Leganes vs Real Madrid Prediction: the Whites Will Crush the Hosts This Time

The Spanish Cup quarterfinals matchup between Leganés and Real Madrid is set for February 5 at 11:00 p.m. Bookmakers think Real Madrid has a good shot at winning, so they're leaning towards them. Telecomasia is offering a prediction for the match and some interesting statistics too.

Leganés

By 2025, the hosts had played six matches, winning the Spanish Cup against Cartagena and Almeria, and drawing in La Liga with Espanyol and Atletico. They also beat Atletico Madrid and lost to Rayo. After the 22nd round of La Liga, Leganes was in 16th place in the Spanish championship standings with 23 points. They're only two points ahead of Alaves, who are in the relegation zone. Leganés' home stats are 19th in the division: +4=1-6, 9:16 goal diff.

Real Madrid

Madrid played 10 matches in 2025: two in the Cup, two in the Spanish Super Cup, two in the Champions League, and four in La Liga. They beat Valencia, Las Palmas, and Valladolid, and lost to Espanyol in the last round of the Primera. After the 22nd round of the Spanish championship, Real Madrid is in first place with 49 points. Atletico Madrid is in second place, just one point behind, and Real Madrid's away statistics are second in the division: +6=4-2, 22:11 goal difference.

H2H Mettings

This season, Leganés and Real Madrid have played each other once, and the match, which was held at Leganés', ended in a 3-0 victory for the visitors.In total, they've played 15 times, with Real Madrid's record at +2=2-11, and Leganés' at 15:38 goal difference. On the field of Leganés, there are 9 matches, and the hosts have won 11% of those, there have been 22% draws, and the visitors have won 67% of the time.

Stats Betting

• Real Madrid won 73% of the matches against Leganés.
• In the last three matches against Leganés, no TO (1.5) has been scored.
• TO (2.5) was reached in the last three matches between the teams.
• Real has won four out of the last five matches.

Bookmakers' Offers

Leganés is projected to win the match at 6.30 odds, and Real Madrid at 1.50 at 1xbet. The bookie says there'll be about 3 goals scored. You can bet on the total over (2.5) goals at 1.71 odds or on the total under (2.5) at 1.9 odds.

Expert Betting Tips

The Whites suffered a bad defeat in Barcelona last round, losing to Espanyol 0:1. Madrid hasn't lost the lead yet, but Atletico has come close.The Whites will probably want to get back at them for that humiliation, and Leganes is a great opponent for that. Remember, the teams already played each other at Leganés' home this season, and Real Madrid failed that match. We wouldn't be surprised if the game ends with the same result as the first round of La Liga 2024/25.

Our picks:

W2 & TO (1.5) for 1.78

H2 (-1.5) for 2.38 

CS 0:3 for 11.00