Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Can Holstein Kiel stop Borussia Dortmund?

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga. Week 17
Stadium: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
14.01.2025 20:30
Clement Obeng Manu
13 Jan 2025
14:25
Statistics of the month:
9
4
1
64.29%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type W2
Bonus 250 USD
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Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │14 JANUARY, 2025

As Holstein Kiel prepares to face Borussia Dortmund on 14th January 2025 at 20:30 (GMT+3), fans anticipate an electrifying clash at Holstein-Stadion. This week 17 of the Bundesliga encounter pits two teams with contrasting histories and recent fortunes.

Dortmund's status as one of Germany’s powerhouses speaks volumes, but Holstein Kiel’s relentless pursuit of success in recent seasons has made them a formidable opponent. Their paths have crossed only thrice, and Dortmund has emerged victorious on every occasion, most recently with a commanding 5-0 win in 2021. 

This time, Kiel will look to rewrite history against a Dortmund side that has shown signs of vulnerability. With both teams entering this match following inconsistent form, unpredictability adds to the drama.

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Holstein Kiel has been a story of steady growth. They’ve transformed into a side capable of shaking up bigger teams, evidenced by their recent 5-1 demolition of Augsburg. Their performances at Holstein-Stadion often carry a fierce determination, driven by passionate home fans. Despite inconsistency, their attack has been sharp, with the ability to break defensive lines. Yet, defensive lapses remain a glaring weakness, with Freiburg and Monchengladbach exploiting these flaws in recent defeats. Facing Dortmund, Kiel must rely on their offensive fluidity while tightening their backline. A victory in this clash would advance them in the cup and mark a statement against a Bundesliga giant.

Borussia Dortmund enters this match aiming to reaffirm their dominance. Known for their high-octane style and attacking depth, Dortmund has been prolific in recent seasons. Still, their form has wavered, highlighted by a 3-2 loss to Leverkusen and a UCL defeat to Barcelona. Injuries and defensive lapses have occasionally undermined their brilliance, but the likes of Donyell Malen and Sébastien Haller remain potent threats. Dortmund’s experience in high-stakes games gives them an undeniable edge, and they’ll approach Kiel with a calculated mindset, aware of the dangers of underestimating their opponents.

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
17.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
14.01.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
4 - 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
DFB Pokal 2020/2021 DFB Pokal 2020/2021
01.05.21
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
5 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
DFB Pokal 2011/2012 DFB Pokal 2011/2012
07.02.12
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
0 - 4
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund

Holstein Kiel Latest Games

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
17.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
10.05.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Freiburg Freiburg
04.05.25
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 3
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
26.04.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
4 - 3
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
19.04.25
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel

Borussia Dortmund Latest Games

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
17.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
11.05.25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 4
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
03.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
26.04.25
Hoffenheim Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
20.04.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach

I predict a 3-1 victory for Borussia Dortmund in this clash. Holstein Kiel’s recent attacking form, especially at home, gives them a chance to trouble Dortmund’s occasionally shaky defence. 

However, Dortmund’s quality in depth and experience in knockout competitions should shine through. Kiel may find an early goal, but Dortmund’s attacking threats, led by players like Donyell Malen and Sébastien Haller, will likely overwhelm them as the game progresses. 

The probability of a Dortmund win is 65%, with Kiel holding a 20% chance of causing an upset. A draw, forcing extra time, remains a 15% possibility, but Dortmund’s firepower should ensure they avoid that scenario. Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is Borussia Dortmund to win for odds of 1.62 at Betway

My second prediction is over 9.5 corners for odds of 1.65 at Bet365

My final prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.61 at 1XBet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type W2
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,65
Bet Type Over 9.5 corners
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type BTTS
Bonus 100 EUR
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