Mainz 05 vs FC St Pauli Prediction: Mainz 05 to win in a low scoring game

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga. Round 23
Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Mainz)
22.02.2025 17:30
Clement Obeng Manu
22 Feb 2025
05:12
Statistics of the month:
26
14
2
61.9%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,84
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Mainz 05 vs FC St Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │22 FEBRUARY, 2025

In an engaging mid-table clash, Mainz 05 prepares to host St Pauli on 22nd February 2025 at 17:30 (GMT+3) in a contest that epitomizes the competitive spirit of the league. Both sides are eager to accumulate points and display tactical acumen in what promises to be a closely fought affair.

Mainz 05 looks to harness the energy of their home crowd to dominate the midfield and launch decisive attacks. Their style balances patient build-up with bursts of individual brilliance, making them a tough nut to crack for any visiting side. St Pauli, on the other hand, brings a blend of technical skill and counter-attacking savvy to the table. The visitors have demonstrated in recent matches that they can exploit defensive gaps and turn defensive situations into scoring opportunities.

This fixture is set to be a tactical battleground where both teams are likely to exchange momentum through strategic pressing and smart positional play. The game’s narrative is enriched by the potential for set-piece opportunities and rapid transitions, which could tip the balance in a match where every detail counts. 

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Mainz 05 has built a reputation as a well-drilled outfit, especially when playing in front of their own supporters. Their home performances are characterized by a structured build-up, a willingness to push forward, and an ability to generate matches that frequently see more than 2.5 goals. The team’s BTTS rate indicates that while they strive to keep clean sheets, they also create scoring opportunities that can occasionally leave gaps in defence. 

Their corner statistics further highlight a proactive use of wing play, turning set-pieces into attacking chances. With disciplined tactical setups and a solid midfield presence, Mainz 05 typically controls the game’s tempo at home, making it difficult for opponents to impose their will.

St. Pauli approach the fixture as the quintessential underdogs, driven by a fighting spirit and an unyielding desire to challenge the established order. Their away performances are marked by a willingness to adopt an aggressive, counter-attacking style that can catch opponents off guard. The BTTS statistics suggest that their games often see goals from both sides, a byproduct of their open, risk-taking approach. Set-piece situations, particularly corners, are a vital aspect of their game plan, offering a platform for launching decisive attacks. 

Although their win percentage on the road may be lower compared to top-tier sides, their tactical discipline and sheer determination make them a dangerous opponent. St. Pauli’s combative style and willingness to disrupt the opposition’s rhythm add an unpredictable twist to the match, ensuring that every minute is packed with intensity and the potential for an upset.

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
22.02.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 0
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
05.10.24
St. Pauli St. Pauli
0 - 3
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1. Bundesliga 2010/2011 1. Bundesliga 2010/2011
14.05.11
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 1
St. Pauli St. Pauli
1. Bundesliga 2010/2011 1. Bundesliga 2010/2011
18.12.10
St. Pauli St. Pauli
2 - 4
Mainz 05 Mainz 05

Mainz 05 Latest Games

Mainz 05 Mainz 05
19.04.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 2
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
12.04.25
Hoffenheim Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
05.04.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
30.03.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 1
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
15.03.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 2
Freiburg Freiburg

St. Pauli Latest Games

St. Pauli St. Pauli
20.04.25
St. Pauli St. Pauli
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
12.04.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
06.04.25
St. Pauli St. Pauli
1 - 1
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
29.03.25
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
3 - 2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
19.03.25
St. Pauli St. Pauli
0 - 0
Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin

Playing at home, Mainz has shown the ability to control games through disciplined midfield play and effective wing attacks, often translating into decisive goals. St. Pauli will aim to frustrate Leipzig’s rhythm with organized defensive play and quick counters.

Despite their efforts, the visitors may find it challenging to disrupt Mainz’s rhythm consistently. The encounter is expected to be closely contested, with both teams managing to score, yet the home side’s subtle advantage should be enough to secure the win.

I predict a 2 - 0 result in favour of Mainz 05 considering Mainz’s potential to exploit home conditions. Based on the predicted score above, below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is W1 to win for odds of 1.84 at Betway

My second prediction is under 2.5 goals for odds of 1.74 at Bet365

My final prediction is No BTTS to win for odds of 1.77 at 1XBet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,84
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,74
Bet Type Under 2.5 goals
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Odds 1,77
Bet Type No BTTS
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!

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