Hamburger SV vs VFB Stuttgart Prediction: No chance for the home side

The return leg of the Bundesliga Promotion/Relegation match is upon us and Hamburger and Stuttgart will be playing the return match to book a place in next year’s Bundesliga season.

Hamburger SV were in 3rd place at the end of the Bundesliga 2 season to qualify for this match, while VFB Stuttgart ended the Bundesliga campaign in 16th position. These two faced each other in the first leg match and VFB Stuttgart were clearly the stronger team of the two as they won 3-0 at full time.

In this match, Hamburger are playing at home and they need 3 or more goals to revive their hopes of promotion to the Bundesliga next season.

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV fought hard to earn their place in the promotion playoff after falling 1 point short of safety in the concluded Bundesliga 2 campaign. Unfortunately, their hopes are hanging in the balance and they are on the brink of remaining in the Bundesliga 2 campaign after suffering a 3-0 defeat to VFB Stuttgart in the first leg of the playoff match away from home.

In the first leg, Hamburger were torn apart by VFB Stuttgart who were clearly the better side in the game. VFB Stuttgart were first to score the opening goal in the 1st minute through Konstantinos Mavropanos’ effort. And in the 27th minute Serhou Guirassy saved a penalty kick to keep Hamburger in the game. And then in the second half, VFB Stuttgart’s dominance continued as they scored two more goals from Josha Vagnoman in the 51st minute and Serhou Guirassy in the 54th minute. Hamburger SV had no chance to get back into the game and things grew worse after Anssi Sunheon was sent off for a foul in the 69th minute. According to statistics, Hamburger SV managed 53% possession, 9 shots on target and 7 corner kicks in the game.

Hamburger SV will be hoping they can turn things around on their home ground. Their home form in the concluded Bundesliga 2 season was very good as they played 17 games at home and won 11, drew 3 and lost 3. Their last 5 home matches also ended in 3 draws and 2 wins and they have not lost any of their last 11 home games.

Team streak: more than 2.5 goals (6/7), both teams scoring (5/7), first to score (4/5), less than 10.5 corners (5/5).

VFB Stuttgart

VFB Stuttgart are on the verge of retaining their place in next season’s Bundesliga after beating Hamburger SV in the first leg of the playoffs. VFB Stuttgart ended the Bundesliga Season in 16th spot with 33 points, and 1 point shy of safety. But things are according to plan for this team as they look like clear favorites to win the playoffs on both legs.

VFB Stuttgart were excellent in the first leg and they did not give the opposition a chance to get into the game. Konstantinos Mavropanos gave VFB Stuttgart the opening goal in the 1st minute and then in the second half, Josha Vagnoman and Serhou Guirassy both extended their lead to bring the game to 3-0 at full time. According to statistics, VFB Stuttgart had 53% possession, 9 shots on target and 7 corner kicks.

VFB Stuttgart are playing the away game here and their away form is a serious worry. They played 17 away games in the Bundesliga and they had 2 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats in those games. Their last 5 away games ended in 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

Team streak: no losses (4), more than 2.5 goals (5/7), both teams scoring (9/10), less than 10.5 corners (5/6).

Head to Head

Hamburger SV and VFB Stuttgart have faced each other 20 times before now. VFB Stuttgart won 12 games, while Hamburger SV won 6 games and 2 games ended in a draw.

• VFB Stuttgart won the last 4 meetings.
• Hamburger are without a clean sheet in 13 meetings.
• There were more than 2.5 goals in 8/10 meetings.
• Both teams scored in 9/10 meetings.
• There were less than 4.5 cards in 6/8 meetings
• There were less than 10.5 corners in 4/5 meetings.

Analysis and Betting Tips:

According to analysis, Hamburger have scored 70 goals and conceded 45 goals in 34 matches in the Bundesliga 2. They have scored 2.1 goals per game and have a 14% conversion rate. They also create 3.1 big chances per game and take a total of 14.9 shots per game with 5.5 shots on target per game. They take an average of 5.3 corners per game and take up 58.6% possession on average. On the defense, they have 10 clean sheets and they conceded 1.3 goals per game.

According to analysis, VFB Stuttgart have scored 45 goals and conceded 57 goals in 34 matches in the Bundesliga. They have scored 1.3 goals per game and have a 10% conversion rate. They also create 2.1 big chances per game and take a total of 13.6 shots per game with 4.4 shots on target per game. They take an average of 4.6 corners per game and take up 50.3% possession on average . On the defense, they have 2 clean sheets and they conceded 1.7 goals per game.

Betting Tips

• Under 11 Corners at 1.65 Odds
• Home Win FT at 1.92 Odds
• Correct Score 2-1 at 11.00 Odds