The match in Round 19 of Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Montpellier will have both sides in a tussle that might define their journey for the rest of the season. While Toulouse, sitting 8th, find a balance between mid-table stability and ambitions to challenge for European spots, Montpellier lies in 18th place and desperately needs points to get themselves out of the relegation zone. With so much at stake, neither side will give an inch in this match at the Stadium de Toulouse.
Claim Welcome BonusToulouse
Toulouse have been good in their backyard, with four wins from the last five. For Carles Martinez, indeed a pragmatic head coach, the solid defensive structure fits with fast transitions to attack. Their recent goalless draw with Lyon showed discipline but they failed to capitalize on their two big chances, though at times they seemed dominant in midfield.
The reason behind their success has been minimizing mistakes and capitalizing on set-pieces. The likes of Joshua King and Zakaria Aboukhlal have been instrumental in the attack, while their defense, marshaled by Djibril Sidibe, has remained resilient.
This becomes statistical as Toulouse have benefited in low-corner games, with 7 of the last 8 matches seeing under 10.5 corners. They are also disciplined as they hardly receive yellow cards to show for their composed gameplay. However, they will need to convert their attacking potential into goals against a vulnerable Montpellier defense.
Montpellier
Managed by the veteran Jean-Louis Gasset, Montpellier has had a torrid season and sit 18th with just three wins, but they do come into this game in good morale following a 2-1 win against AS Monaco with a brilliant brace from Mousa Al-Taamari. Their away form still remains abysmal, though, as they have lost all five of their last away matches.
Defensively, Montpellier have been porous, conceding 30 goals and often losing control during the opening period of the match, as witnessed when five first-half deficits occurred in their last six games. Although sporadic, their attack can be dangerous whenever Al-Taamari or Akor Adams gets in his groove. The biggest weakness of Montpellier is that they cannot control the game since they are often conceding first and failing to recover.
Their last outing saw a slight change in tactics from Gasset, with more directness encouraged, and it paid dividends. However, carrying that on with Toulouse, who are so good at the back, will be a real challenge.
Head to Head
Toulouse Wins: 3
Montpellier Wins: 7
Draws: 0
Recent meetings have been goal-heavy, with over 2.5 goals witnessed in the last 10 matches, while both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7. Noticeably, tactically, these matches have been pretty tight affairs often decided by individual brilliance.
History of Head-to-Heads
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Montpellier
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2023/2024
Montpellier
Ligue 1 2023/2024
Toulouse
Club Friendlies 2023
Toulouse
Toulouse Latest Games
Toulouse 
Toulouse
Lens
Rennes
Toulouse
Toulouse
Montpellier Latest Games
Montpellier
Montpellier
PSG
Montpellier
Reims
Montpellier
Expert Betting Tips
Toulouse Win - 1.667 Odds:-
Toulouse’s excellent home form (4W in 5) against Montpellier’s poor away record makes this a solid pick.
Both Teams to Score (Yes) - 1.77 Odds:-
Given Montpellier’s improved attack and Toulouse’s tendency to concede, BTTS has a high probability.
Over 2.5 Goals - 1.72 Odds:-
With the last 10 H2H matches producing over 2.5 goals, this market has a strong historical basis.
Other predictions
