Stadium: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
30.03.2025 16:30
Two sides desperate to firm up their footing in the Bundesliga standings lock horns this weekend as SC Freiburg host 1. FC Union Berlin in a match that promises intensity, resilience, and potential goals. While both teams have endured inconsistency, their contrasting playing styles create a compelling narrative. Freiburg, known for their tactical discipline and occasional attacking flair, have struggled to assert dominance at home. Union Berlin, on the other hand, arrives as one of the league’s most unpredictable travellers—capable of upset victories but burdened with defensive frailties.
This fixture has seen its share of drama in recent meetings, with Union edging the head-to-head across the past five games. Yet, Freiburg's creative threats in Ritsu Doan and Vincenzo Grifo—each with 8 goals—could be decisive, especially against an away side conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game.
With a high probability of over 2.5 Goals probability, expect a free-flowing match despite modest BTTS expectations. This game may serve as a litmus test for Freiburg’s top-six hopes and Union’s battle for stability.
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SC Freiburg continues to hover in the top half of the table, driven largely by the form of attacking duo Ritsu Doan and Vincenzo Grifo, each on eight goals. However, their home form remains underwhelming, with no victories in their last four league games at Europa-Park Stadion.
Averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home outing, Freiburg have leaned on structure more than aggression. Still, contributions from Lukas Kübler and the ever-reliable Matthias Ginter in defence offer a sturdy base. Coach Julian Schuster will be pushing for greater cutting edge in the final third, especially with top-six ambitions hanging in the balance.
Against a vulnerable Union backline, Freiburg must be clinical—this match may present their best chance to regain control of their season at home.
Union Berlin
Union Berlin’s away campaign has been defined by unpredictability. Despite showing flashes of promise—such as their recent 2-1 win over Frankfurt—their defensive woes have cast a long shadow. Averaging 0.8 goals scored but leaking 2.3 per match on the road, they’ve struggled to sustain pressure or protect leads.
Their attacking threat relies heavily on Benedict Hollerbach, whose 7 goals stand well ahead of teammates. Supporting cast members like Woo-Yeong Jeong and Robert Skov add depth, but Union’s success hinges on their ability to stay organized under pressure.
Coach Nenad Bjelica will demand more cohesion from a side that’s conceded six or more shots on target in most away fixtures. A resilient showing will be required to stifle Freiburg’s multi-pronged offensive options.
History of Head-to-Heads
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2022/2023
Freiburg
Freiburg Latest Games
Freiburg 
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
Union Berlin Latest Games
Union Berlin
Stuttgart
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
Expert Betting Tips
This is Freiburg’s match to lose. With a 47% probability of victory and facing a Union Berlin side conceding heavily on the road, the hosts are expected to assert dominance. While Union’s 28% win chance suggests an upset isn't out of reach, their shaky defence may unravel against Freiburg’s front line.
The high over 2.5 goals probability and moderate BTTS likelihood indicate goals will flow, but not necessarily from both teams. Expect Freiburg to finally break their home win drought.
Predicted Score: SC Freiburg 3-1 Union Berlin
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 2.15 at Betway
My second prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.93 at Bet365
My final prediction is W1 to win for odds of 2.06 at 1XBet
Other predictions
