Como vs Napoli Prediction: the Visitors to Stop Their Losing Streak?

Italy
Italy
Finished
Napoli
Napoli
Serie A.
Round 26.
Stadium: G. Sinigaglia (Como).
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello.
23.02.2025     14:30
Natalia Okina
22 Feb 2025
22:08
All time statistics:
2108
1724
26
54.64%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type W2
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Como vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds│23 FEBRUARY, 2025

Napoli lost six points from the last three rounds, but didn't lose the lead in the standings. They also missed the chance to break away from the other teams. Will Antonio Conte's team manage to get back on form after three draws in a row away against Como? We've got a prediction and some bets on the first match of the Sunday tour in the 26th round of Serie A.

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Cesc's team played Fiorentina in the last round, and before that they'd lost three games on the bounce. At home, Como lost 1:2 to Atalanta and Juventus and 0:2 to Bologna away. But in Florence, the Blues and Whites not only stopped that run of defeats, they beat a team in the European Cup too. In this game, Como didn't let much go on in their end, and scored a goal in each half. First, Assane Diao scored, and then Nico Paz did.

Como won an important victory from a tournament point of view, and now they've got 25 points, which puts them 13th in the league standings. They're five points ahead of the relegation zone.

The Neapolitans are still top of the league, but they're only two points ahead of second-placed Inter, even though the Nerazzurri have won just one Serie A match out of the last four.The fact is that Antonio Conte's team hasn't won for three rounds in a row. First, Napoli missed a victory in the end of the away game with Roma – 1:1, then at home they surprisingly didn't cope with Udinese – 1:1. Napoli played in Rome again in the last round, this time against Lazio. The Neapolitans lost 0:1, then led 2:1, but conceded again at the very end of the game, ending the match 2:2. Napoli is still the main favourite and leader of the current championship, but Conte's team didn't take the chance to get a comfortable lead. Now that Atalanta and Juventus are out of the running, it'll be much harder to do.

Napoli beat Como 3:1 in the first round, playing at home. The two teams had played against each other three times before, with Como winning two and Napoli winning one, and there was one draw.

  • Napoli won seven out of the last ten matches.
  • In five of those games, they scored and conceded.
  • In the last 14 matches, Como scored two or more goals in two of them.
  • Napoli has conceded in seven out of nine previous away matches.

Napoli is the obvious favorite for the next game, but the odds on the Neapolitans winning are surprisingly high at 2.278. A bet on Como to win is priced at 3.705, while a draw is at 3.26. Analysts don't expect a high performance here, and the TO (2.5) bet is accepted at odds of 2.314. The TU (2.5) bet is at 1.715.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2024/2025 Serie A 2024/2025
23.02.25
Como Como
2 - 1
Napoli Napoli
Serie A 2024/2025 Serie A 2024/2025
04.10.24
Napoli Napoli
3 - 1
Como Como

Como Latest Games

Como Como
19.04.25
Lecce Lecce
0 - 3
Como Como
13.04.25
Como Como
1 - 0
Torino FC Torino FC
05.04.25
Monza Monza
1 - 3
Como Como
29.03.25
Como Como
1 - 1
Empoli FC Empoli FC
15.03.25
AC Milan AC Milan
2 - 1
Como Como

Napoli Latest Games

Napoli Napoli
19.04.25
Monza Monza
0 - 1
Napoli Napoli
14.04.25
Napoli Napoli
3 - 0
Empoli FC Empoli FC
07.04.25
Bologna Bologna
1 - 1
Napoli Napoli
30.03.25
Napoli Napoli
2 - 1
AC Milan AC Milan
16.03.25
Venezia FC Venezia FC
0 - 0
Napoli Napoli

After three draws in a row, it's unlikely Napoli will lose again, but Conte's team might miss their top spot at the end of the round. We don't think that'll happen, and the odds on the league leader winning are surprisingly high. Como play attractive football, but they're not quite there yet in terms of playing to the score and adapting to the opposition, as evidenced by their home defeats to almost all other Serie A leaders, like Juventus, Atalanta, and Milan. We're going for Napoli's victory here, and for goals, because the odds on TO seem a bit overvalued, even if you take into account the impressive football of Como.

Our picks:

W2 for 2.25 

X2 & TO (2.5) for 3.14

CS 1:2 for 9.00

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type W2
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Odds 3,14
Bet Type X2 & TO (2.5)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 9,00
Bet Type CS 1:2
Bonus 250 USD
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