Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Mainz)
05.04.2025 16:30
Saturday’s clash at the MEWA Arena pits two teams on very different trajectories. Mainz, slowly climbing out of the shadows of a rocky start, is beginning to string together some form. Holstein Kiel, on the other hand, arrives in survival mode, battered by recent results and desperate to stop the bleeding.
Mainz have taken seven points from their last three games at home and are showing signs of becoming a much tougher unit to break down. Their 2-0 win over St. Pauli last month was a clean, composed performance — the kind of game they’ll be looking to replicate. With 10 goals scored and just 7 conceded in their last five matches, they’re starting to find the right balance.
Kiel’s numbers paint a very different picture. Just one win in their last five games, four goals scored and 10 conceded. They’ve looked shaky at the back, and with confidence clearly low, this trip to Mainz couldn’t come at a worse time. They were thrashed 3-0 by Mainz in the reverse fixture back in November — and unless something drastic changes, they could be in for another long afternoon.
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Mainz have found something lately — structure, belief, maybe even momentum. After a rocky start to the campaign, they’re beginning to string together results that reflect the potential in this squad. In their last five Bundesliga matches, they’ve picked up three wins, scored 10 goals, and are averaging a healthy 2.0 goals per game. That’s not just form — that’s evidence of a team starting to believe.
They’ve become more composed, more clinical. Whether grinding out wins or going toe-to-toe with bigger sides, Mainz now carry an air of control. The 2-0 victory over St. Pauli was a prime example — measured, professional, and finished with minimum fuss. At home, they’re particularly dangerous, using the familiarity of the MEWA Arena to pin teams back and apply sustained pressure.
This isn't a side that's going to win headlines with flair. But they’re finding rhythm, and heading into this fixture, they look like a team that knows exactly what it needs to do.
Holstein Kiel
Kiel’s season is unraveling, and fast. They’ve managed just one win in their last five matches, with a grim tally of 10 goals conceded and only four scored in that time. Confidence is clearly low, and the defensive lapses are piling up. Every week, it’s the same story: early pressure, a goal conceded, and then chasing shadows.
Their away form offers little hope. The 3-0 defeat to Mainz earlier this season still lingers, and unless something changes — tactically or mentally — this could be more of the same. This isn’t to say Kiel can’t fight; they’ve shown moments. But moments won’t save you in a relegation scrap. Structure, resilience, and goals will — and right now, they’re short on all three.
History of Head-to-Heads
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Holstein Kiel
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Mainz 05
DFB Pokal 2017/2018
Holstein Kiel
DFB Pokal 2011/2012
Mainz 05
Mainz 05 Latest Games
Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
Holstein Kiel Latest Games
Holstein Kiel 
Holstein Kiel
Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
Borussia Moenchengladbach
Holstein Kiel
Expert Betting Tips
Mainz have the form, the confidence, and the home advantage. Kiel looks stretched, exposed, and short on answers. It’s hard to see anything other than a Mainz win here — and possibly a comfortable one.
Predicted Score: Mainz 3–1 Holstein Kiel
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is W1 and over 1.5 goals for odds of 1.64 at Betway
My second prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.64 at Bet365
My final prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.86 at 1XBet
Other predictions
