the road has not been their strong forte. They are currently on a four-match losing streak and have conceded nine goals. Before this unwanted run, they were on a three-match winning streak. 

Formation: 3-4-3

Sequeira; Goulart, Fonte, Tchamba; Larrazabal, Kraev, Pablo, Lelo; Osundina, Cassiano, Sousa

  • Farense has failed to score in their last four home matches in the Primeira Liga.
  • Casa Pia has won two consecutive away meetings against Farense.
  • Farense has lost seven of their last nine Primeira Liga games.
  • Casa Pia has conceded the first goal in their last four league games.

In the last 10 meetings, Farense has won 4 times, Casa Pia has won 5 times, and there has been 1 draw, with the goal difference being 13-12 in favour of Casa Pia.

History of Head-to-Heads

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
07.04.25
Farense Farense
0 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
09.11.24
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 1
Farense Farense
Liga Portugal 2023/2024 Liga Portugal 2023/2024
20.01.24
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 3
Farense Farense
Liga Portugal 2023/2024 Liga Portugal 2023/2024
12.08.23
Farense Farense
0 - 3
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Liga Portugal 2 2021/2022 Liga Portugal 2 2021/2022
09.04.22
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 0
Farense Farense

Farense Latest Games

Farense Farense
07.04.25
Farense Farense
0 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
02.04.25
Benfica Benfica
3 - 2
Farense Farense
15.03.25
Farense Farense
0 - 1
Braga Braga
08.03.25
Estoril Estoril
2 - 2
Farense Farense
02.03.25
Farense Farense
0 - 1
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD

Casa Pia Latest Games

Casa Pia Casa Pia
07.04.25
Farense Farense
0 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
29.03.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
2 - 1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
16.03.25
Nacional Nacional
3 - 1
Casa Pia Casa Pia
09.03.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 3
Sporting CP Sporting CP
01.03.25
Vitoria de Guimaraes Vitoria de Guimaraes
1 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia

Our main prediction for the match: Full-time Result - Casa Pia @ 2.90 with Bet365.

It has been 14 weeks of mediocrity for Farense who have endured a disappointing run of results in the Primeira Liga. It's difficult seeing them come out on top here despite having home advantage. Casa Pia is obviously the better side on paper, and I'm backing them to secure a narrow win and end their four-match losing streak on the road.

2nd prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 2.03 with Betway.

I don't expect this match to be a dull affair, Farense definitely needs the points to escape the relegation zone and I see them putting up a lively fight and getting on the scoreboard, but not enough to prevent defeat. 

3rd prediction: Total - Over 2.5 @ 2.42 with 1xbet.

Following up on the both teams to score prediction, I expect this to be a high-scoring affair. This matchup is an easy over 2.5 goals. Farense seen three of their last five league games feature over 2.5 and Casa Pia in their last three. 

Odds
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Odds 2,90
Bet Type Full-time Result - Casa Pia
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Odds 2,42
Bet Type Total - Over 2.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,03
Bet Type Both Teams To Score - Yes
Bonus 250 USD
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