Stadium: Športni Park (Domžale)
29.03.2025 22:15
This Saturday, all eyes turn to Športni Park Domžale as the hosts welcome high-flying NK Publikum Celje in a thrilling fixture set to shake up the Slovenian PrvaLiga table. With Celje eyeing a final push to climb into the European spots and Domžale desperate to claw their way out of the relegation mire, the stakes could not be higher. Domžale have struggled for consistency this season, currently sitting 10th with only 17 points from 26 matches. Despite an attacking flair led by Danijel Sturm (10 goals), their leaky defense — conceding 54 times — continues to haunt them.
Celje arrive in red-hot form, fifth in the standings and with a potent offense that has netted 49 goals in 25 league matches. Their recent goal-fest against Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League and a 3–2 league win over Nafta underscore their ability to grind out results even when under pressure. Despite losing A. Kučys (top scorer with 10 goals) to injury, Albert Riera’s side remains packed with talent, including Ivan Brnić and Mario Kvesić.
With both teams averaging over two goals per game and known for end-to-end football, this match promises fireworks. Statistical models give Celje a 61% chance of victory, with a 100% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score — a clear recipe for drama.
Claim Your Sign-Up Bonus!NK Domzale
Domžale's 2024–25 campaign has been turbulent, marred by defensive frailties and inconsistent performances. Sitting at the bottom of the table, the club has managed only four wins in 26 league matches, leaking 54 goals — the highest in the division. Despite that, there's no shortage of attacking ambition. Striker Danijel Sturm has been a lone bright spark, scoring ten goals, while midfield contributions from Lorber, Krstovski, and Lampreht provide occasional threats.
However, their lack of control in possession (averaging 44.2%) and minimal passing accuracy have made it hard to sustain pressure or hold leads. Head coach Dejan Dončić faces the enormous task of solidifying the backline without compromising on attack. The home ground has offered little refuge, with just a single win in their last four matches in Domžale. They'll need more than resilience to topple an in-form Celje side.
NK Celje
Celje is brimming with confidence and offensive swagger. With 49 league goals and strong performances in Europe, they’re clearly among the most exciting attacking units in Slovenia. Coach Albert Riera has built a well-balanced side with technical midfielders like Svit Sešlar and Egor Prutsev pulling strings and creative sparks from wide players such as Ivan Brnić and Mario Kvesić.
The injury to top scorer A. Kučys is a blow, but the depth of the squad — particularly in midfield and defence — cushions the loss. Celje’s away form has been solid, with recent draws and wins showing a tenacious mentality. Their defensive record, although not airtight, is more than adequate to deal with the attacking threats Domžale poses. With a blend of youth and experience and a tactical setup that emphasizes high possession and pressure, Celje will look to dominate from the opening whistle.
Expert Betting Tips
All indicators point to a high-scoring affair. With both teams averaging over two goals conceded per game recently and Celje firing on all cylinders, goals seem inevitable. Domžale has proven capable of scoring — particularly through Sturm — but their porous defence will likely struggle against Celje's fluid attack.
The statistical analysis gives Celje a 61% chance of victory, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring sits at very high. Expect action from the first minute with chances at both ends. Celje’s superior form, tactical structure, and depth should carry them through.
Predicted Score: Domžale 1–3 NK Publikum Celje.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.67 at Betway
My second prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.63 at Bet365
My final prediction is W2 to win for odds of 1.61 at 1XBet
Other predictions
