

Stadium: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
05.04.2025 16:30

A high-stakes Bundesliga clash awaits this Saturday as SC Freiburg host Borussia Dortmund at the Europa-Park Stadion, which could prove pivotal for both clubs’ aspirations. Kick-off is set for 16:30 (GMT+3), and the two sides have very different ambitions but nearly match defensive discipline coming into this game.
Freiburg, known for their grit and tactical discipline under Christian Streich, have been quietly solid in recent weeks. They’ve lost just once in their last five Bundesliga matches, securing one win and drawing three. While they haven't dazzled, they’ve been hard to beat — conceding only four goals in their last five, an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game. Offensively, Freiburg have found the net eight times in those same five matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their 2-2 draw against Mainz and a 1-0 win over Heidenheim are testaments to a side that stays in the fight regardless of form or reputation.
Borussia Dortmund arrive with their usual attacking swagger — but also questions to answer. They’ve won three of their last five Bundesliga outings, scoring 11 goals at an impressive clip of 2.2 goals per game. Like Freiburg, they’ve conceded just four times in that span, indicating that while their backline isn’t airtight, it’s held up reasonably well under pressure. Their emphatic 3-0 win over Stuttgart and 2-0 victory against Wolfsburg remind everyone of the firepower they possess — especially when the likes of Marco Reus and Donyell Malen click into gear.
The scene is set for a game that balances control and chaos — Freiburg’s structure versus Dortmund’s spark. With both sides conceding under 1 goal per game on average, something has to give. Will Freiburg’s compact setup stifle Dortmund again, or will BVB’s class shine through once more?
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Freiburg has demonstrated resilience in their recent Bundesliga outings, securing one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. During this period, they have scored eight goals and conceded four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Notable performances include a goalless draw against RB Leipzig on March 8, 2025, and a 2-2 draw with Mainz on March 30, 2025. These results highlight Freiburg's ability to hold their ground against formidable opponents.
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund enters this fixture with a record of three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They have netted 11 goals and conceded four, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Dortmund's attacking capabilities were on full display in their 3-0 victory over Stuttgart on March 15, 2025. However, their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in a 3-2 defeat to Bochum on March 8, 2025. Dortmund's ability to score is undeniable, but maintaining defensive solidity remains a concern.
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Expert Betting Tips
Historically, Borussia Dortmund has held the upper hand in this fixture. In their last meeting at the Europa-Park Stadion on August 12, 2022, Dortmund secured a 3-1 victory over Freiburg. This precedent underscores Dortmund's capability to perform well away from home against Freiburg.
Considering both teams' recent form and historical encounters, this match is poised to be closely contested. Freiburg's solid defence will aim to neutralize Dortmund's potent attack. However, Dortmund's offensive firepower might prove decisive. A narrow victory for Borussia Dortmund, possibly 2-1, seems plausible, but Freiburg's resilience could lead to a draw if they capitalize on their defensive strengths and home advantage.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.66 at Betway
My second prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.80 at Bet365
My final prediction is W2 to win for odds of 2.39 at 1XBet
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