Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction: A must win for the title

Borussia Dortmund are only one step away from being crowned Bundesliga champions for the 2022/23 campaign. They were handed the top spot on a platter after Bayern Munich lost their last game against RB Leipzig at home last weekend and Borussia Dortmund beat Augsburg. FSV Mainz are the opposition today and they will be hoping to ruin the party by any means possible. But they come into this game with a horrible record, as they are without a win in their last 4 matches.

Borussia Dortmund are currently top of the Bundesliga with 70 points, while FSV Mainz are 9th with 46 points.

Borussia Dortmund (WWWDW)

Borussia Dortmund deserve all they are getting right now after a very excellent show this season and now they might just win the Bundesliga title. They have been in very good form throughout the season and they had 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Their last game against Augsburg ended in a win and was enough to get them back to the top of the table.

At home, Borussia Dortmund have an excellent record. In their last 5 home games, 5 wins and they have not lost a single home game this season.

Borussia Dortmund are at the top of the Bundesliga with 70 points and a goal ratio of 81:42. In 33 matches, they had 22 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats.

Borussia Dortmund continued their excellent form in their last game against Augsburg away from home as they beat them 3-0 at full time. The first half ended goalless as both sides failed to convert their chances. But in the second half, Sebastian Haller opened the scoring for Borussia Dortmund in the 58th minute. He doubled his tally in the 84th minute with another goal before Julian Brandt scored the third goal in the 93rd minute to seal the 3-0 win. According to statistics, Borussia Dortmund had 64% possession, 10 shots on target and 8 corner kicks.

Team streak: wins (3), no losses (7), more than 2.5 goals (6/7), first to score (5/7), more than 10.5 corners (5/6).

FSV Mainz (LLLLW)

FSV Mainz will need more than a miracle to get any positive result from this game as they are in very poor form at the moment. They are currently on a 4- match losing streak and in their last 5 matches, they had 4 defeats and a win, with their last match ending in a 4-1 defeat against VFB Stuttgart. FSV Mainz are equally unimpressive away from home as they lost back-to-back away games.In their last 5 away games, they had 2 defeats, 2 draws and 1 win.

FSV Mainz are currently 9th in the Bundesliga with 45 points and a goal ratio of 52:53. In 33 matches they have played, they had 12 wins, 9 draws and 12 defeats.

FSV Mainz need to recover from a 4-1 defeat to VFB Stuttgart in their last game at home. Both clubs were level at half time after goals from Marcus Ingvartsen and Wataru Endo for Mainz and Stuttgart respectively. And in the second half, Stuttgart came back stronger as Serhou Guirassy scored the second goal in the 64th minute and in the 78th minute Chris Fuhrich scored the third. And then the fourth goal came in the 91st minute through Tanguy Coulibaly to seal the 4-1 victory for VFB Stuttgart. According to statistics, VFB Stuttgart had 54% possession, 6 shots on target and 3 corner kicks.

Team streak: losses (4), without a clean sheet (7), more than 2.5 goals (5/5), both teams scoring (5/7), first to concede (4/5), first half loser (4/5), less than 4.5 cards (4/5), less than 10.5 corners (8/9).

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund and FSV Mainz have faced each other 20 times before now. Borussia Dortmund had 14 wins, while FSV Mainz had 4 wins and 2 matches ended in a draw.

• Borussia Dortmund had 4 wins in the last 4 meetings
• Borussia Dortmund had no losses in 5 meetings.
• FSV Mainz are without a clean sheet in 5 meetings.
• Both teams scored in 4/5 meetings.
• There were less than 10.5 corners in 8/8 meetings.

Expert Analysis and Tips

Borussia Dortmund scored 81 goals and conceded 42 in 33 games this season. They scored an average of 2.5 goals per game and had a 15% conversion rate. They created an average of 3.5 chances per game and played an average of 16.2 shots per game. They played an average of 6.5 shots on target per game and an average of 6.7 corners per game. Defensively, they managed to concede an average of 1.3 goals per game and they have kept 12 clean sheets.

FSV Mainz have scored 52 goals and conceded 53 in 33 games this season. They scored an average of 1.6 goals per game and had a 13% conversion rate. They created an average of 2.0 chances per game and played an average of 12.4 shots per game. They played an average of 4.8 shots on target per game and an average of 4.6 corners per game. Defensively, they managed to concede an average of 1.6 goals per game and they have kept 7 clean sheets.

Betting Tips:-

• Home HT Over 1.5 Goals at 1.72 Odds
• More than 3.5 Goals at 1.63 Odds
• Correct Score 4-0 at 11 Odds on Bet365