Buckle up, footy mates—Ligue 1 Round 28 has a cracker lined up with Stade Brest v AS Monaco being contested on April 5, 2025, at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Will fighting underdogs Brest be the spoilsport and ruin Monaco's title bid, or will Monaco's free-scoring high-flyers keep popping their champagne cork? Brest are flying high, having just defeated Toulouse 4-2, but their injury list reads like a hospital ward.
Meanwhile, Monaco, sitting pretty in second, swagger in after a 2-1 derby win over Nice, with their attack firing on all cylinders. History leans heavily toward Monaco—they’ve dominated this fixture like a pub quiz champ—but Brest’s home patch has a knack for drama. With stats, form, and a sprinkle of rivalry spice, we’re breaking it all down. Who’s your money on?
Claim Welcome BonusStade Brest
Brest were thrashing like a possessed side of late, and their 4-2 thumping of Toulouse last weekend indicates they have bite. Justin Bourgault, Mathias Pereira Lage, Kamory Doumbia, and Mahdi Camara all found the net in a free-for-all performance—46% possession, five shots on goal, and a record 18 fouls (five yellows as well). That's pub brawling intensity with a scoreboard return. Their most recent record—LLWDW—shows guts, but consistency's still a stranger. Fitted 8th on 12 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, they're three games undefeated, opening first in four of their last five, and racking up more than 4.5 cards in four of five as well—good feisty stuff. The quirk?
Injuries are piling up—Jonas Martin, Jordan Amavi, Brendan Chardonnet, Saumaula Coulibaly, Bradley Locko, Ibrahim Salah, and Justin Bourgault are all doubts or out. Éric Roy has a headache, though he's counting on goalkeeper Marco Bizot, who's taken 10 cleans this season. The Dutchman's a brick wall when operating, and with an xG of 1.06 across this game, Brest'll want him razor-sharp. Their best stuff is home chaos—so picture earplug supporters and acrobatic tackles—but the depleted side might expose them to Monaco's firepower. If they're going to nick anything, it'll be sheer bloody-mindedness and Bizot conjuring miracles out of thin air. Over to you, Marco—fancy another clean sheet, mate?
AS Monaco
Monaco swagger into Brest like they own the place, and why shouldn't they? 2-1 home win against their rivals Nice last time out—Mika Biereth and Breel Embolo with the goals—kept them in second spot on 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. 59% possession, seven corners, and six on target tells its own story, though 16 fouls and three yellows tell us that there was a hard-fought nature to the win. Form is LWDWW—four without defeat now—and their xG of 1.85 screams warning. They've landed over 2.5 in five of seven, and both teams to score in five as well, though they possess cards under 4.5 in five of seven and corners under 10.5 in nine out of ten. Stylish, but mannered. Adi Hütter's lost Soungoutou Magassa and Kassoum Ouattara, but the true story is Mika Biereth—26 goals, 7 assists this season.
The young man's a one-man wrecking crew, and Brest's leaky defense will have nightmares. Monaco's firepower is their offense—only PSG have scored more in Ligue 1—but their defense can be wobbly, having conceded five of seven recently. But still, they possess the depth and swagger to beat anyone, especially on the road where they've claimed eight of 14. The mood? Title challengers with a point to prove. If Biereth's boots are warm, Brest could be toast—unless they nick an early one and park the bus.
Head to Head
Monaco have Brest's number—21 wins to 7, and 5 draws from 33 meetings. Their last meeting on November 22, 2024, was a 3-2 thriller, Monaco prevailing with late drama. They've defeated Brest six on the spin, opening the scoring in five of six, and winning the first half in four of five. Cards also fly—over 4.5 in four of five. It's a one-sided rivalry, with Monaco showing their strength each time. Brest's home support may roar, but history suggests Monaco scent blood. Goals, aggro, and the visitors imposing their dominance is what to expect—unless Brest muster a shock of the unusual variety.
History of Head-to-Heads
Ligue 1 2024/2025
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Ligue 1 2023/2024
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Ligue 1 2023/2024
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Ligue 1 2022/2023
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Ligue 1 2022/2023
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Brest Latest Games
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AS Monaco Latest Games
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Expert Betting Tips
Monaco Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals - Odds ~ 1.60:
Monaco's form and history scream win—Brest's injury crisis ensures it.
Over 2.5 Goals - Odds ~ 1.70:
Five of Monaco's previous seven managed this, and Brest's latest game had six!
BTTS (Both Teams to Score) - Odds ~ 1.60:
Monaco leak goals, Brest score at home—juicy combination.
Other predictions
