Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Prediction: A potentially low scoring game to be played

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Finished
Augsburg
Augsburg
Bundesliga. Round 17
Stadium: WWK Arena (Augsburg)
15.04.2025 22:30
Clement Obeng Manu
15 Jan 2025
10:21
Statistics of the month:
11
3
1
73.33%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type Under 2.5 goals
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Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │15 JANUARY, 2025

On Thursday 15th January 2025 at 22:30 (GMT+3) at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Berlin, Augsburg's hopes of beating relegation will be put to the test once more as they play Union Berlin, a team also fighting to avoid relegation. With 1 point separating these teams, Augsburg is ranked 13th with 16 points, and Union Berlin is ranked 12th with 17 points. 

Given their advantage based on their recent results, Augsburg is the favourite. Augsburg has an average xG (expected goals) per game of 1.44 when they play at home, demonstrating a strong attacking ability in their comfortable surroundings. They have a balanced advantage overall since their defence, which has an average xG against of 1.41, also tends to tighten up at home. Union Berlin has a steep hill to climb, particularly when playing away from home. Their numbers show that they struggle to score goals and defend when playing away; they have an average xG of 1.05 but a concerning trend of 1.69 xG against, which translates to a meagre 14% victory rate away from home. They are now the underdogs in this match because of this.

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Union Berlin’s home advantage has been a key factor. Of the eight matches played at An der Alten Försterei, Union Berlin has won seven, with one draw and only one loss. This statistic highlights their dominance on home turf, where they typically employ a structured and physical style of play. They’ve also managed to score consistently at home, averaging 1.88 goals per game against Heidenheim at this venue.

Union Berlin's defensive solidity at home is a cornerstone of their success. However, their challenge lies in breaking down a Heidenheim side that has proven to be effective on the counterattack. Union’s 2-2 draw in February 2024 and the 2-0 DFB Pokal victory in 2022 illustrate their capability to grind out results against Heidenheim. With their passionate fan base and proven home record, Union Berlin will be determined to secure all three points in this encounter.

FC Augsburg enters this clash in dire form, winless in their last five matches across all competitions. A recent 5-1 drubbing by Holstein Kiel and a 0-2 home loss to Bayer Leverkusen underline their defensive issues. Augsburg’s inability to hold onto leads and their struggles against high-pressing sides have been evident.

Despite their troubles, Augsburg’s home record against Stuttgart offers some hope. Their most notable performance at WWK Arena was a 6-0 demolition of Stuttgart in 2019, showing their potential when they click. To get anything from this match, Augsburg must tighten up defensively and rely on quick transitions to catch Stuttgart off-guard.

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
17.05.25
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
15.01.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
0 - 2
Augsburg Augsburg
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
12.04.24
Augsburg Augsburg
2 - 0
Union Berlin Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
25.11.23
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1 - 1
Augsburg Augsburg
Bundesliga 2022/2023 Bundesliga 2022/2023
06.05.23
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin Union Berlin

Union Berlin Latest Games

Union Berlin Union Berlin
17.05.25
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
10.05.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
0 - 3
FC Heidenheim FC Heidenheim
03.05.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2 - 2
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27.04.25
Bochum Bochum
1 - 1
Union Berlin Union Berlin
19.04.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
4 - 4
Stuttgart Stuttgart

Augsburg Latest Games

Augsburg Augsburg
17.05.25
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
11.05.25
Stuttgart Stuttgart
4 - 0
Augsburg Augsburg
04.05.25
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 3
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
26.04.25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
Augsburg Augsburg
20.04.25
Augsburg Augsburg
0 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt

Given both sides' previous results, Augsburg is predicted to win. Augsburg has won one of the last five league games, drawn one and lost three while Union Berlin has drawn one and lost four of the previous five.

Augsburg might win 1-0 or 2-0 in this match.

Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is over Under 2.5 goals for odds of 1.70 at Betway

My second prediction is W2 to win or draw for odds of 1.84 at Bet365

My final prediction is No BTTS goals for odds of 1.81 at 1XBet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,70
Bet Type Under 2.5 goals
Bet Now!
Odds 1,84
Bet Type W2 or draw
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,81
Bet Type No BTTS
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!

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