Saint-Etienne vs Olympique Lyon: Prediction for the Match on April 20, 2025

Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Finished
FC Lyon
FC Lyon
Football, Ligue 1, Round 30
20.04.2025, 21:45
Stade Geoffroy Guichard, Saint-Étienne France


Raphael George
20 Apr 2025
12:32
Statistics of the month:
45
28
0
61.64%
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Saint-Étienne vs Olympique Lyon: Prediction for the Match on April 20, 2025

Prediction for the Ligue 1 match which will take place on April 20. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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AS Saint-Étienne is on a difficult road toward basic survival, trying to escape the drop into the lower division. Their current position of 17th does little to highlight the telling of a glorious season. Indeed, six wins, six draws, and seventeen defeats impart a telling veil of inconsistency and fragility. The recent 3-3 result away to Stade Brest could have been fancy on paper, but was another defensive nightmare. Sainté managed 60% ball possession with seven corners, yet still conceded three goals; the resurgent goals were more gasps than declarations of intent.

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, has now become a house of horrors for the Greens with no home wins in the last three fixtures and an alarming stretch of conceding three-plus goals in four consecutive home matches. Their defensive frailties have been exacerbated by the injuries to key players, like Yvann Maçon and Abdul Boakye, leaving them even more susceptible to teams that are sharper and stronger.

But this is Saint-Étienne, a club that breathes tradition. Having clinched their place back in Ligue 1 after a dramatic playoff win against Metz, with Ibrahima Wadji's extra-time heroics still fresh in memory, there is immense baggage to this team's pride as they would be motivated to go face-to-face with their most hated rivals in Lyon. There will be demands for fire from the fans, but Saint-Étienne needs to deliver more than just hope; they need to deliver a fight.

🔖 Expected Lineup (4-3-3): G. Larsonneur, L. Petrot M. Nade, M. Bernauer, D. Appiah, A. Moueffek, Pierre Ekwah, B. Bouchouari, Z. Davitashvili, Lucas Stassin, Irvin Cardon

⛔️ Out: Y. Macon, A. Boakye

👤Head coach: Eirik Horneland 

Saint-Etienne Latest Games

Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
17.05.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 3
Toulouse Toulouse
10.05.25
Reims Reims
0 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
03.05.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 3
AS Monaco AS Monaco
26.04.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
3 - 1
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
20.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon

FC Lyon Latest Games

FC Lyon FC Lyon
17.05.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 0
Angers Angers
10.05.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
2 - 0
FC Lyon FC Lyon
04.05.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
1 - 2
Lens Lens
26.04.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
4 - 1
Rennes Rennes
20.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon

It's Olympique Lyonnais with a burning ambition and a bitter chip on its shoulder. Fresh from its Europa League, a 5-4 thriller that ended on a heartbreak, Lyon is back in domestic action, hoping to pour its pain into progress. Fourth-placed, they are just one point and two points behind Marseille and Monaco respectively, making their hopes for the Champions League very much alive. 

This is no pride team this is a return to the elite back in Europe team. Fixtures have been a little erratic for it (LWDWL) of late but this has masked a fierce competitive spirit. They have scored a dozen of goals and conceded as many in the past five matches-chaos, sure; but it's the kind of chaos that wins you derby matches. Surreal and potentially terrifying, that's what Lyon has been.

It could be a blow that Ernest Nuamah is out for the season, but Rayan Cherki, Georges Mikautadze, and the adaptable Tiago Almada would love to take the challenge. Lucas Perri in goal has been solid, directing play from midfield with Veretout and Tolisso. Their record in this fixture is dominant, remaining undefeated in the last six clashes with Saint-Étienne, winning five.

Expect Lyon's aggression to be especially pronounced in transition. With pressing high, playing fast wide, and boasting a deeper squad, they will seek to do more than just beat Saint-Étienne; they will seek to outclass them. This is not all about three points, though. It is regional dominance. It is momentum. It is a statement.

🔖 Expected Lineup (4-4-2): Lucas Perri, Nicolas Tagliafico, N. Niakhate, Clinton Mata, A. Maitland-Niles, C. Tolisso, Paul, J. Veretout, T. Almada, G. Mikautadze, Rayan Cherki

⛔️ Out: E. Nuamah

👤Head coach: Paulo Fonseca 

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The Derby de Rhône is one of French football's most passionate rivalries, the matches between Saint-Étienne and Lyon. In the past, Saint-Étienne has won 41 times, Lyon 43 times, with 34 draws thrown in. However, the recent trend tells a different story, as Lyon has gone unbeaten in their last six meetings, winning five and drawing once. Lyon's most recent encounter was a win in which they had the upper hand amid the stiff competitions, 1-0.

This derby is famous for being of very few goals, and five out of the last seven matches had under 2.5 goals. Lyon has taken the first lead in five of the last six encounters, often forcing the action in the first half. Things become very heated, with more than 4.5 cards thrown in five of the last six matches. Corners have also been limited, with under 10.5 corners landed in seven of the last eight matches. While form matters, history, importance, and passion far outweigh it in deciding a derby.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
20.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
10.11.24
FC Lyon FC Lyon
1 - 0
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2021/2022 Ligue 1 2021/2022
21.01.22
FC Lyon FC Lyon
1 - 0
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2021/2022 Ligue 1 2021/2022
03.10.21
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon
Ligue 1 2020/2021 Ligue 1 2020/2021
24.01.21
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
0 - 5
FC Lyon FC Lyon
  • Saint-Étienne scored in 6 of their last 8 matches, while Lyon conceded in their last 6, thus it is highly probable that both teams will score at least one time in this match.
  • Due to Lyon's last 7 matches all featuring over 2.5 goals and Saint-Étienne's vulnerability in defense, I would expect a high-scoring affair.
  • Considering Lyon's superior form, recent dominance in the derby, and Saint-Étienne's struggles, an away win is likely.
  • Both teams have had under 10.5 corners in the majority of their recent matches, suggesting a lower corner count in this game.

In this Derby de Rhône, points aren't all that's at stake—there's pride, history, and ambition to consider. Saint-Étienne will fight for an upset, but their poor form at home and shoddy defensive line make for a vulnerable opponent. Lyon on the other hand brings momentum-and a little bit of vengeance-from their loss, better quality, and with the Champions League spot within reach. Expect fireworks, cards, and plenty of goals in a heated ambience. It is a pretty good bet that Lyon will claim victory, although it is very likely that both clubs will score at any rate. With so much at stake emotionally, expect one of the craziest derbies we've witnessed in a recent time. 

⚽ Match Prediction 1: Both Teams to Score

⚽ Match Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Total Goals

⚽ Match Prediction 3: Lyon to Win 

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Odds 1,665
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