Saint Etienne vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction: Underdog’s Last Stand

Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Finished
PSG
PSG
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 27 
29.03.2025, 21:00
Stade Geoffroy Guichard, Saint-Etienne, France

Raphael George
27 Mar 2025
14:52
Statistics of the month:
47
29
0
61.84%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,69
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (GG)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Saint Etienne vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 29 March 2025

Under the shadowed stands of Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, a tale as ancient as football itself is unfolding on March 29, 2025. Saint Etienne, the green and white underdog, is gearing up for a titanic clash with the giant of Ligue 1, Paris Saint Germain. The air is electric with tension—Les Verts, mired in a nine-game winless run, are teetering on the brink of despair, their fans hoping against hope for a miracle. PSG strides across the field, a juggernaut leading the table, its stars twinkling with intent. It is more than a match; it's a story of grind versus glamour, of an underdog team taking a risk to topple an empire. PSG's talisman, Ousmane Dembele, seeks another win, while Zuriko Davitashvili carries Saint Etienne's faint hopes. History hangs in the balance, with PSG not having lost in 20 meetings. Will the underdog script an epic upset, or will the giants crush their dreams once more? 

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The whistle fades out on Saint Etienne's latest stumble—a 1-1 draw with Le Havre, in which Lucas Stassin's strike was the spark of hope. They fashioned six corners and three shots on target with 54% possession, but five saves and 17 fouls exposed their weakness as they picked up three yellow cards. They now face PSG with an expected goals (xG) rating of just 0.64—a whisper of their attacking woes. Injuries dog them—Maxime Bernauer and Ben Old sidelined—while coach Eirik Horneland struggles with a dismal LLDLD run. Zuriko Davitashvili, seven goals and four assists in 25 games, is their bright spot in 17th place (5W, 5D, 15L). Streaks paint a grim picture: no wins in nine, losing in 14 on the trot, both teams scoring in nine of ten, and underdog tendencies are strong—conceding first in eight of ten, but cards (under 4.5) and corners (under 10.5) point to a fight they might cling on to.

PSG's newest installment glowed with triumph—a 3-1 dismantling of Olympique Marseille, with Ousmane Dembele and Nuno Mendes putting their signature upon it. In control for 61% of the possession, they tallied five shots on target, attained five corners, and restricted fouls to seven with just a solitary yellow card issued. Their xG for this match stands at 2.61, a testament to how potent they were. Arnau Tenas possesses a knock, Senny Mayulu spends time on ice, yet Luis Enrique's WLWWW juggernaut just rolls on. Dembele, with 30 goals and seven assists in 37 games, is their best player, heading an uncatchable 21W, 5D, 0L atop the league table. Yell for dominance: three wins on the bounce, 2.5 goals in six of eight, scoring first in nine of ten, and half-time advantage in five of six—though fewer than 4.5 cards in nine of ten which reflects their discipline being equal to their flair.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
29.03.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 6
PSG PSG
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
12.01.25
PSG PSG
2 - 1
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2021/2022 Ligue 1 2021/2022
26.02.22
PSG PSG
3 - 1
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2021/2022 Ligue 1 2021/2022
28.11.21
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 3
PSG PSG
Ligue 1 2020/2021 Ligue 1 2020/2021
18.04.21
PSG PSG
3 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne

Saint-Etienne Latest Games

Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
17.05.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 3
Toulouse Toulouse
10.05.25
Reims Reims
0 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
03.05.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 3
AS Monaco AS Monaco
26.04.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
3 - 1
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
20.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon

PSG Latest Games

PSG PSG
31.05.25
PSG PSG
5 - 0
FC Internazionale FC Internazionale
17.05.25
PSG PSG
3 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
07.05.25
PSG PSG
2 - 1
Arsenal Arsenal
03.05.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
2 - 1
PSG PSG

History favors PSG, with 52 victories to Saint Etienne's 13 and 26 draws in 91 encounters. Their most recent dance, on January 12, 2025, was a 2-1 win for PSG, their 20th consecutive meeting without defeat. PSG has won the previous four, losing in all five, with more than 2.5 goals in four of five and both sides scoring in each encounter. Saint Etienne opened four of five, but PSG's resolve prevailed. Cards were under 4.5 in four of five, and corners passed 10.5 in five of seven—a story of PSG control tempered by Saint Etienne brief defiance.

Both Teams to Score (GG) (1xbet ~ 1.69 odds) -

Five straight head-to-heads and Saint Etienne's 9/10 GG streak clash with PSG's leaky run (5/5 conceded).

Over 9 Corners (Bet365 ~ 1.83 odds) - 

Head-to-head trend shows over 10.5 corners in 5 of 7 matches, and PSG's attacking prowess (5 corners in the last match) and Saint Etienne's resistance (6 corners vs. Le Havre) suggest a high corner count likely.

PSG Win First Half (Betway ~ 1.50 odds) -

PSG winning first half in 5 of 6 matches and their 9/10 score-first tendency is pitted against Saint Etienne's defensive weakness for an early PSG advantage to be a worthwhile bet.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,69
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (GG)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Over 9 Corners
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Odds 1,50
Bet Type PSG Win First Half
Bonus 250 USD
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