Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig Prediction: Home team set to test Leipzig’s resolve

Borussia Moenchengladbach
Borussia Moenchengladbach
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga. Round 27
Stadium: BORUSSIA-PARK (Mönchengladbach)
29.03.2025 17:30
Clement Obeng Manu
29 Mar 2025
09:34
Statistics of the month:
26
14
2
61.9%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
Bonus 250 USD
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Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │29 MARCH, 2025

All eyes turn to Borussia Park as Borussia Monchengladbach prepare to face RB Leipzig in what promises to be a high-stakes Bundesliga clash. This matchup brings together two sides with contrasting recent forms and tactical philosophies. Gladbach, enjoying a strong home record, came into the game having netted 2.5 goals per home outing. Leipzig, meanwhile, has struggled to maintain consistency on the road, averaging just one goal while conceding 0.5 away from home.

Although Leipzig traditionally controls possession and dictates tempo, Gladbach’s resurgence in recent weeks—highlighted by their 4-2 win at Bremen—has them entering this encounter with momentum. The last five head-to-head meetings show Leipzig edging things slightly, but Monchengladbach’s current sharpness at home tips the scale in their favour this time.

The numbers indicate a goal-rich game, with a 74% probability of Over 2.5 goals. However, the BTTS likelihood sits lower at 44%, suggesting that one side may dominate the scoring.

As both teams battle for positioning and European contention, the stakes are significant. Gladbach’s creative midfield, fronted by in-form striker Tim Kleindienst, will look to penetrate a Leipzig defence that thrives on structure but can be undone by quick transitions. This match has the makings of a statement win for the hosts if they deliver on both ends.

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Borussia Monchengladbach have rediscovered their rhythm at home, recording three wins in their last four Bundesliga matches at Borussia-Park. Offensively, they’ve been dynamic, averaging 2.5 goals per home fixture—largely thanks to Tim Kleindienst’s prolific form and the supporting cast of Alassane Pléa and Robin Hack.

Under Gerardo Seoane, Gladbach have adopted a more aggressive, front-footed approach, reflected in their increased shot volume and consistent threat from midfielders like Rocco Reitz and Kevin Stöger. Their 51% possession and 53.5% pass completion across competitions underline a balanced style—equally capable of controlling games or striking on the break.

Despite injury concerns in goal, the defence remains functional, led by Ko Itakura and Nico Elvedi. With momentum on their side and confidence growing, Gladbach aims to continue climbing the table.

RB Leipzig comes into this tie needing to reestablish consistency. With just two wins from their last four away Bundesliga matches, their form has cooled despite a talented squad. Loïs Openda and Benjamin Sesko remain their primary attacking outlets, while Xavi Simons continues to orchestrate the midfield with flair.

Defensively, Leipzig are hard to break down, conceding only 0.5 goals per away game, thanks to disciplined structures anchored by Castello Lukeba and David Raum. Their ball control and methodical buildup remain key traits, as shown by their 49.4% pass possession average.

Injuries to key midfielders like Xaver Schlager may affect fluidity, but the system under Marco Rose still prioritizes collective effort over individual brilliance. Leipzig must strike early to quiet the crowd and avoid being overrun by Gladbach's intensity.

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
29.03.25
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
1 - 0
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
09.11.24
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
17.02.24
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
23.09.23
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
0 - 1
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2022/2023 Bundesliga 2022/2023
11.03.23
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach

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Borussia Monchengladbach enters this matchup as slight favourites, with a 57% probability of victory driven by home form and attacking potency. RB Leipzig, though defensively sound, may find it tough to contain Gladbach’s surging offence in front of a lively home crowd.

With a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and just 44% BTTS likelihood, the match points toward a dominant display from one side - most likely the hosts. Leipzig will need to produce a clinical performance to earn a result.

Predicted Score: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 RB Leipzig

Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.61 at Betway

My second prediction is W1 to win for odds of 2.96 at Bet365

My final prediction is over 9.6 corners for odds of 1.89 at 1XBet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,61
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!
Odds 2,96
Bet Type W1
Bet Now!
Odds 1,89
Bet Type Over 9.5 corners
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!

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