Round 23.
Stadium: San Siro (Milano).
Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
2.02.2025 20:00
Inter ended the week in good spirits in the Champions League, having made it to the last eight. Milan will only play in the knockout rounds. Which team will be less affected by the European Cup when preparing for the derby? Telecomasia is offering a prediction for the central match of the 23rd round of the Italian championship. Let's take a look at the statistics, bookmakers' odds and choose a few bets on this big match.
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The team ended the Champions League with a game against Dinamo Zagreb and had a great shot at making it into the top 8. But Milan lost in Croatia, which was a shock. After conceding on 19 minutes, the Rossoneri were also left in the minority at the end of the first half – Yunus Musah received two yellow cards. In the second half, Milan got back on track thanks to Christian Pulisic, but conceded again, eventually losing 1:2. This means the Reds and Blacks finished the tournament in 13th place and will now play either Juventus or Feyenoord in the next round.
The match in the last round of the Italian championship was also really tough. Milan played Parma at home and lost 1:2 in the second half. Luckily, they managed to avoid defeat. Before the final whistle, the Rossoneri not only equalised, but also snatched victory. 3:2 - Reijnders and Chukwueze scored for Milan.
The team is in seventh place in the Serie A standings, just five points behind the Champions League zone, ahead of the derby with Inter. Teams like Lazio and Juventus, who are also in the running for the top four, keep falling behind, so Conceição's squad might still have a shot at moving up the standings.
Inter
Milan didn't do so well in the last round of the Champions League, but Inter played brilliantly from start to finish. In the final round, Simone Inzaghi's team defeated Monaco 3:0 at home thanks to Lautaro Martinez's hat-trick. Inter lost only once in the Champions League, to Bayer Leverkusen (0:1), having conceded the only goal. In the last 16, Inter came occupying the fourth place, but in the first round of the play-offs, they'll probably meet either Milan or Juventus.
In the last round of Serie A, Inter had a relatively easy opponent in Lecce, who are in the relegation zone, and the Nerazzurri, playing away, beat the Giallorossi. Dumfries, Taremi, Frattesi and Lautaro Martinez all scored, with the latter now the fifth top scorer in the club's history and the best goal scorer for Inter in the Champions League. In the Serie A standings, Inter goes into the derby in second place, three points behind leading Napoli with a game to spare.
H2H Meetings
The next match will be the third Milan derby this season. First, in the first round of the championship, Milan beat Inter 2:1 as the nominal visitors. Then in Saudi Arabia, in the final of the Italian Super Cup, Milan beat Inter 3:2. The two teams have met a total of 260 times. Inter has won 98 games, Milan got 88 and there have been 74 draws.
Stats Betting
- In 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the opponents scored at least three times.
- In 7 out of 9 previous matches, Milan scored and conceded.
- Inter has scored at least twice in 10 of their last 12 games.
- Inter has won 8 of their last 9 games in the league.
Bookmakers' Offers
Inter is the favorite to win the derby, according to the 1xbet betting line. You can bet on the Nerazzurri to win at odds of 1.948. And if you fancy Milan to win, you can get odds of 4.245 A draw is estimated at 3.75. The Milan derby is often a good bet, and the total over in the upcoming match is worth less than the bottom. The bet TO (2.5) is offered at odds of 1.867. The bet TU (2.5) is offered at 2.084.
History of Head-to-Heads
Serie A 2024/2025
FC Internazionale
Super Cup 2023/2024
AC Milan
Serie A 2024/2025
AC Milan
Serie A 2023/2024
FC Internazionale
Serie A 2023/2024
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest Games
AC Milan 
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
AC Milan
Feyenoord
FC Internazionale Latest Games
FC Internazionale
Monza
FC Internazionale
FC Internazionale
Genoa
FC Internazionale
Expert Betting Tips
Inter has lost both derbies to AC Milan this season, both times conceding in the very end. This won't be a good result for the Rossoneri in the next game. Simone Inzaghi's team will be fired up and on the roll, and this time, they'll probably see the difference between them. We're going for Inter to win, and we're also going for a higher total over, which has become pretty common for Milan derbies recently.
Our picks:
W2 for 1.90
TO (2.5) for 1.867
CS 1:2 for 8.50
Other predictions
