Stadium: Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina (Ajdovščina)
30.03.2025 16:00

As we head into the business end of the Slovenian PrvaLiga season, every fixture becomes a battleground, especially for teams hovering just above the drop zone. This weekend, ND Primorje host Radomlje in what promises to be a fiercely contested relegation six-pointer. Both sides have endured challenging campaigns, but for Primorje, recent sparks of revival suggest momentum may be shifting their way. A home crowd and a marginally better run of form could make all the difference as they seek three crucial points.
Primorje’s attacking contributions have come primarily from Semir Smailagić and Zan Bešir, whose efforts have helped them climb to seventh despite a fragile defence. While conceding over 1.7 goals per game, they’ve displayed resilience at home, notably overcoming Maribor and holding Celje to a draw. Head coach Milan Andjelković will urge his squad to build upon these positives, especially against a direct rival.
Radomlje, meanwhile, arrives in Ajdovščina with the league’s joint-worst defensive record, leaking 46 goals in 26 matches. Although Nino Kukovec and Matej Malensek have delivered up front, their inability to string consistent performances has left them just five points above the relegation line. Coach Darjan Slavić faces mounting pressure to reignite belief after recent thrashings by Maribor and Olimpija Ljubljana. A win here could ease the heat, but it won't come easy.
Claim Your Sign-Up Bonus!ND Primorje
ND Primorje enter this crucial fixture with eight wins and six draws from 26 matches, holding a slim edge over their opponents. Despite defensive vulnerabilities—45 goals conceded—they’ve shown attacking sharpness, scoring 29 times. Semir Smailagić has been their key figure, producing six goals from just 16 appearances. Supporting contributions from Besir, Gulic, and Suljanović provide additional threat in advanced areas.
At home, they've been more assertive, notably defeating Maribor 2-1. Manager Milan Andjelković appears to have steadied the squad recently, reflected in tighter midfield organization and sharper movement in transitions. While possession remains average (49%), their directness has troubled sides lacking structure. If they can maintain compactness and execute counter-attacks effectively, Primorje have the tools to control the tempo and earn a vital result.
NK Radomlje
Radomlje sit just below Primorje with seven wins and four draws from 26 outings. They’ve netted 26 goals but leaked 46, underlining defensive issues plaguing their campaign. Leading scorer Nino Kukovec has five goals, while teenager Matej Malensek has chipped in with four, including two from the spot. Coach Darjan Slavić has relied on youth and experience, though inconsistency remains a major challenge. On the road, their performances have lacked resilience—highlighted by losses to Maribor and Olimpija.
While individual moments have sparked hope, Radomlje struggle to maintain intensity across full matches. Conceding heavily in second halves suggests fitness or tactical lapses, and despite occasional wins, they’ve failed to find a consistent rhythm. Against a determined home side, they must find greater cohesion and mental strength to avoid slipping further in the table.
Expert Betting Tips
With form, firepower, and home advantage in their favour, Primorje is better placed to claim three points. Statistical probabilities give them a 55% chance of victory, while Radomlje trails at 35%. A draw appears unlikely (10%) given both teams’ attacking intentions and defensive lapses.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 93.7%, and both teams to score at 85%, suggesting an open, high-energy match. Expect Primorje to exploit Radomlje’s defensive frailties and edge the contest 2-1, powered by home momentum and clinical finishing in key moments.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is over 2 goals for odds of 1.72 at Betway
My second prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.97 at Bet365
My final prediction is W1 to win for odds of 2.15 at 1XBet
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