Troyes vs LOSC Lille Prediction: Lille will secure their place in Europe

Troyes and Lille will play against each other in the final Ligue 1 match of the 2022/23 season. Lille are on the brink of qualification for next season's European games as they need to win here to cement their place in the competition. A draw or defeat here would see them from the 4th position as they are only 1 point above Rennes and Monaco. Troyes are already headed to the relegation zone as they are 18th on the league table. A win here would ensure they end 18th but a draw or defeat would see them drop to 19th if Ajaccio win their game.

Troyes (LDLLL)

Troyes have been by-far one of the worst teams this season and they come into this game with a very poor record as they have not won in their last 21 games in all competitions. In their last 5 games they had 1 draw and 4 losses, with their last game against Angers ending in a 2-1 defeat. 

Troyes have been equally poor while playing at home in the MLS this season. In their last 10 home games, they had 6 defeats and 4 draws in those games. Their last 5 home games ended in 3 defeats and 2 draws, and their last home game ended in a 1-1 draw with Strasbourg.

Troyes lost to Angers away from home in their most recent match as the game ended 2-1 at full time. Troyes were first on the scoresheet as Xavier Chavalerin opened the scoring in the 13th minute. But they failed to hang on, as Himad Abdelli level the score in the 38th minute. And in the second half, both teams had a go at each other, but it was Angers that grabbed the winning goal in the 90th minute through Lilian Raolisoa. According to statistics, Troyes had 40% possession, 3 shots on target and 3 corner kicks in that game.

Troyes are currently 18th in the Ligue 1, with 23 points and a goal ratio of 44:80. They played 37 matches this season and had 4 wins, 11 draws and 22 defeats.

Team streak: no wins (21), without a clean sheet (22), more than 2.5 goals (5/7), both teams scoring (5/7), first to concede (9/10), first half loser (7/8), less than 4.5 cards (7/7).

LOSC Lille (WWDLW)

Lille are strong favorites to win here as they come in here with better form and record. They are currently on a 2-match win streak and are unbeaten in their last 3 games. In their last 5 matches they had 3 wins,1 draw and 1 defeat, with their most recent match ending in a 2-1 win over Nantes.

Lille's away form has been very poor this season as they won only 1 win in their last 10 away games this season. They had 4 defeats and 5 draws in the other games away from home. In their last 5 away games they recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and their most recent away game was the 0-0 draw against AS Monaco.

Lille were at their very best when they faced Nantes in their last game as they won the game 2-1.  Nantes were first to score in the first half as Quentin Merlin scored in the 17th minute of the game. But Lille came back stronger in the second half, and they scored the equalizer in the 51st minute as Jonathan David converted from the penalty spot. Lille were awarded another penalty in the 88th minute and Jonathan David was once again on target. Lille went on to win the game 2-1 at full time.

Lille are currently 4th on the table with 66 points and a goal ratio of 64:43. They have 19 wins, 9 draws and 9 defeats in their last 37 games.

Team streak: no losses (3), less than 10.5 corners (5/6).

Head to Head

Troyes and Lille have faced each other 20 times. Troyes won 6 games, while Lille won 8 games and 6 matches ended in a draw.

• There were more than 2.5 goals in 5/7 meetings.
• There were less than 4.5 cards in 8/10 meetings.

Analysis and Betting Tips

According to analysis, Troyes have scored 44 goals and conceded 80 goals in 37 matches this season. They have scored 1.2 goals per game and have a 11% conversion rate. They also create 1.4 big chances per game and take a total of 10.5 shots per game with 3.7 shots on target per game. They take an average of 3.9 corners per game and take up 42.5% possession on average. On the defense, they have 1 clean sheet and they conceded 2.2 goals per game.

According to analysis, Lille have scored 64 goals and conceded 43 goals in 37 matches this season. They have scored 1.7 goals per game and have a 12% conversion rate. They also create 3.0 big chances per game and take a total of 14.6 shots per game with 5.7 shots on target per game. They take an average of 5.6 corners per game and take up 60.7% possession on average. On the defense, they have 10 clean sheets and they conceded 1.2 goals per game.

Betting Tips:

• 0 Digit in Score Yes at 1.9 Odds on 1xbet
• Under 10.5 Corners at 1.67 Odds on Coinplay
• Correct Score 0-2 at 8.00 Odds on Bet365