1 FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum 1848 Prediction: Mainz is the favorite

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Finished
Bochum
Bochum
Bundesliga Round 16
Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Mainz)
11.01.2025 17:30
Clement Obeng Manu
10 Jan 2025
21:01
Statistics of the month:
25
12
1
65.79%
Statistics
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1 FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum 1848 Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │11 JANUARY, 2025

The Bundesliga returns with a captivating encounter between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum 1848 at the MEWA Arena. Mainz will look to extend their dominance over Bochum, having won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings. Their home advantage has historically been significant, as Mainz remains unbeaten against Bochum at the MEWA Arena, with six wins and two draws.

Bochum enters this match with renewed confidence after an impressive run of form, including a 2-0 win against Heidenheim and back-to-back friendly victories. However, their track record against Mainz, particularly away from home, leaves much to be desired. Bochum has only managed two wins in their 15 encounters, with none coming on Mainz's turf.

This game represents a battle between Mainz's clinical finishing and Bochum's recent defensive improvements. Both teams are coming off solid results, making this a must-watch contest. Given their recent form and head-to-head history, I expect Mainz to have the upper hand, but Bochum’s resilience could make this tighter than the records suggest.

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Mainz has been in scintillating form, winning four of their last five Bundesliga matches. Recent victories against formidable opponents, including Bayern Munich and Eintracht Frankfurt, underline their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Their 3-1 away win over Frankfurt and a 2-0 triumph against Hoffenheim showcase a team capable of controlling games and capitalizing on chances.

Playing at the MEWA Arena, Mainz enjoys an excellent record against Bochum. Their dominance on home soil is well-documented, with six wins and two draws in eight encounters. The MEWA Arena has become a fortress for Mainz, and they’ll look to use this advantage to assert control early.

Key to their success has been their ability to strike early. In their last five matches, Mainz has frequently taken the lead in the first half, forcing their opponents to chase the game. If they maintain this momentum, I see Mainz as the likelier team to dictate proceedings and secure another home win.

Bochum has displayed a commendable turnaround recently, with three wins in their last five matches across competitions. Their 2-0 Bundesliga victory against Heidenheim and dominant friendly performances, including a 6-2 win over Wuppertaler, highlight their growing confidence. Bochum’s defensive discipline has also improved, evidenced by their clean sheets against Heidenheim and Heracles Almelo.

Despite this, Bochum’s away form remains a concern. Their last trip to the MEWA Arena ended in a 2-0 defeat, and their overall record against Mainz reflects their struggles. In their 15 head-to-head encounters, Bochum has only managed two victories, with none coming in Mainz.

For Bochum to challenge in this game, they’ll need to stay compact defensively and exploit set-piece opportunities. Their resilience and recent confidence will help, but overcoming Mainz’s dominance, particularly on their home ground, will require a near-perfect performance.

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
11.01.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 0
Bochum Bochum
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
16.03.24
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 0
Bochum Bochum
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
27.10.23
Bochum Bochum
2 - 2
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2022/2023 Bundesliga 2022/2023
28.01.23
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
5 - 2
Bochum Bochum
Bundesliga 2022/2023 Bundesliga 2022/2023
06.08.22
Bochum Bochum
1 - 2
Mainz 05 Mainz 05

Mainz 05 Latest Games

Mainz 05 Mainz 05
05.04.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
30.03.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 1
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
15.03.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 2
Freiburg Freiburg
07.03.25
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
1 - 3
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
01.03.25
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz 05 Mainz 05

Bochum Latest Games

Bochum Bochum
05.04.25
Bochum Bochum
0 - 4
Stuttgart Stuttgart
28.03.25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
Bochum Bochum
20.03.25
Bochum Bochum
4 - 2
Preussen Muenster Preussen Muenster
16.03.25
Bochum Bochum
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
08.03.25
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
2 - 3
Bochum Bochum

Based on the statistics and recent form, I predict a 3-1 victory for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Mainz's stellar record at home and their current run of form make them strong favorites to win this encounter. While Bochum has improved defensively, I believe Mainz’s ability to score early and control possession will leave the visitors chasing the game.

Bochum may find the net through counterattacks or set pieces, but their defensive vulnerabilities against a high-flying Mainz attack will likely cost them. For me, Mainz’s superior head-to-head record and home dominance make them the clear favorites to secure all three points.

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