SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: A battle of grit and flair at Europa-Park stadium

Freiburg
Freiburg
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga. Round 28
Stadium: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
05.04.2025 16:30
Clement Obeng Manu
05 Apr 2025
00:21
Statistics of the month:
16
10
0
61.54%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,66
Bet Type BTTS
Bonus 250 USD
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SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │05 APRIL, 2025

A high-stakes Bundesliga clash awaits this Saturday as SC Freiburg host Borussia Dortmund at the Europa-Park Stadion, which could prove pivotal for both clubs’ aspirations. Kick-off is set for 16:30 (GMT+3), and the two sides have very different ambitions but nearly match defensive discipline coming into this game.

Freiburg, known for their grit and tactical discipline under Christian Streich, have been quietly solid in recent weeks. They’ve lost just once in their last five Bundesliga matches, securing one win and drawing three. While they haven't dazzled, they’ve been hard to beat — conceding only four goals in their last five, an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game. Offensively, Freiburg have found the net eight times in those same five matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their 2-2 draw against Mainz and a 1-0 win over Heidenheim are testaments to a side that stays in the fight regardless of form or reputation.

Borussia Dortmund arrive with their usual attacking swagger — but also questions to answer. They’ve won three of their last five Bundesliga outings, scoring 11 goals at an impressive clip of 2.2 goals per game. Like Freiburg, they’ve conceded just four times in that span, indicating that while their backline isn’t airtight, it’s held up reasonably well under pressure. Their emphatic 3-0 win over Stuttgart and 2-0 victory against Wolfsburg remind everyone of the firepower they possess — especially when the likes of Marco Reus and Donyell Malen click into gear.

The scene is set for a game that balances control and chaos — Freiburg’s structure versus Dortmund’s spark. With both sides conceding under 1 goal per game on average, something has to give. Will Freiburg’s compact setup stifle Dortmund again, or will BVB’s class shine through once more?

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Freiburg has demonstrated resilience in their recent Bundesliga outings, securing one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. During this period, they have scored eight goals and conceded four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Notable performances include a goalless draw against RB Leipzig on March 8, 2025, and a 2-2 draw with Mainz on March 30, 2025. These results highlight Freiburg's ability to hold their ground against formidable opponents.​

Borussia Dortmund enters this fixture with a record of three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They have netted 11 goals and conceded four, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Dortmund's attacking capabilities were on full display in their 3-0 victory over Stuttgart on March 15, 2025. However, their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in a 3-2 defeat to Bochum on March 8, 2025. Dortmund's ability to score is undeniable, but maintaining defensive solidity remains a concern.​

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
05.04.25
Freiburg Freiburg
1 - 4
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
23.11.24
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg Freiburg
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
09.02.24
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Freiburg Freiburg
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
16.09.23
Freiburg Freiburg
2 - 4
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga 2022/2023 Bundesliga 2022/2023
04.02.23
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
5 - 1
Freiburg Freiburg

Freiburg Latest Games

Freiburg Freiburg
17.05.25
Freiburg Freiburg
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
10.05.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Freiburg Freiburg
04.05.25
Freiburg Freiburg
2 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
26.04.25
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
0 - 1
Freiburg Freiburg
19.04.25
Freiburg Freiburg
3 - 2
Hoffenheim Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund Latest Games

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
17.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
11.05.25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 4
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
03.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
26.04.25
Hoffenheim Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
20.04.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach

Historically, Borussia Dortmund has held the upper hand in this fixture. In their last meeting at the Europa-Park Stadion on August 12, 2022, Dortmund secured a 3-1 victory over Freiburg. This precedent underscores Dortmund's capability to perform well away from home against Freiburg.​

Considering both teams' recent form and historical encounters, this match is poised to be closely contested. Freiburg's solid defence will aim to neutralize Dortmund's potent attack. However, Dortmund's offensive firepower might prove decisive. A narrow victory for Borussia Dortmund, possibly 2-1, seems plausible, but Freiburg's resilience could lead to a draw if they capitalize on their defensive strengths and home advantage.

Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.66 at Betway

My second prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.80 at Bet365

My final prediction is W2 to win for odds of 2.39 at 1XBet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,66
Bet Type BTTS
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
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Odds 2,39
Bet Type W2
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!

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