

Stadium: WWK Arena (Augsburg)
15.04.2025 22:30

On Thursday 15th January 2025 at 22:30 (GMT+3) at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Berlin, Augsburg's hopes of beating relegation will be put to the test once more as they play Union Berlin, a team also fighting to avoid relegation. With 1 point separating these teams, Augsburg is ranked 13th with 16 points, and Union Berlin is ranked 12th with 17 points.
Given their advantage based on their recent results, Augsburg is the favourite. Augsburg has an average xG (expected goals) per game of 1.44 when they play at home, demonstrating a strong attacking ability in their comfortable surroundings. They have a balanced advantage overall since their defence, which has an average xG against of 1.41, also tends to tighten up at home. Union Berlin has a steep hill to climb, particularly when playing away from home. Their numbers show that they struggle to score goals and defend when playing away; they have an average xG of 1.05 but a concerning trend of 1.69 xG against, which translates to a meagre 14% victory rate away from home. They are now the underdogs in this match because of this.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!Union Berlin
Union Berlin’s home advantage has been a key factor. Of the eight matches played at An der Alten Försterei, Union Berlin has won seven, with one draw and only one loss. This statistic highlights their dominance on home turf, where they typically employ a structured and physical style of play. They’ve also managed to score consistently at home, averaging 1.88 goals per game against Heidenheim at this venue.
Union Berlin's defensive solidity at home is a cornerstone of their success. However, their challenge lies in breaking down a Heidenheim side that has proven to be effective on the counterattack. Union’s 2-2 draw in February 2024 and the 2-0 DFB Pokal victory in 2022 illustrate their capability to grind out results against Heidenheim. With their passionate fan base and proven home record, Union Berlin will be determined to secure all three points in this encounter.
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg enters this clash in dire form, winless in their last five matches across all competitions. A recent 5-1 drubbing by Holstein Kiel and a 0-2 home loss to Bayer Leverkusen underline their defensive issues. Augsburg’s inability to hold onto leads and their struggles against high-pressing sides have been evident.
Despite their troubles, Augsburg’s home record against Stuttgart offers some hope. Their most notable performance at WWK Arena was a 6-0 demolition of Stuttgart in 2019, showing their potential when they click. To get anything from this match, Augsburg must tighten up defensively and rely on quick transitions to catch Stuttgart off-guard.
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Expert Betting Tips
Given both sides' previous results, Augsburg is predicted to win. Augsburg has won one of the last five league games, drawn one and lost three while Union Berlin has drawn one and lost four of the previous five.
Augsburg might win 1-0 or 2-0 in this match.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is over Under 2.5 goals for odds of 1.70 at Betway
My second prediction is W2 to win or draw for odds of 1.84 at Bet365
My final prediction is No BTTS goals for odds of 1.81 at 1XBet
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