Round 19
Benfica vs Casa Pia
Estádio da Luz, Portugal.
04.02.23 at 21:00
Casa Pia will travel to Estádio da Luz to face Benfica for the 19th matchday of the Primeira Liga, hoping to extend their winning streak to two matches after defeating Santa Clara 2:1 at home.
With Casa Pia performing admirably following their promotion to the top flight Primeira Liga, will they be able to widen the point gap to 6 points between themselves and 6th place Vitoria de Guimaraes or will they be met with an unfortunate ordeal that will see them succumb to defeat?
Let's have a look at the latest Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions between Benfica vs Casa Pia, team news, probable lineups, match facts and up to date betting odds for you to consider!
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Form: WWWDW
In a recent away game, As Aguias presented a challenge for Armando Evangelista's team Arouca. João Mário got off to a quick start, scoring in the 25th minute to give his team a one-goal lead going into the second half. He then scored his final goal of the game in the 54th minute and Petar Musa put the icing on the cake with another goal in the 80th, resulting in a 3:0 final score in their favor.
With only that one victory, they asserted their superiority in the Primeira Liga, extending their winning streak on the road to three games and they are currently relishing the benefits of a 6-match unbeaten run; therefore, it is beyond a doubt that confidence is at an all-time high among their ranks.
In the standings, they continue to make things difficult for title contenders as they maintain their grip on first place, which they occupy with 50 points, and have shown no signs of slowing down as they consistently keep on widening the point gap, which has them 8 points and 10 points clear of FC Porto and Braga, respectively.
Team News
Roger Schmidt will once again be without Goncalo Ramos, who suffered an upper leg injury following his game against Paco Ferreira and could be out for weeks. Rafa Silva, 29, has missed three games due to a muscle injury and will also not be available for selection.
Unfortunately, Roger Schmidt will not be able to use the services of youngster Enzo Fernandez, who joined Chelsea for a record fee of $132 million, making him the most expensive signing ever made by a top-tier Premier League club.
Probable Starting XI
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Vlachodimos; Bah, Silva, Otamendi, Grimaldo; Luis; Chiquinho, Mario, Aursnes, Campos; Guedes
Casa Pia
Form: WLLDW
The Geese were held to a scoreless draw in the first half of their recent home match against Santa Clara despite exerting pressure on their opponents and pushing for the game's first goal, but it wasn't until they broke the deadlock in the second half through new-signing Yuki Soma's terrific set-piece strike in the 75th minute.
But their joy was short-lived, as their opponent equalized from the penalty spot 7-minutes later, and just when they thought they were about to share a point each, they proved to be lethal once more with their set-pieces in the dying moments of the game, which saw Clayton Silva salvage all three points for his side with a last-minute strike to end the day with a 2:1 victory in their favor.
Filipe Martins' men may not be in the best of moods, as their previous match against Gil Vincente at home saw them surrender all three points in a 3:1 loss, leaving them in mixed form in the Primeira Liga, where they've recorded two wins, a loss, and two draws in their last five matches.
They currently sit in 5th place in the Europa Conference League qualifiers with 30 points, three points ahead of Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Team News
Filipe Martins will be without winger Leo Natel, who is still recovering from a cruciate ligament injury.
Probable Starting XI
Formation: 4-3-3
Batista; Varela, Nunes, Zolotic, Soares; Taira, Cuca, Poloni; Godwin, Soma, Martins
Match Facts
- Benfica are on a 6 match unbeaten run in the Primeira Liga.
- When playing away in the Primeira Liga, Casa Pia was on a two-match winning streak.
- When playing at home, Benfica averages 3.22 goals per game, while Casa Pia averages 1.25 goals per game when playing away.
Head-To-Head
Benfica won 1 and Casa Pia won 0 in their only meeting, and no match between them has ended in a draw.
Expert Betting Tips
Dubbed as the new boys in the block, Casa Pia is improving under the guidance of Filipe Martins and have been excellent this season in their own right, as they are more determined to finish in the Europa Conference League playoff spot.
It is certain that they will prove to be a highly competitive side to put up a much-needed fight against Roger Schmidt's men, but the disparity in quality and class will be an issue for them in securing all three points in this situation, let alone getting on the scoresheet.
Benfica are currently overwhelming favorites with bookmakers to take all three points, which sees them offered at low odds in the full-time market, making them an unappealing choice for punters looking for value in that market.
Benfica have won to nil in four of their last five matches in the Primeira Liga, and the fact that they won their last match against Casa Pia 1:0 shows that's their speciality, so we're squeezing the value out of them in the win to nil market, hoping that they will win and not concede any goals in this match against a team that has scored in six of their last seven away matches.
- Team 1 Win To Nil - Yes for 1.73
- Corners - Under 10 for 2.25
- Goals - Over 3 for 1.93